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UFC 261: Usman vs Masvidal 2 official thread

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by 2020Tracked, Apr 18, 2021.

  1. Captain Chesapeake Green Belt

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    Anybody heard of the organization Na Liang has been fighting in, MILF wars? Sounds hawt
     
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  2. guesswhoseback Green Belt

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    There are millions of sites you can watch for free
     
  3. guesswhoseback Green Belt

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    Thank you greap input from a white belt
     
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  4. Voshow White Belt

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    Long time observer of this thread.

    What is the consensus on Zhang being able to sub rose? Takes a frustrated Rose to the mat and ties her up?

    At the same time, could Shev sub Andrade?

    I’ve had a stab at both and a throw away parlay + Usman ITD
     
  5. Captain Chesapeake Green Belt

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    Probably 5% or less

    highly unlikely imo. Shev has the better chance of maybe catching an armbar off her back.
     
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  6. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Why bother when you can get those great deals on ESPN+? High quality stuff and you never have to worry about missing the shows like those sketchy sites, gotta be my top place for watching the real fights
     
  7. ballsackarino White Belt

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    Hall is such a frustrating fighter, at pick em odds against a grappler, doesn't seem like good value to me. If you think Weidman is made of porcelain just take the Hall KO prop.
     
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  8. burge13 Purple Belt

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    Hall 'should' stop a shot to bits Weidman but who knows if that nutcase shows up ready to do so

    He's also out to +105 so hopefully keeps climbing

    Am I the only one who thinks Brazilian Cowboy is an obvious bet at +$?
     
  9. BigSteve Purple Belt

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    did anyone get any recent tape on Connelly before UFC? can not find shit other than a fight when he was 5-5.

    Would mean a lot
     
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  10. Doggo_Stat_Collector Blue Belt Platinum Member

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    time stamped




    Rule of thumb, if you don't find it by name, search the event.
     
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  11. Monster Meat Purple Belt

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    So far liking Usman wins in round 4,5 or dec -162 zhang -185 Weidman dec +200
     
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  12. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Random note about Connelly. I believe he is or was helping as maybe a motion capture guy for the UFC games at least I'm pretty sure he did for 3 not sure about the
    new UFC 4. Odd for a note I know but if he is still doing that same work I bet he has been improving.

    I want to see more but I'd say he has been improving.
     
    Last edited: Apr 20, 2021
  13. Init2winit White Belt

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    White belt? Im sure you weren't born before I saw my first UFC event.
     
  14. BigSteve Purple Belt

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    梁娜

    Google that and u get more recent tape on Na Liang.

    Also you can do that on all the new Asian fighters, i got the symbols from tapology
     
  15. Spath Black Belt

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    How much of an effect will having a full crowd have on Usman? He’s had success with his striking lately and the booming crowd will want action, excitement and blood

    <{JustBleed}>

    We saw Colby hurt him standing a few times, Burns dropped him (didn’t count as a knockdown officially I guess but it should’ve) early... Masvidal coming in with anti-wrestling training camp I bet so he knows he’ll need to let fists fly when he has the chance.

    I’m seeing Under 4,5 rounds at +140 and Masvidal via KO/TKO/DQ at +400 at least. I think I’ll take a stab.

    Weili vs Rose under 4,5 is at +110 give or take. Seeing how Rose’s face was mangled against Andrade in a three rounder I think they could wrap it up under 4,5. Rose has some sharp striking and snap to her punches, Weili is the stronger and more aggressive fighter with good striking.

    And I still remember Kowalkiewicz winning the clinch battles against Rose. Not even mentioning the slam KO against Andrade... :eek:

    Also it seems Weidman is now being the favorite (at least on some sites) against Hall.
     
  16. Spath Black Belt

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    Did you watch Liang tapes? Any thoughts?
     
  17. BigSteve Purple Belt

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    spams takedowns pulls guard, very erratic and not physically strong. She lost to anyone decent ( agapova, velasquez and Shakirova ) , which dosent mean much. That last loss was to a regional Asian girl and shes a similar built to Carnelossi. She was very active off her back and she keeps throwing up armbars and triangles constantly, but they seem kinda sloppy. She kept putting Agapova and this regional girl in them but both survived. Agapova pounded her out from guard and the regional girl armbared her from top by the end of second.

    Carnelossi is a Nova União black belt so should be ok. Sub is an easy hedge though
     
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  18. So far I'm pretty big on:

    Andrade +340
    Roberson +130
    Brown -150
    Crute -190
    Carnelossi -160

    Got a few of those before the line moved. Biggest play is a $250 Crute/Carnelossi parlay @ +130ish(don't want to log in to WH to check the exact odds rn).

    I have 150 on Brown to win 100, 150 on Andrade to win 510, and 100 on Roberson.
     
  19. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Maybe I'm just dog hunting here or something but I couldn't pass this one up. Looks a little wide. Hard to bet against those Boondocks boys. Pat looks legit though, I'm excited to see that debut.


    Tristan Connelly $550 to win $1023

    Screenshot_2021-04-21-08-14-12.png
     
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  20. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Life hack
     

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