I feel like at HW durability just matters so much more than at other weight classes. You're right, Browne really isn't anything special. And as was mentioned I think he keeps fighting even when hurt and I don't think Mitrione really does. At lower weight classes no way is that the factor it is at HW. I guess maybe because HW's just seem so much worse at slipping punches so someone seems to land something really significant way more often? And I guess if that happens it's just so much easier to back the guy who's shown he can get hit, even hurt, and still keep throwing and win. In other words in this fight: It's probably not slanted one way or the other too much as to which guy lands something big first. Both are capable, and it's likely one of them will (and probably early). If it's Mitrione, I think we can have at least some confidence that Browne would have a chance to weather it and keep fighting and still be dangerous. If Browne lands it, do we have anywhere near that level of confidence that Mitrione survives? I sure don't. He tapped so quickly in his last fight, there has to be questions about whether he can deal with any adversity in the cage at all. I think the odds sort of reflect this so it's not like I think there's huge value on Travis (though maybe a little), but no way would I back Mitrione at anything under about +200 here. Sure, he can win. But Browne has to be the favorite imo.