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UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by BigSteve, Feb 20, 2021.

  1. BigSteve Green Belt

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  2. svmr_db Purple Belt

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    No odds for Barcelos vs Rojo yet but I bet Barcelos will open around like -500.

    Think Gane by submission may be an attractive prop when it's released.
     
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  3. bendoman White Belt

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    Surely there's value on Rozenstruik at +230?
     
  4. longway Purple Belt

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    Took 2U on Jacoby at -165, seems like a steal. Far more volume, better footwork, better in the clinch, good TDD. All I can see from Grishin is a low volume counter-striker, so it's just a KO or bust. But, once again the odds tell a different story. Not sure what I am missing? Size and reach advantage? I guess, but that can't be that big a factor.
     
  5. BigSteve Green Belt

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    i got him for 3, have a feeling I will leave it. Jacoby actually has the reach advantage.

    What do people think the Yoder/Hill lines will open as??
     
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  6. Broe. Brown Belt

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    Hill -200 i think, Maybe even wider
     
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  7. Broe. Brown Belt

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    I think I like Oliveira here, Brown is very susceptible to the leg kicks and OLiveira is great at them, as he also showed in the Sobotta fight. Moreover Oliveira tends to struggle with wrestlers but he usually does well against strikers. Brown is also coming off a brutall KO loss to Luque. I think there is more upside with Olivieira here, although Oliveira sometimes shows questionable cardio and fight IQ, so he is always a bit of a wildcard.
     
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  8. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Couple spots I like so far
    Gane- more strike variety, better movement, better ground game

    Ankalaev- some of the best striking at 205, probably a dark horse to win the belt

    Rivera- I like the volume and combinations and think it goes the same as last time

    Hill- See last explanation

    Maybe Hernandez, and Knight too.
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2021
  9. SolarSeiko Purple Belt

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    Mayra Silva is - 110, grabbed it. Everything else is brutally capped/priced for betting. Magomed at - 334? Fuck that.

    Alexis Davis is the co-main? I hope that fight gets cancelled lol
     
  10. Broe. Brown Belt

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    why ios hernandez such a big favourite? the guy is a fraud who consistently gets short odds because of 1 lucky punch against Dariush. Hernandez has also lost a lot of his confidence and swagger, he is becoming increasingly afraid to get hit after the beatdowns vs Cerrone and Dober. He beat the worst guy of the division in Gruetzemacher, well great job. THis fight should be very close to pick'em if you ask me.
     
  11. theTKDguy Red Belt

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    Hernández isn't all that but i don't rate moises highly at all.
     
  12. loller90278 Purple Belt

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    not liking any bets for this card except for Rozenstruik at +225. Recency bias at play here -- this fight should be closer to 55/45
     
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  13. Invictis Brown Belt

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    Man I've been trying to fade Gane for a while.

    I think Delija would've been a huge test for him.

    He should win this one, but the odds should be closer to -175 Gane.
     
  14. TrueAscension Brown Belt

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    Am I on crack for thinking Rosen should win this fight? He's 11-1 in the UFC with one shadow realm TKO by Ngannou and has what 50+ kickboxing fights? I understand his TKO of Overeem came after a long fight he was losing but these odds seem silly to anyone else? Oh and Gane has fought literally no one.
     
  15. 2020Tracked Green Belt

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    Why was Alexis Davis out so long, injury, USADA or did she retire? Also why is the fight at 135lbs? They're both 125lbsers
     
  16. OuterDrake Orange Belt

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    Maxim Grishin 150+

    Yeah I'll take that one.
     
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  17. BigSteve Green Belt

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    Gane striking is a few levels up in my opinion. Speed, footwork and defense is a big one. You get cautious when betting HW's but Gane barley gets hit even though his hands are down.

    Rozen is complete opposite. He plodds forward,no head movement although he has a granite chin. He is also very hesitant and low volume. That first JDS round was ridiculous. I havent watched it since but I wouldn't be surprised if he lost it. He is deffs KO or bust in most his fights
     
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  18. OuterDrake Orange Belt

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    tons more exp, good power, he is this card's Derick Lewis.
     
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  19. Kazda1 Yellow Belt

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    Why are they even running this back?

    Edit: hill opening at north of -300 as of now...
     
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  20. Kazda1 Yellow Belt

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    How much stock was croom's win over Roberts worth?
     

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