Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 8, 2017.
Natal dec +360 has a little value imo.
Other props I'm gonna stab really small:
Villante rd 2 at +575. His rd 1 prop pays crap, and Cummins could easily hit a TD and control Gian for a round, only to get clipped in rd 2 and finished.
Brazilian Cowboy KO +625. If he can stuff some TD's, LaFlare can be hit. BC will go balls out for the finish too.
Burgos dec +390. Pepey has 1, maybe 1.5 rounds worth of cardio. But he is tough, and even if (when) he gasses he could survive. Assuming he doesn't get put away early or pull off the upset of course.
I think better to just play him straight, I think he wins outright. Anders can't match him anywhere skill wise, Anders probably needs a KO to win, haven't seen Anders sleep anyone with one shot, most of his stoppages are on the ground. The only advantage Anders has is in athleticism, I think if Natal's chin holds up he wins, it held up for 3 rounds vs Whittaker.
Natal was the favourite vs Boetsch, now he's the dog vs a guy who has no UFC fights and is coming in on short notice. I think Natal has many ways to win, expect this to look like the Kevin Casey fight. There's just a big skill and experience gap here that I don't think Anders' athleticism makes up for. Natal is past his prime and has been in the game a long time but he's being underestimated.
I always liked Rachelle Leah back in the day.
Geez, pepey up to +475...
Ufc starting at 4 et today btw. 2+ hours earlier than usual (cause fox main card(s) start earlier)
Surprised it's not 330 et, with 5 fights between them and 6... If long fights they could go over.
Anyway just reminding ya. It's earlier today.
I'm getting to old to sit up and watch until 6am anyway.
Plz don't let me lose my band
hedging pepey at 6.45 at mb. hedging is for pussies but gotta here
Pepey up to +600 for a moment, Cummins +170
Some of these odds are getting a bit silly.
Burgos -1025 and still getting bet LOL its nuts how some ppl just dont seem to care about prices at all
Can't believe I'm seeing Burgos @-900 on betsafe, what the fuck is that?
wtf. cummins +185 atm
i liked him at f'ing evens..
Insanity. I put half a unit on Pepey now just because the line has gone into crazyland.
adding like another half unit to cummins at +185. was gonna wait till after rd 1 but i gotta.
also tiny bet on pepey NSC +416 (but still mainly looking for burgos in rd 2 or rd 3)
Freerolling Villante ITD for 1u now, essentially. Villante DEC would leave me down a little over 1.5u but I'll gladly risk that
I cannot see Pepey winning a decision at all, so I will get some from Pepey ITD at 7,00
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