UFC Fight Night 183 - Official Bets

Geoff Neal at 2.05 for 1 unit
Greg Hardy at 1.90 for 1 unit

Arroyo KO/TKO at 7.00 for 0.5 units
Tefon ITD at 1.72 for 1 unit
Marlon Vera round 3 at 17.00 for 0.2 units

I will most likely also bet Vera straight at some point, just watching the line to see if there is any significant movement and I may play Rob Font too.

Hahahahahahaha I got smoked
 
£300 WB +100 to win £300

£300 Aldo -149 to win £200
Added £150 -119 to win £126

£300 Pereia -115 to win £261

£350 Moraes -137 to win £255.5
£30 Moraes rd 1 +500 to win £150

£50 Tybura decision +250 to win £125

£150 Pettis -213 to win £70.5
Added £150 -200 to win £75

£75 Arroyo +100 to win £75

£100 Durden +142 to win £142

.........................
Net Profit: £427

boxing
£300 Canelo decision +210 to win £630
£50 Canelo UD +300 to win £150
...........................
Net Profit: +£780
 
Last edited:
Man I placed my WB/Tybura parlays(at least most of them) so early. If I placed these same bets right now, I'd make about 1.3x

Pereira -130, 130 to win 100
WB +105, 200 to win 210
Tybura +110, 200 to win 220
Thompson -115/Tybura -110, 50 to win 128.46
Thompson -110/Tybura -105, 64 to win 169.60
Tybura -105/Moraes -150/Pereira -125/Thompson -115, 50 to win 497.44
Pereira -130/Moraes -155 25 to win 48.40
Pettis/Tybura/Moraes/Pereira/Thompson 20 freebet to win 360.01
Thompson/Tybura/Pereira +541, 10 to win 64.17
Thompson/Pereira/Tybura 50 to win 292.90(this one in particular I could get 5.5:1 on if I bet right now, instead I got +485)

SO YEAH, Tybura/WB pretty much and I make up for the last event and then some. I went 0/5 last week, maybe you should parlay Neal/Hardy. GL

Every single one of these hit, except the 5 man free bet.

I also added 300 on Tybura(posted the slip in the PBP), a long with a +3580 20 to win 780 that I cashed out of for 320ish?

I'll have to get back with the total since I cashed out of a few parlays, up a lot though, bounced back well after last week.
 
Thompson 1u +100

Aldo/Vera draw 0.1u +5000

Pereira 2u -118

Tybura 1u -103

Pettis ITD 0.4u +245

Winn DEC 0.25u +245

Durden KO 0.5u +350

Moraes + Arroyo 0.6u +174
Thompson/Neal u4.5 + Pettis 1u +135
Moraes + Pettis 1u +144


Not feeling too confident. Thompson, Tybura, Pereira could all get knocked out, Pettis might be done etc.
Anyway, last card of the year. Good luck, everybody!
Added a bunch:
Kianzad 1.5u -116 live after the 2nd round
Nchukwi/Pickett o1.5 + Pereira 0.5u +235
Tybura ML 0.5u +105
Tybura/Hardy to end with a (T)KO 1u +145, 0.5u +122 live after the 1st round

Moraes RD1 0.25u +450
Pereira ML 1u -111
Thompson/Neal ends with a (T)KO 1u +110

That's around +5.4u. A nice way to end the year. Happy holidays, everybody! I hope you did well and do even better in 2021!
 
Santos 220 to win 200

Arroyo 400 to win 290 (cashed out for 290 loss after round 2 )
Arroyo KO 50 to win 300
Winn DEC 90 to win 247

Pettis 1,200 to win 577

Moraes RD1 100 to win 500

Perreira 515 to win 400

Aldo KO/DEC 800 to win 704

Wonderboy KO/DEC 364 to win 400
Main U4.5 400 to win 246

Added pre bet ( mostly hedges ):

Khaos KO RD1 100
Vera 390
Morono DEC 177

Added live:

Winn RD2 200 to win
88
Tybura after RD1 50 to win 250

+1,325 = 3.3u
Content with just over 3u to end the year.

Whole month was a write off with lack of tape and last minute bets. I needed 500 to end this and every other month this year in the green. Unfortunately ended the year less than 50 short of 30k profit. All in all very happy with the year, things only started clicking around June, cant wait for 2021. GG everyone enjoy the holidays.
 
Added pre bet ( mostly hedges ):

Khaos KO RD1 100
Vera 390
Morono DEC 177

Added live:

Winn RD2 200 to win
88
Tybura after RD1 50 to win 250

+1,325 = 3.3u
Content with just over 3u to end the year.

Whole month was a write off with lack of tape and last minute bets. I needed 500 to end this and every other month this year in the green. Unfortunately ended the year less than 50 short of 30k profit. All in all very happy with the year, things only started clicking around June, cant wait for 2021. GG everyone enjoy the holidays.
nice job. where did you end up livebetting at?
 
45 on Thompson ML @ 2.05
20 on Morono ML @ 3.00
35 on Tybura ML @ 2.00
60 on Moraes ML @ 1.67

Added some Pereira later when I saw him at dogg odds for 35 @ 2.00.
Which resulted in a small profit of 37.25 for the last card of 2020. Still have to calculate the final result for my mma bets this year, but I know it's solidly green.

I want to thank you all for chopping it up and giving me valuable insights and laughs.
Enjoy the holidays sherbros, and see you next year!
 
• Thompson ML -120 $450 for $375 (BAS)
• Thompson ML +105 $500 for $525 (Westgate)
• Tybura ML +100 $300 for $300 (WilliamHill)
• Williams/Pereira O1.5 -115 $57.50 for $50 (WilliamHill)
• Vera decision +305 $50 for $152.50 (Circa)
• Font ML +135 $50 for $67.50 (Circa)
• Kianzad ML +145 $50 for $72.50 (Westgate)
• Morono decision +355 $10 for $35.50 (Circa)
• Nchukwi/Pickett U1.5 +120 $20 for $24 (Circa)
• Durden ML +135 $20 for $27 (Westgate)


• Boise/SJSU O56 -110 $110 for $100 (WilliamHill)
R1CxaOd.jpg



My only mistake was betting $310 on the Over 4.5 rounds in the Wonderboy/Neal fight right before the fight started. It was one of those last minute bets we all do from time to time. Other than that, I had a good night.

See you guys next year. <Moves>
 
nice job. where did you end up livebetting at?
Thanks. I used PointsBet in Australia for both, which is average as. I have been struggling for live bets since i got limited by 365 and Sportsbet. Neds had no live betting all day?? But ye really glad I got that Tybura bet in
 
Thompson -128 $1280
Thompson KO +300 $250
Thompson/Neal U4.5 -115 $2000

Aldo -138 $3000

Pereira -108 $1500

Pettis -199 $5000

Robertson -110 $500
Robertson ITD +275 $250

Durden/Flick O1.5 -110 $600


Really botched that Thompson line. Will be betting Moraes and likely Durden if line improves.

These end of year champ bets were all finalized last week with Fig retaining but if anyone cares I had:
WBW: Nunes -290 $348

FW: Volkanovski +375 $120

FLW: Cejudo +250 $120
Figueiredo +500 $120

LHW: Jones -200 $240

HW: Ngannou +400 $120

Total profit of $690, and yes limits were $120. Can't believe 2 of the champs I bet vacated.

+$4788. Can't wait to review this year's results. The break begins!
 
96aec331ec1eaa4656770efa5a57bc8a.png

+3.45u
+2.2u livebet

Around + $1130

Bought out of my Aldo bet, but did get him on dec livebet, overall a great night to end the year.
Congratulation to all winners and thanks to everyone who contributed on the forums this year. Looking forward to the betting recap 2020 thread. Always enjoy learning from others.

Especially to Sadistics with the greatest year of all. Humble, hard working, and always generous with sharing knowledge. Absolute Legend. Couldn´t be happier for a fellow capper.

Also @Krieg the Psycho @BigSteve @Jordan3399 Impressive results for this year aswell. Great job guys.
Onto a strong 2021.
 
96aec331ec1eaa4656770efa5a57bc8a.png

+3.45u
+2.2u livebet

Around + $1130

Bought out of my Aldo bet, but did get him on dec livebet, overall a great night to end the year.
Congratulation to all winners and thanks to everyone who contributed on the forums this year. Looking forward to the betting recap 2020 thread. Always enjoy learning from others.

Especially to Sadistics with the greatest year of all. Humble, hard working, and always generous with sharing knowledge. Absolute Legend. Couldn´t be happier for a fellow capper.

Also @Krieg the Psycho @BigSteve @Jordan3399 Impressive results for this year aswell. Great job guys.
Onto a strong 2021.
thanks legend
 
$100 Khaos @ +100
$100 Marlon Vera @ +130

Added:
$25 Vera KO/TKO @ +550
$50 Aldo decision @ +150
$25 Nchoukwi round 1 @ +160

BOL my dudes.

-$200 something. Good thing I hedged with Aldo decision or I woulda lost more.

Overall I’m now down -$300 in my betting career.
I put in $500 to start a little over a year ago. Most I’ve been up was ~$700.

I’ve been busy this week with a new project. I’m starting a camper van company and I’ve been busy building the van out and haven’t had time to tape like I use to. I should not bet If I haven’t watched tape and if I do, I should only follow the GOATS.

Many Thanks for everyone who has posted anything of value since I found this part of sherdog. And my apologies for ruffling feathers, being obnoxious and rude to a few of you. I’m always trying to improve myself and I genuinely regret all the negative things I’ve come to say on here but sometimes I just can’t help myself. On to the next one. Merry Christmas, happy Chanukah, and happy New Years to all y’all.
 
Last edited:
Really contemplating making this a full time gig.

Weeks like last week, I went into saying, "I'm a lot more confident in next week's fights" and still played 5 fights more or less for fun.

I'd have to just sit out nights like those.

Nights like tonight, I was incredibly confident in my three picks, which is why I only had three total.

And parlays are generally dumb, but when you have 3 really strong leans, parlaying the shit out of 2 of them(like I did with WB/Tybura) can be profitable.

I need to refine making some foolish mistakes, but I've been doing this for a while now. Only stretch I didn't turn a profit(albeit my unit size in 2017-2019 was tiny) was the first half of 2020. And I made up for that, and then some, this year.

Being in a legal state, having access to 5+ apps with different lines/boosts is incredibly helpful as well.

BetMGM seems to move lines REALLY late. Like if money comes in on someone on 4 other apps, BetMGM will still have the same lines for hours after others have adjusted.

For instance, I was able to cash out of my -130 Pereira bet tonight when he was all the way down to even on other sites for the full amount, and play him at -110 and +100 on William Hill.
 
Back
Top