UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Zombie Official Bets

4u KZ at -182
3u Mullarkey at -120
3u Silva at +160
3u parlay Crute-Park at -125
1.2u Antigulov at +300 (don't advise anyone to tail me on this one lol)
0.6u Striegl at +345 (Nurmagomedov will probably take that that but there is value on Striegl). It also would be funny to make money thanks to casuals who think he is Khabib's broher, I'm pretty sure Nurmagomedov's line wouldn't be half as juiced if he had another name lol

Good luck everyone

Edit: added a desperation parlay with Crute-Andrade-KZ (2u at +230), hope I won't bite myself in the ass for that
 
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Biggest night of the year in terms of amount wagering...(if the price on TKZ drops down, if it stays below -200 I will buy it)


5U JY Park -244 + TKZ -175 to win 6.07 U

2U Chookagian by decision +175

RD 2 TKZ TKO +900 2.5U (50/50 if I drop 2.5 U MORE on this, if price goes up to like +1000 then I will buy it but doubt it happens)

will be looking to drop some more on tkz ML depending on the line, if his price keeps going up it might warrant just not betting his ML. I think +150 is a good price and all for TKO, I’ll probably drop 1U-2.5U on it depending on price fluctuation as well.

Hoping that I don’t see the sharps going ham on Ortega, but I’m confident in the Zombir.
 
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4u KZ at -182
3u Mullarkey at -120
3u Silva at +160
3u parlay Crute-Park at -125
1.2u Antigulov at +300 (don't advise anyone to tail me on this one lol)
0.6u Striegl at +345 (Nurmagomedov will probably take that that but there is value on Striegl). It also would be funny to make money thanks to casuals who think he is Khabib's broher, I'm pretty sure Nurmagomedov's line wouldn't be half as juiced if he had another name lol

Good luck everyone


No 1 tails you anyway dont worry
 
On a bit of a hot streak (parlays). Will post if requested. Only thing I have at the moment was kind of on a wim, but still think very capable of hitting.
byu won
smu won
virginia
auburn
nc state
mullarky
park
krause (biggest iffy of the bet, but going for juice)
almaida (another ?able, but again, can def win, and juice)

40 to win 2,740

Going to bet a solid 2/1, 3/1, or 4/1 manana morning.
 
£1000 Ortega @ +175
£100 Ortega round 5 @ +3300
£100 KZ round 4 + round 5 @ +2500
£1000 Mullarkey @ -110
£300 Delija @ +400

need to watch tape on Krause fight and Andrade before committing
I think you will be one of few winning on me bet. Ortega going to make it nasty, thinking 3/4 rd sub.
 
Antigulov RD1 20 to win 180
Grishin RD1/2 197 to win 200
Antigulov/Grishin U2.5 + Robertson 383 to win 400

Malarkey 500 to win 400
Ziam 100 to win 125

Almeida 500 to win 400

Silva 400 to win 650

Bukaskas 145 to win 400

Chookagian DEC 200 to win 350

Full discretion there might be some hedges added on, and possibly a Phillips play, depending how my night starts + livebetting.
All I want is 2u profit on this card.
 
Chook by decision- 1u at 2.65

Martinez/Almeida ends in KO/TKO- 1u at 2.10

Gamrot ITD- 0.75u at 4.33

Said N ITD- 0.50 at 3.60

Ziam/Mullarkey to end ITD- 1.25u at 2.15

Park and Crute double- 1.5u at 1.82

Ortega wins 4/5 or decision- 0.4u at 5.00

My 'main' plays, but a bit of a hit and miss card here, can't decide clearly on either the main or co main so I added in a few small hedged and things for a few fights

Said by sub- 0.25u at 8.00
Gamrot by KO- 0.25u at 8.00
Andrade KO Round 1- 0.15 at 13.00
Antigulov round 1- 0.15 at 9.00
Roberts KO/TKO- 0.15 at 11.00
Zombie KO Round 1- 0.25 at 9.00

Never played a card like this before, lots of niche little spots if I hit a few small props it helps cover any bigger bet losses.

I have lost all focus and clear vision on half these fights, first I liked Krause, Zombie and Jessica, seemed obvious. Then I flipped back on all three and felt the dogs would be barking. Now I'm feeling favourites again... Subject to change last minuet but I'll see how I feel later.
 
Mullarkey €40 @ 1.70
Martinez €25 @ 2.25
Chookagian via Dec €25 @ 2.60
Zombie - Ortega starts Rd 3 €45 @ 1.75
 
Micro stakes for a couple of prop bets.

Who knows what Almeida looks like but I'd be surprised if he's changed from his kill or be killed style, he's just a violent guy. Surprised this is +110.

I doubt Andrade/Chook sees a finish and though Andrade probably grapples her way to a decision, I'm not overly confident so will just take the Dec prob at -200.

KZ ain't subbing Brian. If Ortega wins it's probably by sub but KZ has KOed 3 times and both eat a lot of shots so I'll take evens for a KO.
 

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