Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sono07, May 8, 2021.
Getting a head start on the next couple cards already. See you friends very soon, good luck.
Chandler huge, $50 long shot +2000 parlay I'll post later.
Leaning Dariush, need to tape it more.
I'm here for some great fights fellows! I've already shared my breakdown for the Barboza vs Burgos bout. I slightly lean Edson but probably passing.
Lots of close fights on this card. I like Cachoeira against Mazany at +180. I think the Mazany is the biggest favourite of the card actually. Nobody more than -200. I like Dariush. I hope more people bet Tony. Tony is delusional and took the beating of a lifetime, he's lost a lot of muscle mass, he isn't where he once was physically. Dariush is in his prime, he's streaking, and he matches up well with Tony so if I can get 1.80 im very happy
I also bet Muniz at +110. Another fade on Jacare. Jacare got viciously KOed only 5 months ago. The way Holland beat him was something else. He rocks him from the bottom stands up and lands these absolutely hellacious strikes while Jacare is knelt down unable to defend. Like that KO was one of the most brutal things I've ever seen especially because it happened to a guy like Jacare. Muniz is the younger more motivated guy. His striking doesn't look that bad, he has a 6 inch reach advantage. I'll take him as the dog against a washed Jacare.
Honestly I wish I could take Tony out of that parlay because I think Dariush wins. The rest should hit, though.
I have another 100 on Chandler on DK, and I'm shopping around on where to put another $600 on him. I have access to like 8 books, looking for the best line.
Potential Payout: $1,221.13
You could just bet on dariush as a hedge bet if you think ferguson is gonna lose
Saturday, May 15, 2021
Antonina Shevchenko -180 "Panther", age 36
Christos Giagos -200 "The Spartan", age 31
Gina Mazany -200 "Danger", age 32
Joel is out , sean soriano is in
Awesome card with some interesting lines. Without tape I like Burgos, Dariush and Muniz.
Burgos is the prototypical guy that gives Barboza trouble. He is very aggressive, has forward pressure, a solid chin and good boxing. Shane should be able to put Barboza against the fence.
From one pressure fighter to the next, Ferguson unfortunately seems to be washed. Dariush however is in his prime and should be able to control Tony on the ground fairly easily.
Ballsackarino already gave a good analysis why Muniz could be an interesting play, so not much to add.
Can you share your analysis again or point us to where you shared it?
don't bet a 7-4 tomato can who just went life and death with rachel ostovich at -200. like why????
I wanted to play Oliveira big from long time ago,and after a bad weekend od betting I'm gonna max bet him to het back
Chasing to get back is rarely a good idea. Especially on a fight like that where either guy could kill the other quickly.
What's Oliveira's path to victory that makes him a slight favourite? Beat Chandler in the standup? Have Chandler shoot and snap up a submission?
I'd say he needs to get in very close for the finish or completely and utter stay in his own lane at range. Attempting anything sneaky from some middle ground might turn that whole bout very very strange.
Oliveira likes to use pressure with his slightly unorthodox muay thai to get close then gets the body lock and takes people down. He can work from the bottom but also has TDs of his own. I assume he's the favorite as he has a more notable win streak and basically grew up in the ufc whereas Chandler is the newcomer.
The thing of main interest for me is these guys both love to go forward. So which one will go backwards when they fight? I lean towards Charles but I don't know if there's much value there.
Take your pick.
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