UFC on ESPN+ 28 Lee vs Oliveira Official Bets

Barzola at 1.75 for 2 unit
Bruno Silva at 2.00 for 1 unit
Brandon Moreno at 2.35 for 1 unit
Maia at 2.25 for 1 unit
Do Bronx at 2.05 for 1 unit

Added

Markos at 3.70 for 0.40 unit
Do Bronx by KO/TKO at 9.50 for 0.25 unit

I'm going to wait and see how the first few fight feels in the empty stadium and if it's not too different or weird I'll probably bet Walker and possibly Trinaldo.
 
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4u Moreno
1u Maia
1u Olivera
2u Lee. Switched over after he missed weight.

Hedged on Burns.
Parlayed Moreno and Maia though.
 
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Maia +145 $500

Moicano -280 $832

Krylov +130 $500

Trinaldo DEC +165 $400
Trinaldo/Makdessi O2.5 -207 $1600
Trinaldo/Makdessi GTD -185 $717

Formiga -139 $1064

Ribas DEC -130 $400

Barzola -130 $500
Barzola RD3 or DEC +115 $500
Barzola/Yahya O2.5 -182 $2200
Barzola/Yahya GTD -163 $215

Mayra Bueno Silva -128 $1812

Silva/Dvorak O2.5 -102 $500
 
parlayed Macedo ITD and Dvorak ITD 100/708
other bets I like
Macedo ML/ ITD
Silva/ Dvorak FDNGTD
Bueno Silva TKO
Ribas ITD
Walker/ Krylov U1.5
Lee/Olivera U2.5
Damir ML
 
Lee Fight won’t start round 4 -195 $195

Oliveira ITD +180 $60

Maia +157 $400

Trinaldo DEC +190 $100

Yahya/Barzola GTD -170 $340

Yahya/Barzola O2.5 -190 $500

Trinaldo/Makdessi O2.5 -225 $394

Randa Markos DEC +405 $80

Randa Markos ITD +950 $20
 
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Usually i beat the line movement and hit them early, but got in late this time and wrong line movement other than Hadzovic NSC.

2u on Macedo at 1.54(Hate this bet and didnt think the size difference would be that big)
2u on Macedo NSC at 1.63
----------------------
2u on Barzola at 1.53
-----
2u on Hadzovic NSC at 3.70
-------
1u on Johnny Walker/Krylov U1.5 at 1.67
----------
1u on Charles Oliveira at 2.40
 
Feels like a weird one. First card with no crowd not sure what to think of that.
Oh well here anyway with my peanuts and usual shenanigans.

●Lee 3.75u for 2.75u
I think he has the better stand up and grappling.

●Barzola 2u for 1u
He should have a power advantage here

●Walker 2.75u for 2u
Hoping he tightened up his defense up either way he is a powerhouse striker

●Kunchenko 2u for 2u
NSC 1.75u for 1.5u
He came pretty close to getting a win over Burns.

●Lee+Barzola 2u for 3.25u

●Maia points handicap+ Makdessi points handicap 1.5u for 2.25u

Good luck fellows! Keep your hands clean and all hail the Redman for giving us something to do while the world shuts down.
 
Taped 5 fights, with Moroz-Silva and Krylov-Walker being no-bets. Might add a prop on Yahya-Barzola, but for now, it's a very modest

1.2u on Macedo at -150
2u on Yahya at +175
1.6u on Ribas by decision at -135
 
In the past decade this is by far the longest i have gone between placing bets. So happy Dana has the balls/ is reckless enough to continue with the fights.

Lee
Burns
Walker
Makdessi
Formiga
Renato/Ribas
Elizeu
Enrique by decision
Bueno
Bruno
Malecki
 
UFC on ESPN+ 28 Risk $3,177.30

Kevin Lee/Charles Oliveira Under 2½ (-147) $147.06 for $100.00
Kevin Lee/Charles Oliveira Under 2½ (-155) $155.00 for $100.00

Demian Maia (+155) vs Gilbert Burns $200.00 for $310.00

Johnny Walker (-123) vs Nikita Krylov $123.46 for $100.00

Francisco Trinaldo/John Makdessi Over 2½ (-235) $235.00 for $100.00
Francisco Trinaldo/John Makdessi Over 2½ (-240) $240.00 for $100.00
Francisco Trinaldo wins by Decision (+200) vs John Makdessi $100.00 for $200.00

Jussier Formiga (-156) vs Brandon Moreno $156.25 for $100.00

Randa Markos vs Amanda Ribas: No Bet

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Alexey Kunchenko: No Bet

Enrique Barzola/Rani Yahya Over 2½ (-199) $199.00 for $100.00
Enrique Barzola/Rani Yahya Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
Enrique Barzola/Rani Yahya Fight Goes The Distance (-165) $165.00 for $100.00

Mayra Bueno Silva (-145) vs Maryna Moroz $145.00 for $100.00
Mayra Bueno Silva (-150) vs Maryna Moroz $150.00 for $100.00
Mayra Bueno Silva (-150) vs Maryna Moroz $300.00 for $200.00

Bruno Silva/David Dvorak Over 2½ (-108) $107.53 for $100.00

Bea Malecki (+145) vs Veronica Macedo $100.00 for $145.00
Bea Malecki (+135) vs Veronica Macedo $100.00 for $135.00
Bea Malecki wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+600) $75.00 for $450.00
Bea Malecki wins in round 2 (+850) $20.00 for $170.00
Bea Malecki wins in round 3 (+1300) $39.00 for $507.00
Bea Malecki wins in round 3 (+1550) $20.00 for $310.00
Bea Malecki/Veronica Macedo Under 2½ (+117) $100.00 for $117.00
Bea Malecki /Veronica Macedo Under 2½ (+115) $100.00 for $115.00
 
@AffectEffect where are your pre fight bets? Curious to see if your shit talking is warranted. (Everyone knows it’s not) so either post your bets beforehand or shut the fuck up.
 
620660315-1 3/14/20 5:00pm $33.70 $144.80 Pending 3/14/20 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1039 Lee wins by submission +400* vs Any other result

620629104-1 3/14/20 1:23pm $100.00 $155.50 Pending 3/14/20 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Demian Maia +155* vs Gilbert Burns

620590692-1 3/14/20 1:27am $205.00 $205.00 Pending 3/14/20 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 Lee wins inside distance +100* vs Not Lee inside distance
620590692-2 3/14/20 1:27am $10.00 $67.20 Pending 3/14/20 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1429 Makdessi wins by TKO/KO +672* vs Any other result

620561634-1 3/13/20 7:42pm $15.00 $82.50 Pending 3/14/20 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1039 Lee wins by submission +550* vs Any other result

620561602-1 3/13/20 7:41pm $125.00 $140.00 Pending 3/14/20 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 Lee wins inside distance +112* vs Not Lee inside distance

620166134-1 3/11/20 3:48am $57.50 $50.00 Pending 3/14/20 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 Lee wins inside distance -115* vs Not Lee inside distance

619959280-1 3/9/20 10:42pm $200.00 $260.00 Pending 3/14/20 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Nikita Krylov +130* vs Johnny Walker


2/29/206:20 PM
Placed - Single To Win $ 94.00
  • Demian Maia (+160) Gilbert Burns vs Demian Maia

2/28/209:34 PM
Placed - Single To Win $ 685
  • Kevin Lee (-145) Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira

I'll never be back on here if Kevin Lee loses, strongest lean I've had in a while. The bov bet on the bottom wouldn't let me copy the bet amounts, I ss'd all and will post if I win.

This may not be a lot to some of you, but this is like legit 80% of my BR. I cashed out a decent amount at the beginning of the year for rent.

GL tonight gents
 
Taped 5 fights, with Moroz-Silva and Krylov-Walker being no-bets. Might add a prop on Yahya-Barzola, but for now, it's a very modest

1.2u on Macedo at -150
2u on Yahya at +175
1.6u on Ribas by decision at -135

Decided to change one of those no-bets to a bet, hitting Moroz at +150 for 1u. Also 1.44u on Burns at -160. And then hit a live-bet of 1u on Charles Oliveira at +120. +3.6u for the night.

Don't mind the small Macedo bet; she won round 1 exactly as I expected her to. I had concerns about her cardio, but she hardly cuts anything to make 135, AND I thought Malecki's cardio would be poor, too. Which it absolutely was...just not as bad as Macedo's! I would have lost around that amount anyways, as I would have put 1u or 1.5u on her at +100 after round 1 and/or +650 after round 2.

Really happy with my Yahya bet, and he wins that fight easily just one year ago, when he had a little more energy. He is pre-programmed to grapple, but he should have just kickboxed with Barzola in round 3, especially given how easily he was beating him striking in round 1. Oh well.

As noted, I bet against Moroz with Mazo at -160 for a large amount, but this time, against another fighter that was better than her, I bet Moroz at +150, learning my lesson!

What I am KICKING myself about is only putting 1.44u on Burns at -160, since I hadn't actually taped the fight at all. I should have done so, as I was thinking this could be a 4u or better spot. Oh well.

A winning night is a winning night. Look forward to the next event, whenever it might be.

Edit-

Added a live-bet for the main event to win a little more!
 
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Usually i beat the line movement and hit them early, but got in late this time and wrong line movement other than Hadzovic NSC.

2u on Macedo at 1.54(Hate this bet and didnt think the size difference would be that big)
2u on Macedo NSC at 1.63
----------------------
2u on Barzola at 1.53
-----
2u on Hadzovic NSC at 3.70
-------
1u on Johnny Walker/Krylov U1.5 at 1.67
----------
1u on Charles Oliveira at 2.40

I think its no secret i make like 80 % of my profits in livebetting. I hate that and in 2020 i wanted to earn more pre-bets. Started out great in 2020 with a small pre-bet profit, but down again with the pre-bets. I had a bad feeling for this event and i was right.

-3.6u in total for this one. Hope everyone did well. Hoping to get the pre-bet back into profits again soon. Pretty much 0 for 2020 in pre-bets lol.
 
£200 Maia +175 to win £350
..............................................
Total profit: -£200


My betting portfolio 2020 for anyone that is interested.

 
Maia +145 $500

Moicano -280 $832

Krylov +130 $500

Trinaldo DEC +165 $400
Trinaldo/Makdessi O2.5 -207 $1600
Trinaldo/Makdessi GTD -185 $717

Formiga -139 $1064

Ribas DEC -130 $400

Barzola -130 $500
Barzola RD3 or DEC +115 $500
Barzola/Yahya O2.5 -182 $2200
Barzola/Yahya GTD -163 $215

Mayra Bueno Silva -128 $1812

Silva/Dvorak O2.5 -102 $500

+$1487, can't complain. Really hope the UFC can keep going through the coming weeks.
 
Barzola at 1.75 for 2 unit
Bruno Silva at 2.00 for 1 unit
Brandon Moreno at 2.35 for 1 unit
Maia at 2.25 for 1 unit
Do Bronx at 2.05 for 1 unit

Added

Markos at 3.70 for 0.40 unit
Do Bronx by KO/TKO at 9.50 for 0.25 unit

I'm going to wait and see how the first few fight feels in the empty stadium and if it's not too different or weird I'll probably bet Walker and possibly Trinaldo.

Barzola was a push, got Trinaldo decision, Dvorak, Moroz and Brandon Moreno again on live bet... And I am limited on yet another bet365 account.

Just lol at Lee trying to deny the tap
 
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