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UFC Fight Night 81 - Dillashaw vs Cruz

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 3, 2016.

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  1. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    I think cote / saunders hits the cards most of the time. I will be surprised if either guy gets a stoppage. Cote has already stated his strategy is to mitigate damage and fight smart which is what he does. 2 skilled and tough guys that kinda neutralize each other.

    Cote by dec me thinks
     
  2. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Im on the O2.5 but i still think theres a decent risk that Cote TKOs Saunders due to Saunders bad striking defense in the pocket and that Saunders subs Cote.
     
  3. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I don't know guys. I'd chill out on the Saunders NOT itd. I can totally see him finishing on the feet with knees or on the ground by a submission
     
  4. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yep me too. Easily the best value of any of them.
     
  5. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Cote has an iron jaw, cannot see Ben stopping him via strikes. If Cote allows this fight to go to the mat it will fly in the face of everything he's said about the fight. He's shown terrific fight IQ in the second half of his career, and Ben's wrestling isn't good. If Cote wants the fight standing it really should stay standing. And it's hard to imagine him not wanting it standing.
     
  6. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Saunders can rip those knees though. And chins eventually get cracked. I can also see him having trouble with Ben's length. I could be totally wrong, but I thought I listen to an interview where Patrick said if "I take him down, I need to pass to half guard quickly" or something like that.

    I'm on Cote fwiw, but I can easily see a finish or decision from either fighter. I think this is a fight where you just pick a ML and leave alone the outcome props
     
  7. MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    I think Felder/Cruickshank has a much higher chance of hitting FOTN than Cote/Saunders. Felder and Cruickshank are each other's ''type'' and I think they're going to try to out-alpha each other. I'm also liking the u1½ +173 for that fight, or at least consider the over not a good bet at -200 or something.
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2016
  8. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    I don't think Felder/Cruickshank has a good chance of getting FOTN at all. There's a few other fights that are way more likely to get it.

    Cruickshank is a striker, but he also has some wrestling skills that he'll try use at some point, which will only be his downfall.

    It's debatable who the better traditional martial artist is, but Felder is bigger, stronger, hits harder, and doesn't wilt under pressure like Cruickshank. I'd be surprised if it goes to a decision, unless Felder doesn't pull the trigger.
     
  9. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I think two things are very likely in this fight that prevented me from taking it. Cruikshank trying to wrestle, and felder with a finish in the first.
     
  10. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Saunders doesn't use his length at all. All of his striking comes in mid or close range
     
  11. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  13. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    +1000? Wow that is a great find. Currently +480 at 5s and I still kind of like it at that price. At +1000 I may have thrown a couple units at it. Nice find, hope it comes through.
     
  14. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    You could be right but stopping Stringer and Dempsey two non UFC calibre fighters doesnt convince me he is this wrecking machine. 40% of his wins are by strikes. Considering the relatively low level of most of them wins id be looking for at least 70% to be convinced.
     
  15. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    sunday live betting has been absent at times in the past. be wary. hope it's functioning.
     
  16. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea we were talking about it last week when it was +1085, i did a whopping 0.2u on it, so mad
     
  17. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Yeah thread was talking about that line when it opened EDIT EZ beat me to that. I was skeptical cause of Browne's gnp, but its stupid not to take a line like that for value considering Mitrione's horrible sub defense
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2016
  18. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    Browne with so many more paths to victory. Also agree 100% with those who have pointed out the disparity in toughness/resolve between these two guys. Mitrione has folded at basically every opportunity when he hits adversity while Browne has shown the ability to deal with it.
     
  19. MMAJay Green Belt

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    I have always had a casual way of betting, meaning that I just did it for the fun of it, placing whatever amount I wanted to, but I want to be more serious about my way of betting.

    What are your preferable way of betting in general? Do you follow a special method?

    Let's say that you max bet is 5 units (5% of your bankroll). How do you specify how many units you place on a bet? (difference in decision when choosing 1,2,3,4 and 5 units).


    Thank you in advance!
     
  20. edole Brown Belt

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    Edole official FREE MONEY play of the day******
    Dan Henderson had an iron jaw, Chuck Liddell had an iron jaw


    Death, taxes, and fading chins
     
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