UFC Fight Night 179: Holm vs. Aldana Official Bets

£450 Holms -110 to win £409.09

£250 GDR -110 to win £227.5

£100 Todovovic decision +250 to win £250

£50 condit sub +1000 to win £500

£50 Luigi sub +600 to win £300

£100 Phillips / Else Under 1.5 +100 to win £100

*I cashed out on a £150 Amayri +100 bet, I had originally thought Vendrami 1st rd sub or bust but after snooping here decided not to bet against myself and put it on Phillips / Else Under 1.5 instead.
 
Holm -115 $1500
Holm/Aldana GTD -180 $450

Todorovic/Townsend O2 -140 $800
Todorovic DEC +290 $500

Condit +115 $100
Condit DEC +300 $400

Phillips/Else U2.5 -190 $1140
Phillips/Else DNGTD -200 $500
Phillips RD2 SUB +2000 $100

Lookboonmee -115 $765
Frey DEC +225 $100

Vendramini SUB +600 $150

Jourdain/Culibao FOTN +1200 $83
Williams/Imavov FOTN +800 $100
Kenney/Alateng FOTN +2000 $50
Phillips POTN +500 $100


Looking to play Vendramini +1xx small and want a couple hundred more on Condit +115
Which bookies let you bet on FOTN bonus and such?
 
how much does this Castro guy suck that he's an underdog against a guy who lost vs Greg Hardy?
 
$200/$506
Holm/aldana o 3.5
Gdr in rd 3 or dec +165

free $20/$512
Gdr wins In rd 3 or dec +165
San Fran -6.5
Jax +3.5
Dolphins +210

free $30/$202
Gdr -115
Jax +3.5
San Fran -300
Houston -5

Free $10/$1028
Bears +115
Niners -300
Dolphins +210
Texans -188
Jags +135
Gdr -143
Khabib -275
Barboza -250
 
Vendramini SUB 36 to win 200

Loma RD3/DEC 364 to win 400
Frey DEC 100 to win 210

McGee DEC 143 to win 200

Phillips V Else U1.5 400 to win 400
Phillips V Else U2.5 800 to win 400
Phillips V Else Finish + Todorovic 800 to win 586

GDR 500 to win 400
Pena SUB/DEC 150 to win 195

Holm DEC 188 to win 300

Im balls deep on the Phillips V Else prop, lets hope it dosen't shaft me.
 
5u GDR -110
4.5u Holm/Aldana O2.5R -400
1.5u Castro 1R +200
1u Castro 2R +450
1u Philips by KO/Sub -175

hoping to see some nasty leg kicks from De Castro.
 
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Holm 1.2u -120
Holm DEC 1u +150
Aldana SUB 0.2u +1000

Frey (free bet) 1u +126

Vendramini SUB 0.25u +500

Phillips/Else DNGTD + Todorovic 1.2u -120
Phillips/Else u2.5 + Kelley 1u +125
 
how much does this Castro guy suck that he's an underdog against a guy who lost vs Greg Hardy?
De Castro is the one who lost to Hardy. Part of it was due to a leg injury he got in the first round, still made it to a decision.

Felipe lost to Spivak

De Castro is just a better fighter, better striker (technically at least)
Felipe might have more power? But it's HW, both of them have power
 
Haven't posted my picks in a while, not a lot on the line this time:

1u GDR 1,93
1u Townsend/Todorovic ITD 1,70
1u Condit/McGee U2.5 3,05
1u Condit + Holm 3,76
1u Williams/Imavov U2.5 1,71
1u Frey 2,10
1u Kenney + Jourdain 1,70
1u Vendramini/Ayari U2.5 2,10
1u Ayari 1,91

Should not have bet Condit tbh, might work out nevertheless
 
Condit will show up with a little bit of the old ultra violence
 

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Aldana by decision +225
Yorgan by ko/tko +100
Pena +134
Townsend/Dusko completes 2 rds -150
Kyler itd -180
Condit +110
Williams -117
Loma -137
Jourdain/Kenney -178
Luigi -110
 
$50.00 Aldana + GDR to win $129
$5 Vendramini via sub @ +500
$11 Yorgan De Castro wins ITD + Casey Kenney wins inside distance to win $50

Added: $5 Vendramini KO @ +450
GDR: $5 Round 2/3 @ +900/+1200
$5 Phillips wins ITD + Todorovic wins by 3 round + Vandramini + Jourdain wins ITD + Lookboonmee To win $115
$34 to win $23 Williams Imavov U2.5

Bad decision on my part to bet this event. I won a couple other bets I didn't post but overall I lost $107 tonight. I told myself I was going to stay away and I didn't learn from past mistakes. I wanted to keep making money and forcing that cost me -2u tonight. Lets look to next week to bounce back into the green.
 
Only made two live-bets this event;

1.17u on Jourdain -117 late in round 1 (Push)
1.6u on Felipe at -125 after round 1 (Win)

For the modest +1.3u night. Probably should have gone at least a little heavier on Felipe, but how much can you trust a morbidly obese Brazilian with semi-competent boxing, respectable knees, and weak cardio?

Time to finally get back to serious betting next week, heh.
 
Vendramini SUB 36 to win 200

Loma RD3/DEC 364 to win 400
Frey DEC 100 to win 210

McGee DEC 143 to win 200 ( Cashed out )

Phillips V Else U1.5 400 to win 400
Phillips V Else U2.5 800 to win 400
Phillips V Else Finish + Todorovic 800 to win 586

GDR 500 to win 400
Pena SUB/DEC 150 to win 195

Holm DEC 188 to win 300

Im balls deep on the Phillips V Else prop, lets hope it dosen't shaft me.
Added pre bet:
Williams 147
Condit SUB 10
Pena 100

+1,943= 4.8u

Great result on a tough card. Happy with my discipline here.
 
Holm -115 $1500
Holm/Aldana GTD -180 $450

Todorovic/Townsend O2 -140 $800
Todorovic DEC +290 $500

Condit +115 $100
Condit DEC +300 $400

Phillips/Else U2.5 -190 $1140
Phillips/Else DNGTD -200 $500
Phillips RD2 SUB +2000 $100

Lookboonmee -115 $765
Frey DEC +225 $100

Vendramini SUB +600 $150

Jourdain/Culibao FOTN +1200 $83
Williams/Imavov FOTN +800 $100
Kenney/Alateng FOTN +2000 $50
Phillips POTN +500 $100


Looking to play Vendramini +1xx small and want a couple hundred more on Condit +115

+$3410 or +$3177 depending on if BOL pushes FOTN bets with 4 POTNs given, I don't see why they would but some think they will. Botched livebet early but turned it around with Felipe DEC for a small loss on LB.
 
Haven't posted my picks in a while, not a lot on the line this time:

1u GDR 1,93
1u Townsend/Todorovic ITD 1,70

1u Condit/McGee U2.5 3,05
1u Condit + Holm 3,76
1u Williams/Imavov U2.5 1,71
1u Frey 2,10
1u Kenney + Jourdain 1,70 1,36
1u Vendramini/Ayari U2.5 2,10

1u Ayari 1,91

Should not have bet Condit tbh, might work out nevertheless

I did add Phillips/Else doesn't start R3 too, in the end I finished with +2,47u

I am fine with that but I really should have not bet on Frey and Condit/McGee U2.5, there is no excuse for that
 
£450 Holms -110 to win £409.09

£250 GDR -110 to win £227.5

£100 Todovovic decision +250 to win £250

£50 condit sub +1000 to win £500

£50 Luigi sub +600 to win £300

£100 Phillips / Else Under 1.5 +100 to win £100

...............................
Net profit: £537.40
 
Condit/GDR/Holm (+552) - £1000
Aldana Round 4 KO (+2200) - £50
Aldana Round 5 KO (+3300) - £60
McGee By Decision/Pena By Decision/Aldana KO (+3247) - £100
McGee By Decision/GDR KO/Aldana Decision (+2132) - £100
McGee By Decision/GDR KO/Aldnana KO (+3004) - £100

Will add some more later in the week

+£8080 good card for me after a terrible one last week one. on a side note I had a 6 fight acca which would have won me 30K which I needed a Todorovic Decision but he finished so that went out the window :|.....
 
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