UFC 260: Stipe vs Ngannou 2 Official Betts

£125 Ngannnou Rd 1 +250 to win £312.50
£75 Miocic decision +500 to win £375

£125 Luque decision +180 to win £225

£125 O'malley KO +162 to win £203.13

Added.... £30 Maverick KO +600 to win £210

£115 (+£10 free bet) Mullarkey decision +305 to win £401
................................
Net Profit: -£266.88

*I need to simplify my bets, I get too greedy with the prop odds.
 
My first 5u or higher bet in a while! No-bets on Young vs. Morales and Robertson vs. Maverick, although I thought an awful lot about the latter. I think it's either Maverick or pass if you want to play that one.

5u on N'Gannou at -125
1u on Oleksiejczuk at -177 (would have put slightly more at the better -150 price, and salty I missed the openers on Olek round 1 and Olek TKO/KO)

Swept my pre-bets, although I put 1u on Bukauskas at +100 since I thought he won the first 2 rounds, as did most people.

+3.6u

I was definitely on the tight side tonight, as I had heavy leans on Maverick (noted above), Marc-Andre Barriault, AND Luque when he hit -180, but didn't hit any of them due to some doubts, all of which played out in all three fights.

But hey, I had supreme confidence that N'Gannou was crazy value at -125, and sure enough, he came through. Very happy with my reads, and I think I need to spend more time betting MMA instead of tennis.

I've won betting tennis every week for the past 5 weeks, but they're small profits (total win during that time is just 3u) and don't really justify the amount of time they suck away.

MMA takes less time and is more profitable.
 
JzoC3R3.jpg
 
Swept my pre-bets, although I put 1u on Bukauskas at +100 since I thought he won the first 2 rounds, as did most people.

+3.6u

I was definitely on the tight side tonight, as I had heavy leans on Maverick (noted above), Marc-Andre Barriault, AND Luque when he hit -180, but didn't hit any of them due to some doubts, all of which played out in all three fights.

But hey, I had supreme confidence that N'Gannou was crazy value at -125, and sure enough, he came through. Very happy with my reads, and I think I need to spend more time betting MMA instead of tennis.

I've won betting tennis every week for the past 5 weeks, but they're small profits (total win during that time is just 3u) and don't really justify the amount of time they suck away.

MMA takes less time and is more profitable.


Good stuff.
 
Morales KO/DEC 511 to win 500

Michal RD1 KO 100 to win 440
Michal/Boukaska U2.5 + Worth/Mullarkey O2.5 170 to win 250

O'Malley KO 250 to win 342
O'Malley RD1 KO 250 to win 864
U2.5 500 to win 306

Ngannou Finish 1,000 to win 1,000
Ngannou and U2.5 385 to win 500
Ngannou RD1 250 to win 712
Stipe DEC 250 to win 1,300

Cashed out Luque action, still looking into it. Might reduce Ngannou action closer we get.

Added Luque RD3 for 100

+687= +1.3u Very Salty about O'Malley RD1. Should have been a big night. Win on a PPV though I guess I can't complain.
 
Made a couple plays earlier but couldn't post them until weigh ins. Gotta keep the bad juju to a minimum. Adding more but I'll post what little I have so far.

●Omar 3.7u for 2u

●Ngannou NSC +Luque NSC 1.5u for 1.5u


●"Alpha Ginger" Spike 3.75u for 3u (LFA 103)

●Ryan Kuse 2.8u for 1u (titan FC 68)

●Ngannou, Luque -3 1/2, Morales -3 1/2
1u to win 5.35u

●Ngannou, Luque -3 1/2, Sean -3 1/2, Alonzo -3 1/2, Nurmagomedov -3 1/2
.25u for 3u

i-love-it-when-a-plan-comes-together-gif-7.gif


Clean sweep for the weekend. Only loss was a 1.5u hedge I took on Stipe out of respect.

●Omar 3.7u for 2u

●Ngannou NSC +Luque NSC 1.5u for 1.5u


●"Alpha Ginger" Spike 3.75u for 3u (LFA 103)

●Ryan Kuse 2.8u for 1u (titan FC 68)

●Ngannou, Luque -3 1/2, Morales -3 1/2
1u to win 5.35u

●Ngannou, Luque -3 1/2, Sean -3 1/2, Alonzo -3 1/2, Nurmagomedov -3 1/2
.25u for 3u

UFC PRE bets
+11.85u

Late hedge
Stipe
-1.5u

Total profit including Titan fc and LFA
+14.35

 
Very salty Luque subbed him instead of getting the TKO. That was a $400 swing.

+$1040, good night. Could've been more, though.

Left a lot of money on the table hitting Francis @ -125 ITD, and his ML @ -140, instead of taking his KO prop earlier in the week.
 
Added Luque RD3 for 100

+687= +1.3u Very Salty about O'Malley RD1. Should have been a big night. Win on a PPV though I guess I can't complain.
That's why I'm so chicken shit with those round props. Congrats man.
 
That's why I'm so chicken shit with those round props. Congrats man.
They can be insane value, it was 800+ profit for half a unit (250) . It hits more often than not in that fight.

But ye the 500 I lost on the U2.5 is what really got me. I lose the over under props all the time, should of passed
 
They can be insane value, it was 800+ profit for half a unit (250) . It hits more often than not in that fight.

But ye the 500 I lost on the U2.5 is what really got me. I lose the over under props all the time, should of passed
o/u's were rough all day, i got rocked a lot too especially that u2.5 with malley. grats on profits nontheless though!
 
o/u's were rough all day, i got rocked a lot too especially that u2.5 with malley. grats on profits nontheless though!
Thanks man, profit is always good. Even the Ngannou RD1 prop, how did Stipe eat some of those shots lol. Least he got put out in the second but yea those two outcomes very unfortunate in my opinion
 
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