UFC Fight Night 185: 2.20 10:30pm ET Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis

helax

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helax submitted a new Sportsbook Event:

UFC Fight Night 185: 2.20 10:30pm ET Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis

Outcomes w/Current Odds

Lewis wins by TKO/KO : 580/100 (5.80)

Fight starts round 3 : 100/120 (0.83)

Fight starts round 2 : 100/255 (0.39)

Lewis wins in round 1 : 1300/100 (13.00)

Blaydes wins in round 1 : 265/100 (2.65)

Lewis wins by decision : 1245/100 (12.45)

Blaydes wins by decision : 384/100 (3.84)

Lewis wins inside distance : 500/100 (5.00)

Blaydes wins by TKO/KO : 125/100 (1.25)

Lewis wins by submission : 1800/100 (18.00)

Blaydes wins by submission : 1150/100 (11.50)

Derrick Lewis : 379/100 (3.79)

Fight is a draw : 8000/100 (80.00)

Fight starts round 5 : 205/100 (2.05)

Fight starts round 4 : 145/100 (1.45)

Fight goes to decision : 275/100 (2.75)

Under 1½ rounds : 168/100 (1.68)

Blaydes wins inside distance : 100/160 (0.62)

Fight doesn't go to decision : 100/280 (0.36)

Over 1½ rounds : 100/155 (0.65)

Curtis Blaydes : 100/330 (0.30)

Place your wagers here...
 
I don't know how to calculate the odds of a fighter vs his opponent but the odds favoring Blaydes makes no sense. He has half as many ko's as lewis, yet lewis got 5x the money to win by ko.

Seen another way, Lewis, who is now tied for most KO's in UFC history was seen as a ~16% chance to win by KO (so it paid 5.8:1)
 
Surprised Curtis didn't press the takedowns more, despite the final sequence
 
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