UFC Fight Night: Santos v Texeira

Foghorn Leghorn said:
I don't know much about Worthy (I'm sure I've seen him fight, just can't remember) but Ottman Azaitar looked to have really good striking against Teemu. If it's a kickboxing match and he's at dog odds...

Edit: in hindsight now that I've rewatched Khama's two ufc fights, I did see them and had just forgotten what happened. He's a good striker too but I'd take the dog. Should be a fun fight though
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It's really hard to look like you don't have good striking against Teemu Packalen
 
xhaydenx said:
Hill has improved a fuck ton on the ground over the years. Souza is likely a better sub threat than Waterson, and Hill survived against her for 5 full rounds with plenty of grappling.
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hill was subbed by Randa Markos in the very first round in 2019 and that was the first time Markos won by submission in 5 years LoL. Hill is terrible on the ground.
 
Really hope this isn’t the night where Brok suddenly has KO power and drops Jalin with a hook or something.
 
Crimp_Keeper said:
hill was subbed by Randa Markos in the very first round in 2019 and that was the first time Markos won by submission in 5 years LoL. Hill is terrible on the ground.
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It’s getting her to the ground that’s the problem no?
 
TrueAscension said:
It’s getting her to the ground that’s the problem no?
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I think he judo throws her ass at some point, in wmma fashion. Im on waterson sub myself lol

Edit: line has been hammered down to 4.60 wow
 
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TrueAscension said:
It’s getting her to the ground that’s the problem no?
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I guess it depends on the day. Randa had no problem getting Hill down in round 1 with an inside leg trip and Waterson loves those and that hip toss.

I definitely think Hill wins a decision on volume unless Waterson can hold her down for 3-4 rounds or finds the submission.
 
Crimp_Keeper said:
hill was subbed by Randa Markos in the very first round in 2019 and that was the first time Markos won by submission in 5 years LoL. Hill is terrible on the ground.
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She did great against
Crimp_Keeper said:
hill was subbed by Randa Markos in the very first round in 2019 and that was the first time Markos won by submission in 5 years LoL. Hill is terrible on the ground.
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Sure, but go look at Randa's opponents over the last 5 years. Lots of really good names that aren't likely to get subbed by anyone at SW.

Hill is terrible on the ground? Yet she's only had that one sub loss in the last 5 years herself. I don't think you're giving her improvement enough credit.

And Waterson isn't some amazing sub specialist. She's had two subs in the last 5 years, against very bad competition in PVZ and Mangana.

Just some things to consider there. I don't even know if I want to bet on that one. I'm scared of Waterson being really quick on the feet like she used to be lol.
 
xhaydenx said:
She did great against


Sure, but go look at Randa's opponents over the last 5 years. Lots of really good names that aren't likely to get subbed by anyone at SW.

Hill is terrible on the ground? Yet she's only had that one sub loss in the last 5 years herself. I don't think you're giving her improvement enough credit.

And Waterson isn't some amazing sub specialist. She's had two subs in the last 5 years, against very bad competition in PVZ and Mangana.

Just some things to consider there. I don't even know if I want to bet on that one. I'm scared of Waterson being really quick on the feet like she used to be lol.
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For sure, I agree with all your points. She has faced mainly strikers in last few fights which is why I think she hasn't lost via sub more. I'm definitely worried about Waterson being low output and unable to land takedowns if Hill comes in the best shape of her career. I mainly think Hill will gas in the 3rd, allowing Waterson to potentially land a sub or win a dec. I'm definitely nervous for this one.
 
Almost every favorite this card are so f'n juiced. It's going to be an interesting day.
 
2020Tracked said:
Don't think Ivy has ever gone to decision, win or lose, not to see he can't like
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Barberena is tough and a step up in competition, and Ivy's PTV is grappling, so could just end up being a gritty decision, well, that.s my thinking on it. I played Ivy's ML too. So, Barberena R1 will prob be the result.
 
2020Tracked said:
Don't think Ivy has ever gone to decision, win or lose, not to see he can't like
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Barberena is tough and a step up in competition, and Ivy's PTV is grappling, so could just end up being a gritty decision, well, that.s my thinking on it. I played Ivy's ML too. So, Barberena R1 will prob be the result.
 
Tirimasuperman said:
Sorry but you're a fucking retard if you think Pereira was a justified favourite going into that fight

He won, but has 0 fight IQ and has gassed hard in most fights he's had previously

It's really easy to say "there were great betting lines elsewhere in the card that could win because they won", but just because a fighter won their fight doesn't mean they were necessarily the right side
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Yeah okay. Winless guy in the UFC shouldn't have been the dog. Sure.
 
Are Herb Dean and Chris Tiognoini betting these fights? All of the weird stoppages coming when those two are in the octagon.
 
Fuck my life, I’m gonna need to make this a plus week and I see some dogs coming out on top...

gonna risk prolly a unit eacH or more depending on how confident I feel

Cerrone @ +140
Sarah Alper @ +170
Mickey Gall @ +265
Meerschaert @ +whatever

I don’t really get the Mickey gall line, Baeza was getting pieced you by old man Matt brown before he knocked the old man out. Mickey showed that he had pretty good striking in the perry fight and I can’t imagine laying juice on baeza like that.

needa watch film on the Sarah chick, but JRC is fade material. If Sarah is useless I’ll probably hop on JRC by decision or fgtd
 
Vitor Apologist said:
Fuck my life, I’m gonna need to make this a plus week and I see some dogs coming out on top...

gonna risk prolly a unit eacH or more depending on how confident I feel

Cerrone @ +140
Sarah Alper @ +170
Mickey Gall @ +265
Meerschaert @ +whatever

I don’t really get the Mickey gall line, Baeza was getting pieced you by old man Matt brown before he knocked the old man out. Mickey showed that he had pretty good striking in the perry fight and I can’t imagine laying juice on baeza like that.

needa watch film on the Sarah chick, but JRC is fade material. If Sarah is useless I’ll probably hop on JRC by decision or fgtd
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Mickey Gall pulled out of the fight vs Miguel Baeza
 
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