UFC Fight Night 184: Holloway vs Kattar Official bets

[2020Tracked]

Not sure in the Dusko bet now, slight hedge with Puna round 1 KO but I'll just let it ride

 

[bendoman]

Was a medium sized card for me, now it's a bit smaller since Akhmedov is off.

Condit ITD +350, 100 to win 350
Melo +210, 100 to win 210
Chirico +230, 100 to win 230

Will prob end up playing the main event, haven't quite decided. Leaning Kattar.

What makes you think Di Chirico has a chance?

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Interesting card. Virtually every fight I taped was worth betting, but not heavily, since there are too many question marks. I didn't bet di Chirico-Buckley (if there is any value, it's on the Italian) and Melo-Moras, although I might play the latter. For now,

2u on Tafa at +165
1.4u on Wu at -110 (might add)
1u on Brown at +145
1u on Lingo by TKO/KO at +375

 

[2bet]

4u Condit 1,57
4u Imamov/Hawes ITD 1,44
4u Ponzinibbio/Li starts R2 1,35
4u Di Chirico/Buckley starts R2 1,43

 

[DonQ94]

Lingo - Killburn FDGTD €35 @ 2.05
Soriano ML €25 @ 2.44
Melo ML €10 @ 3.00
Imavov ITD €25 @ 2.70

 

[Bakayoko]

Greetings fellow MMA fans and bettors!Been lurking for some time and now I post for the first time in the forum,don't see a lot of value on betting fighters at this event,but see potential in the overs and going the distance.So:
Holloway/Kattar O 2,5 x Moras/Melo O 1,5 1,65 150 $
Holloway DEC 2,37 30 $
Todorovic/Soriano GTD 2,37 70 $
Todorovic DEC 4,00 20$
Ponzinibbio/Jingliang GTD 2,00 60 $
Ponzinibbio DEC 2,62 20 $
Zawada/Emeev O 1,5 x Condit/Brown 0 1,5 1,92 30 $

 

[fonus]

Dusko/Buckley $1170 @2.22

 

[WolfgangKennelz]

What makes you think Di Chirico has a chance?

Durable counterpuncher. Buckley getting into overvalued range. Di chirico is not a good in-cage fighter. Lets his opponent lead the dance and has bad fight IQ. But a counterpuncher is the fighter that will take out Buckley. Good chance he gets swarmed and beat up... but I have di chirico on value. And have his KO line at +750. Di chirico not a big KO guy, but he does have physical strength and is fairly heavy handed altho not really a 1 punch KO threat. Also is fighting with his back against the wall. Possible he comes in ready to slug it out

 

[WolfgangKennelz]

Realized I bet every fight but one... so added..
Wu Yanan -104 $200

Added more to condit at -170
And took 60 bucks on lingo KO +300

 

[TeamVamos]

Imavov $50 +105
Emeev Dec $50 -125
Felipe Dec $25 +205
Felipe + Lazzez $82
Dusko $50 -170

 

[guesswhoseback]

Kilburn+200 for 50
Moras-180 for 75
Emeev-Zawada-Over 2.5 -190 for 75
Tafa-Felipe- Under 2.5 -115 for 75
Yana wu-105 for 75
Dusko-155 for 75
Li-Ponzhbio- Over 2.5 -115 for 75
Brown-Condit- Under 2.5 -130 for 75
Holloway-Kattar- Over 4.5 -190 for 75

 

[Deleted member 316645]

What makes you think Di Chirico has a chance?

Gritty fighter that always brings the fight, who has never been KO'd, versus a UFC hype job that should win, but not as much as the odds indicate dictates a play.

 

[PuertoRican]

 

[coachbz]

1u Kattar +160
.5 Kattar DEC +400

.5 Felipe ITD +195

.5 Melo ML +220

.5 Edwards DEC+395

.5 Lingo ITD +200

1u Li/Ponzinibbio O1.5 -185

.25 Lingo KO +487

thinking about Wu now that she’s flipped to the dog, will bet Brown if he passes +200 and Li if he passes +300.

 

[fonus]

Dusko/Buckley $1170 @2.22

Haha rip

 

[yellowbean]

Thank you kattar！Thank You for not giving up！I was fxxking nervous during round 4 And 5

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Interesting card. Virtually every fight I taped was worth betting, but not heavily, since there are too many question marks. I didn't bet di Chirico-Buckley (if there is any value, it's on the Italian) and Melo-Moras, although I might play the latter. For now,

2u on Tafa at +165
1.4u on Wu at -110 (might add)
1u on Brown at +145
1u on Lingo by TKO/KO at +375

Threw in another 1u on Wu at -105, for a perfect -6.4u night.

No regrets on the Lingo bet; looked like he might get the TKO/KO in the first 40 seconds, and he knocked down Kilburn down about 5-6 times in the first 2 rounds. You take that at +375.

The Tafa borderline robbery really stung; he clearly won round 3. 5.3u swing right there.

The Wu fight was weird. It was won and lost on the ground, and despite Wu getting takedowns and dominant position easily, she ended up getting the worst of it. Definitely unexpected, but that's what happens with low-level WMMA.

The younger and more prepared fighter with the longer lay-off in Wu also showed less improvement than short-notice replacement Edwards. Still thought she won round 3. Not a great bet, but at evens, not bad. Just wish I hadn't thrown in the extra 1u.

Condit looked completely washed against McGee, but with all the concerns about Brown, I could only hit him for 1u even at good plus odds, and I certainly got to see why.

Rough card, as it apparently was for many, but I get a chance to turn it around in a few days.

 

[bendoman]

Holloway 9u @ -170
Holloway DEC 3u @ +125
Buckley ITD 5u @ -105
Holloway / Buckley 2u @ +116

Still keeping my unit size small.
Don't have any leans for the rest of the card.

Holloway 9u @ -170
Holloway DEC 3u @ +125
Buckley ITD 5u @ -105
Holloway / Buckley 2u @ +116

After Buckley lost I impulsively threw the rest of my balance into
Holloway 15u @ -175
Holloway DEC 5u @ +120

Up 17u overall

New best night for me

 

[WolfgangKennelz]

This is tough for me, because I'm very spread out with different bets and I have some method of victories but I usually bet them in between fights as the card is rolling. 2021 I'm tryin bet exclusively fights and I have about 10,000 currently pending on the fights tmro and next week between 4 offshore accounts and like 10,000 in fanduel bets. So ill loosely estimate my risk but I can average the lines I have ...

LFA 97 Jacob Rosales -145 $700

Austin Lingo -210 $2400
Under 2.5 +120 $200

Vanessa Melo +185 $200

Ramazan Emeev -255 $400 (mainly parlays)

Carlos Felipe -186 $1500

Phil Hawes -128 $1000 (Imavov live bet possible)

Dusko Todorovic -157 $3200
Over 1.5 -140 $300

Alessio di Chirico +225 $500

Santiago Argentine Dagger Ponzinibio -285 $1400 (mainly parlays)

Carlos Condit -165 $200
Under 2.5 +100 $200

Max Holloway -155 $700 (depending on the day ill probably bet him way more)

I have methods of victory i left out. I will try to clean this up in future. I have a unique way of betting and lines are all over the place and parlayed with other ufc cards. I'm also very nervous about betting against the Hawaiian fighters. May look to hedge off slightly in both fights. Good luck all.

+5371

Gota tighten my bets up more. I hit for 500 last night on Rosales so added that to the bets won. I hit a few at fanduel and lost a few parlays tied up to Todorovic for a wash for most part.
Not to complain as Soriano lit him up. But I missed unders in Lingo and Holloway fights. If Todorovic fight doesn't get stopped arguably early and gets into 2nd. He definitely could've came back. Woukdve hit for 15k in parlays and huge swings in bets wouldve been like a 20k difference at least. Dusko wins, I win over 25k today. Oh well.

 

[WolfgangKennelz]

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