UFC on ESPN 7 PBP/Discussion

Four seconds left for crying out loud.
 
Fucking really? This sport...

You lucked out on Song escaping with a draw versus Stamann (+4 units) AND Rothwell winning via repeated groin strikes when he was being dominated (+5.4 unit swing). (Nevermind you being saved last weekend on a garbage Blach bet at heavy minus odds)

You're the absolute LAST person who should be bitching about bad luck tonight, clown.
 
Yo that was almost the shot Pettis caught WB with fucking leaping hook
 
What a bullshit stoppage. On the bright side this win will continue to give rozen inflated lines. Maybe we can get francis at evens vs him.
 
You lucked out on Song escaping with a draw versus Stamann (+4 units) AND Rothwell winning via repeated groin strikes when he was being dominated (+5.4 unit swing). (Nevermind you being saved last weekend on a garbage Blach bet at heavy minus odds)

You're the absolute LAST person who should be bitching about bad luck tonight, clown.
Damn Paul, even on a winning night you have to act like a little bitch.
 
What a bullshit stoppage. On the bright side this win will continue to give rozen inflated lines. Maybe we can get francis at evens vs him.

Bullshit stoppage? The guys face came off like fucking Travolta.
 
I am resisting the urge to send her extreme hate mail with my tickets attached.
It's not her fault you made a bet. You can't lash out at others for your decisions. You clearly let your personal feelings affect your judgement and analysis. It's probably best someone with your temperament does not gamble. Good luck, get help.
 
Bullshit stoppage? The guys face came off like fucking Travolta.
He wasn't out though clearly still had his bearings and got up really fast. Literally 3 seconds later and bell rings with Rozen losing decision.
 
I posted that a few seconds before the "ko" it looked all but over.
Yeah I'm just as having too much fun. Reem almost had it, still Biggi looked like he earned his spot on the marquee before the finsh.
 
I’d dump half my bankroll on Ngannou vs this Rozen scrub
 
Volkov and now Overreem...As Miocic would say, what can you do, its heavyweight...Ugh that feels bad, going from winning to losing based on that...Like hard to analyze, what to do better except perhaps hedge...Well I guess this is where the luck plays a part...but overreem was definitely tired..the stoppage though.. Not sure about that, he got up, yet rozen didn´t pursue, still 4-5 seconds, that shouldn´t matter if a fighter is done, but was very quick he got up...but damm, that sucks...

This sport yes, indeed. Times goes slow when you bet overs and fast when you bet unders, i sometimes count the seconds, or turn it into percentages to try feel we get closer...was like at 90-95% and boom, damm.
 
Last edited:
Dan put a hand on Rozen which pretty much ended the fight. The optics were weird because it appeared Big Dan called the fight off after Reem got up. Not the worst stoppage to be honest, but it was weird that Big Dan waited so long to wave it off.
 
He wasn't out though clearly still had his bearings and got up really fast. Literally 3 seconds later and bell rings with Rozen losing decision.

He got up because Rosen didn't follow him to the ground with great vengeance and furious anger and when he popped up he inconveniently wobbled horizontally across the cage. Dude was out.
 
I’d dump half my bankroll on Ngannou vs this Rozen scrub
Can we admit the man has hands? Rewatch the Lewis bout and tell me Francis wrecks him. But yeah I'd beat against him there at decent odds
 
Aspen Ladd won. I had to leave the sports book; come home and lay down. I just got destroyed. No more gambling for me. I am in total shock. I cannot believe she lost. I have never been so sure about a fight ever. I don't understand how Yana could fuck this up so bad. I am resisting the urge to send her extreme hate mail with my tickets attached. I honestly don't see how she could've lost like this. In none of her previous fights was she this horrible. Even against Cyborg she made a run of it before getting (understandably) TKO'd.

This is really, really bad. I am flabbergasted. I cannot see this barking dog was able to win. This is absolutely nuts. I went back and bet another $4800 on Yana and Yana parlays. To make it even worse - all the other parlays picks won - except Yana.

I want to curse up a storm and say really horrible things about this women but since there is no more free speech online I know If I go off on a rant I will get banned even here. It's probably for the best. I need to do some long soul searching and quit gambling.

The day Ladd vs. Yana was announced I studied this fight and got in 3 weeks prior. I was waiting and spending my winnings before this fight. That is how sure I was here. Now I am out almost $9,800 plus the money I dumped on other things - spending my winnings before they won.

I not only feel bad for myself but anyone else that bet on Yana because of my analysis. I went over everything - history, statistics, watched all the fights, personal lives. I even checked the influenza/flu chart in Washington D.C. to make sure there the flu is not going around. Travel dates. Arrival dates and from where. Everything. The only thing I missed - ironically - is that Yana is banging Thaigo Santos and left her Husband and child with a broken home - in order to bang this guy. She is out of Russia for a few months and already she behaves as a westernized "liberated" American women. So I suppose her loss is divine justice and I can take some consolation in that. But even with that new information about her personal life; business is business and it would not have been enough for me to sit this out. All the lights were green on this trade and it still went horribly wrong.

To add insult to injury; all my other parlay picks won EXCEPT YANA and now I have lost big. I am lucky I make an upper middle class income. For other people this would be 10 months rent.

In spite of that - I cannot keep doing this. I have to quit gambling after this. This is it for me. I play way too many parley's because winning a couple thousand on singles is nothing for me. So it's like what's the point. Yana's pathetic light to an over hyped lesser experienced - lesser in every way fighter cost me almost $30,000 in winnings. I should sent her camp hate mail. But if I did that - I would be exposed by social justice media warriors who would write all kinds of fake news click bait lies articles - and since the average person today has the attention span of a goldfish and thinks only with emotions - I would end up losing my business/clients.

Apologies to anyone who relied on my analysis. This is why I keep this gambling to myself most of the time.

The arrow on Yana's career is pointing down out and over after this.She even said herself beating Ladd does not give her a title shot and the division has nowhere to go. After losing here - she is now a flushed out fighter. I also noticed how OLD she looked at the weigh ins compared to young Ladd - but thought little of it. I also noticed heavy action coming on on Ladd at the last moments pushing Yana up to a +160 underdog - but again I thought it was dumb money fan boys and thought nothing of it and went and bet even MORE money on Yana.

Yana's next fight should be against Ashley Evans Smith or Jessica Eye. After this loss Yana is trash and has nowhere to go in this sport anymore except the bottom of the division. Her movement sucked. Her range sucked. Her kicks sucked. Her JJ sucked. She did not offer up ANYTHING except play to Ladd's only strong point. She could've literally ran around the ring boxing her and range and won on points. That's all she had to do. Instead she clinches up with Ladd and willingly goes to the ground. Yana didn't even offer up anything off her back! Because maybe the only thing she has left to offer up off her back is to Thiago Santos.

I have been betting on UFC for years. I am now out a large chunk of cash over this. Almost $10,000 cash. Not credit. Not casino markers. CASH. It's not the first time. I got absolutely killed in 2018. The only other time that I bet so much money on a fighter I was so sure would win - was Robbie Lawler vs. RDA where Lawler showed up to fight with a torn ACL and didn't tell anyone. Lawler went 5 rounds regardless nonetheless I still got taken to the cleaners and to add more insult to injury was accosted in the Sports Book by a vagrant scammer and a drunk redneck and his friend. But unlike that fight - in this case there is zero reported injury or excuse for Yana to have lost by TKO in the 3rd.

I will need to do some serious soul searching if UFC gambling is something I want to continue as an entertaining side hobby business. My account has gone down into the red again and I'm not gonna martingale it up like I did the last times..

My deepest apologies to anyone who bet based on my analysis. I think it's better if I take a long, long vacation at this point. Best of luck.









....
You wanted to get glib about millenials acting 'emotional', but like I told you, you got issues man. The fact your obsessive hate jumped from Ladd to Yana should be a big warning signal that there's some toxic thoughts simmering in your head that go far beyond just losing bets in gambling.
 
Oh wow to say that completely destroyed my night is an understatement! Probably lost 10u in that moment with my original bet and busted 15-1 parlay. Will go back in my cave now!
 
Back
Top