Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 15, 2017.
Nate is the dog. o1.5 is -115. Pleaseeeeeee give me a super juicy line on Nate dec
You'll probably get your wish but I could see Nate finishing. Alvey is a tough sumbitch but Nate still has big power
I hate not being able to snag opening lines as UK bookies release so much later than 5dimes etc.
Love Marquardt as underdog, I feel he should be favorite here, don't see what Alvey has for him, Nate is smart enough to stay away from those heavy hands.
Also like Cerrone and Shevchenko....at the right prices.
Yeah and have fun standing at kicking range with Assuncao, he's gonna kick the living shit out of your legs.
I'd be surprised tbh. Nate has power but like you said, Alvey has a hell of a chin. Plus I feel like one of the few things left I can count on with Nate is fight IQ after the Tamdan fight. And if I can count on that, I have to believe he'll be wrestling in this one too and staying on the outside on the feet well outside of Alvey's power. Alvey has zero footwork, so no point in giving him what he wants and stepping into punching range.
Most importantly though is the value. Fucking PRAYING for over +400 on that line
If mas nc is juicy Im taking a stab, mas got a chin and cerrone is hittable
I agree with you overall, but one of my new years betting resolutions is to lay off hitting so many props, I'll just hit Nate's ML and be happy. We've seen stronger chins cracked by weaker punchers. But I know they are more your style. I was actually having a lot of success with them between November and December last year but I think long term I should just cool it.
If we get +4xx I'll break that resolution real quick lol.
Alvey actually gets wobbled quite often. I think Nate has about a 50/50 chance between a decision or a finish if he picks up the win. Also, if you think about it, Alvey rarely faces guys who strike.
I'll prob sprinkle some on his moneyline too. Idk when the last time Nate scored a sub is, but i'm kind of more worried about that than a KO. I just dk what Alvey's guard is going to look like vs someone with a legit top game
Prices gonna play a major factor here but yeah luckily I have 2 weeks to think about how to spread out my money. Alvey is def hittable, so maybe its not worth full risk, and Nate isn't going to just Elias Theodorou him the whole time
I believe it was against Te-Huna a couple years back. Actually Nate showed pretty much exactly the type of fight that you want to see heading into this one. Probaby a good one for tape watch
it's crazy how much the perception of masvidal has changed over the past year or so. he was a decision machine and now everyone always thinks he'll finish dudes
for the record I dont think this goes the distance but @ +150 or better I think it holds value just because mas is so durable
Im not feeling the nate love. Hes pretty low volume himself and his chin is shot just like him. Hes had two nice stylistic fights. Alvey has good tdd nate aint the same bull gear free. Alvey took nicholsons shots who is a huge puncher. I like alvey for the ko here.
hoping for a good price on the jingliang/nash fight, i have a strong lean.
i like nate at dog odds, need masvidal to get a bit longer. ngannou is a pass. i need to watch tape but i think assuncao could be parlay material (although not in love with the current price).
Just a reminder, this card is in high elevation. Cardio bigger factor than usual for sure
I like Alvey too. I'm hoping to get him closer to even money though.
Ive bet ngannou every fight so far hes had in the ufc i think. Here i will be on arlovski @ +3xx ngannou shouldnt be this favoured.
Me too its dropping.
man, idk. if we're looking at their last fights, marq was much more impressive to me than alvey
Separate names with a comma.