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UFC Fight Night 81 - Dillashaw vs Cruz

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 3, 2016.

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  1. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    So your free money play of the day is based on the hypothetical of this fight being the one where Cote's chin has faded? Not sure thats the most sound strategy lol
     
  2. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Exact same play, I mean kanehara is a submission guy and has so many Ws that way yet mc somehow slipped out and kanehara might as well just said go on then, I think that was almost as painful as watching noke lose!

    Checked on schedule event on b365 it does say betting available on ufc @ 23:00/11pm or in 3hrs time, so hopefully live betting will be up even on prelims with some luck, unibet has it available fully from first fight also.
     
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Okay but what lately has given indication that Cote's chin is fading? You are just guessing that now is the time?
     
  4. Johananwtf White Belt

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    Joey Gomez (ko/tko) 5.00 the money on swedish unibet, i gonna hit that!
     
  5. smithwick Purple Belt

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    Cote is a GICT and an old one to boot, put money on Saunders, more reach, more tools, less wars.
     
  6. smithwick Purple Belt

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    Here are the parlays I bet

    Cruz, Pettis, Browne, Trinaldo

    Boetsch,Latifi,Felder,Saunders
     
  7. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Am on :

    Elvis
    Font
    Rosa
    Latifi
    Felder
    blanco
    wade
    Tim
    Cote
    Pearson
    Travis
    Pettis
    Tj

    Pretty much the big favs on the card, however I do like some dogs this event reckon Kyle, sanders, baghdad are interesting underdogs and late notice replacements, like cote decision and started to lean on trinaldo via split decision. Meathead is of interest but its at hw so anything can happen, when meathead is focused he is on it and I like his speed, foot work and fast heavy hands. Am intrigued if alvarez can perhaps use take downs and his wrestling to grind to a decision and if Cruz is still the real champ, will be live betting most of them as per usual.
     
  8. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    Anyone feel they have a really strong take on Dill/Cruz?

    Would like to hear it.
     
  9. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    You make no sense. You had a "FREE MONEY" play of the day on Sam Stout (Whos chin was clearly shot) against Frankie Perez...
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    If anyone has a strong lean on either side of the ML, I disagree.
     
  11. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Overs. Fight starts rd 3 I think is really good parlay fodder. Over 4.5 at -180 is my biggest bet tonight so far. Might hedge a tiny amount on TJ in rd 4 and 5. I'd be pretty shocked if it ends inside 3 rounds.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i agree, over is the safest play on the fight

    i can't commit more to the fight, tho; i took some early action on cruz, lil on cruz dec, and played dillashaw no scorecards as a psuedo hedge; right about 4u already risked on the card (tho i can't lose 4u on it presently, but you get the idea)

    i don't regret any of those plays, but i also might just do o4.5 if i could go back.
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    In the end you probably took the longer route to get to the same place LOL. If the fight goes late you'll probably end up winning about the same amount I'd guess. (I don't know your exact odds but just eyeballing your bets as to what 5dimes has right now it looks that way to me).
     
  14. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    Exactly.

    I could lie to myself and force a play here but why? Plenty of other action out there. Just going to sit back and enjoy this one as a fan. Nothing wrong with that. I haven't been this torn on a main event in a while. As a fan...I really want Cruz to win and initially planned on playing him. But if I am honest with myself +120 just isn't worth it.
     
  15. vkram Brown Belt

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    I love TJ no scorecards but can't get it in the UK
     
  16. Johananwtf White Belt

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    Finishes:
    Gomez ko/tko
    Llir ko/tko
    Browne/Mitrione ko/tko

    I'm going to parlay that, and do some singles. I feel Pettis vs Alvarez and Dom vs Tj is to risky to spend money on.
     
  17. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    You can always bet TJ SU and hedge with Cruz DEC
     
  18. Chronicsonic chocolate rain Banned

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    [​IMG]

    also £10 on browne to win in the 1st round for 25 return.. was tempted to put more on.
     
  19. vkram Brown Belt

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    that would end being about -135, should I get on it?
     
  20. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    If you really like TJ NO scorecards, than definitely get on it. You also get paid if TJ wins a DEC which you wouldn't if you played NO scorecards
     
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