Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by BigSteve, Feb 20, 2021.
No odds for Barcelos vs Rojo yet but I bet Barcelos will open around like -500.
Think Gane by submission may be an attractive prop when it's released.
Surely there's value on Rozenstruik at +230?
Took 2U on Jacoby at -165, seems like a steal. Far more volume, better footwork, better in the clinch, good TDD. All I can see from Grishin is a low volume counter-striker, so it's just a KO or bust. But, once again the odds tell a different story. Not sure what I am missing? Size and reach advantage? I guess, but that can't be that big a factor.
i got him for 3, have a feeling I will leave it. Jacoby actually has the reach advantage.
What do people think the Yoder/Hill lines will open as??
Hill -200 i think, Maybe even wider
I think I like Oliveira here, Brown is very susceptible to the leg kicks and OLiveira is great at them, as he also showed in the Sobotta fight. Moreover Oliveira tends to struggle with wrestlers but he usually does well against strikers. Brown is also coming off a brutall KO loss to Luque. I think there is more upside with Olivieira here, although Oliveira sometimes shows questionable cardio and fight IQ, so he is always a bit of a wildcard.
Couple spots I like so far
Gane- more strike variety, better movement, better ground game
Ankalaev- some of the best striking at 205, probably a dark horse to win the belt
Rivera- I like the volume and combinations and think it goes the same as last time
Hill- See last explanation
Maybe Hernandez, and Knight too.
Mayra Silva is - 110, grabbed it. Everything else is brutally capped/priced for betting. Magomed at - 334? Fuck that.
Alexis Davis is the co-main? I hope that fight gets cancelled lol
why ios hernandez such a big favourite? the guy is a fraud who consistently gets short odds because of 1 lucky punch against Dariush. Hernandez has also lost a lot of his confidence and swagger, he is becoming increasingly afraid to get hit after the beatdowns vs Cerrone and Dober. He beat the worst guy of the division in Gruetzemacher, well great job. THis fight should be very close to pick'em if you ask me.
Hernández isn't all that but i don't rate moises highly at all.
not liking any bets for this card except for Rozenstruik at +225. Recency bias at play here -- this fight should be closer to 55/45
Man I've been trying to fade Gane for a while.
I think Delija would've been a huge test for him.
He should win this one, but the odds should be closer to -175 Gane.
Am I on crack for thinking Rosen should win this fight? He's 11-1 in the UFC with one shadow realm TKO by Ngannou and has what 50+ kickboxing fights? I understand his TKO of Overeem came after a long fight he was losing but these odds seem silly to anyone else? Oh and Gane has fought literally no one.
Why was Alexis Davis out so long, injury, USADA or did she retire? Also why is the fight at 135lbs? They're both 125lbsers
Maxim Grishin 150+
Yeah I'll take that one.
Gane striking is a few levels up in my opinion. Speed, footwork and defense is a big one. You get cautious when betting HW's but Gane barley gets hit even though his hands are down.
Rozen is complete opposite. He plodds forward,no head movement although he has a granite chin. He is also very hesitant and low volume. That first JDS round was ridiculous. I havent watched it since but I wouldn't be surprised if he lost it. He is deffs KO or bust in most his fights
tons more exp, good power, he is this card's Derick Lewis.
Why are they even running this back?
Edit: hill opening at north of -300 as of now...
How much stock was croom's win over Roberts worth?
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