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UFC Fight Night 81 - Dillashaw vs Cruz

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 3, 2016.

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  1. piglord Black Belt

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    fuck boetsch looked absolutely TERRIBLE. i thought herman was worth a bet but now gonna definitely go for it.
     
  2. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Boetsch always looks like that lol
     
  3. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    For sure I'm on Herman Dec at +600. Not much umph in those punches. Boetsch can end it all in one punch so I'm on it for a small amount.
     
  4. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    Man that r1 Latifi isn't looking good right now. The under is much safer. Made plentiful of crazy parlays and if they hit, my bum life will change.
     
  5. LayonJesus Orange Belt

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    All wagers are posted with current lines from 5dimes. I may have done better or worse but we try to be as transparent as possible.

    UFC FIGHT NIGHT 81 PLAYS

    Dillashaw -140 2units - Talented fighter with a strength advantage facing a guy who is on a over year layoff.

    Alvarez +295 2units - Better wrestler who has the ability to hurt Pettis. Pettis hates being touched.

    Mitrione +135 1unit - Better boxer with decent footwork who should be able to land and move until Browne is done.

    Barroso +150 1unit - Mutapcic beats shit fighters and loses to decent ones. Barroso is aggressive and pretty vicious.

    Sanders +105 3units - Sanders is a talented guy who gets to face a fighter who unless he catches you, sleeps half the fight.

    O'Connell +235 1unit - O'Connell has enough boxing ability to stay away from the bombs of Latifi and land away as the fight continues.

    Cruickshank +225 3units - This line is a joke, Cruickshank is the better striker and Felder has no submission threat.
     
  6. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    one of us will have a meh night tomorrow then :) only same plays are cruickshank and alvarez
     
  7. LayonJesus Orange Belt

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    Curious of your thought on the TJ/Cruz fight and Mitrione/Browne since those are the fights others will care about on here. Honestly if we hit on the Alvarez and Cruickshank fights no matter what else happens we wont be losing money.
     
  8. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    no clear thoughts really. I dont breakdown fights that much on my own, just read this thread and bet who I feel is gonna win if the line is good :p

    I think Cruz is in TJ's head and been a huge Cruz fan since WEC. Browne I'm not really sure about, if I could cancell my bet I would

    I will def be losing money if those two hits and rest doesn't haha

    my bets:

    Cruz $250 @ 2.35 / $150 @ 2.20
    Browne $400 @ 1.671
    Cote $150 @ 2.05 / $125 @ 2.00
    Latifi $250 @ 1.436
    Cruickshank $50 @ 2.90 / $150 @ 3.12
    Trinaldo $100 @ 2.45
    Alvarez $50 @ 3.65
    Blanco $200 @ 1.833
    Font $200 @ 1.518
    Mutapcic $300 @ 1.609
    Boetsch $400 @ 1.454

    Cruz/TJ o4.5 $300 @ 1.512
    Boetsch/Herman u2.5 $150 @ 1.925
    O'Connell/Latifi o1.5 $400 @ 1.90
    Cruickshank/Felder o1.5 $250 @ 1.497
    Alvarez/Pettis o2.5 $150 @ 1.854
    Wade/Baghdad o2.5 $200 @ 1.512
    Font/Gomez u1.5 $100 @ 2.00
    Barroso/Mutapcic $300 @ 1.746
     
  9. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Anyone have any concerns that Mutapcic is fighting up a division? Plus he was blanketed by Jesse Taylor and the ultra boring Barroso may be able to use a size to implement the same strategy.
     
  10. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Bro...don't feel bad, I was on the wrong end of every split decision to move and lost 22 units… I even had Brandao and he looked on his way to winning quite easily until choking (quite literally)… Then a few days later the coup de grace came when I had Alabama -6.5 and they were up 11 points with little over a minute well and gave up a garbage time touchdown with 12 seconds left... I ended up down 45 units this month for my worst 30 they stretch in the last two years… Surely theBad what is over but I'm on the over… Good luck I hope you turn the corner too!

    ______

    BTW: thanks for the Weigh-In recap EZ

    I'll post my picks momentarily
     
  11. TNT10 White Belt

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    I had Brandao too.....that event really was a bad event for us huh, if Condit had gotten the nod it would've just about saved it for me, but as it was it was terrible. Hopefully we both come out of this one a bit better off, good luck!
     
  12. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    I like

    Cruz
    Pettis
    Browne
    Trinaldo
    Côte
    Wade
    Herman
    Blanco
    Felder
    Latifi
    Rosa
    Gomez
    Mutapcic
     
  13. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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  14. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Yea NBK & Noke slaughtered me..BOL
     
  15. pride_rules Brown Belt

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    gomez is for sure a live dog. 6-0 all 1st rnd t/ko and the guy has sick reach. "i think this guy understands range and leverage" making him a deadly puncher. him by 1st rnd ill be stabbing at for sure
     
  16. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

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    But didn't you predict Font in R1 in your write up? Not being critical just trying to figure out what to tail.
     
  17. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Why? His standup sucks. He's got outstanding killer instinct, but he's not really good at any aspect of MMA. He has not looked that good in a lot of his victories.
     
  18. wack3d Silver Belt

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    damn ouch man :( pretty much same thing for me.. got absolutely mudered.. even bet kanehara literally a few seconds before mcd pulled out the houdini move :eek: hopefully we will recoup over the next couple events.
     
  19. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    Think he is much more well rounded than Mitrione. Also partially a bet against "Meathead" who has folded against strong competition at every opportunity.
     
  20. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    Also wouldn't go as far as to say his standup "sucks"
     
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