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UFC on Fox 18 - Post Your Bets!

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 22, 2016.

  1. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    This thread is not to discuss the fights or bets as you can do that in this thread: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/official-ufc-on-fox-18-thread.3145819/ Post your bets in here and use the edit function to add to them as you go.

    Singles
    Barnett: $7.50 to win $4.69 Loss
    Ellenberger: $3.75 to win $7.69 Loss
    Reis: $3.75 to win $6.38 $10.13
    Cyborg: $3.75 to win $3.13 $6.88
    Ferreira: $3.75 to win $9.19 $12.94
    Alcantara: $3.75 to win $5.63 Loss
    Butler: $2.50 to win $6.50 Loss
    Bader: $2.50 to win $6.13 Loss
    Casey: $2.50 to win $3.75 Loss
    Reiswerg: $2.50 to win $3.50 $6
    Oliveiri (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.50 Loss
    Medina: $1.25 to win $5.31 Loss
    Blodgett: $1.25 to win $3.31 $4.56
    Bradley: $1.25 to win $2.50 $3.75

    Foxworth: $1.25 to win $3 Loss

    Risk of $43.75 $44.26

    Parlays
    Caceres + Makashvili: $7.50 to win $6.38 $10.28
    Gamzatov + Bader/Rumble ITD: $6.25 to win $3.80 $10.05
    Firmino + Barnett/Rothwell ITD: $3.75 to win $4.29 $8.04
    Field over D. Johnson + Sullivan (+3.5): $3.75 to win $3.20 Loss
    Field over Rory (Abu Dhabi) + Reis/Ortiz over 2.5 + Makashvili: $2.50 to win $3.14 $4.19
    Field over Day (Farmers) + Freire + Brown/Dwyer ITD: $2.50 to win $2.87 Loss
    Field over Day (Farmers) + Freire + Daley + Sage: $2.50 to win $3.02 Loss
    Sullivan (+3.5) + Honeycutt/Bradley Dec: $2.50 to win $2.70 Loss

    Risk of $31.25 $32.56

    RISK OF $75 $76.82

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $201.56 Running Profit = $36.56 (Approximate ROI for year 10.8326%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2750.75 Total Profit = $2731.75 (Approximate ROI: 12.8233%)
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2016
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Bader RD 4: 0.085u +3450
    Bader RD 5: 0.065u +4450
    U1.0: 0.5u +194

    1.85u barnett -185
    0.5u O2.5 +140
    0.3u rothwell DEC +647 (psuedo hedge)

    2.23u rivera -112

    3u saffiedine -185

    1.5u dwyer +177

    1.5u natal -150
    0.98 natal-casey O2.5 -140
     
  3. Medical Marijuana Man Buddah Buddah Buddah Banned

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    Rumble + Barnett $10 to win $10
     
  4. trucido Blue Belt

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    3 units on Rivera @ -140
     
  5. MMAJay Green Belt

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    5 units on Rivera @ -170 (First 5/5 Units bet)
    2 units on Barberena vs. Nortcutt over 1.5 @ -135
    3 units on Martin vs. Felipe under 1.5 @ +130
    4 units on Sullivan vs. Yakovlev (Sullivan no scorecards) @ -105

    I actually have alot of bets for this event. Will maybe add more of them later on.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2016
  6. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Damn, man. Good luck
     
  7. daggen Blue Belt

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    Rivera 2.5 U @ +110
    1 U Barnett itd @ +173
    0.5 U Barnett sub @ +375
    1 U Dwyer +170
     
  8. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Tarec + AJ 1k @ -110.
     
  9. MMAJay Green Belt

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    @Sham5916910

    If I may ask, how big of a roll do you have? And how many units are a 1K bet?
     
  10. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    1k for me is currently around 7/8 units.
     
  11. wack3d Silver Belt

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    Rumble vs Bader Under 1.5 +125 > 70$
    Rothwell Dec +745 > 15$
    Rivera -142 > 200$
    Rivera Dec +150 > 30$
    Rivera Round 3 +1550 > 10$
    Saffiedine No Scorecards -150 / -127 > 200$
    Saffiedine KO/TKO +415 > 20$
    Saffiedine SUB +800 > 20$
    Saffiedine ITD +300 > 20$
    Natal Dec +200 > 50$
    Fullen +250 > 50$
    Fullen Dec +503 > 20$

    Hail Mary:
    $3.00 $11,227.09 Pending 8 Team Parlay
    Win 1/23/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 3103 Fodor / Firmino goes 3 round distance -190* vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance
    Win 1/23/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 3203 Foxworth / Willis goes 3 round distance +185* vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance
    Pending 1/30/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1203 Rivera / Alcantara goes 3 round distance -155* vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance
    Pending 1/30/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1431 Saffiedine wins by submission +870* vs Any other result
    Pending 1/30/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1611 Natal wins by 3 round decision +170* vs Not Natal by 3 round decision
    Pending 1/30/16 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1711 Ortiz wins by 3 round decision +115* vs Not Ortiz by 3 round decision
    Pending 1/30/16 5:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Fullen wins by 3 round decision +503* vs Not Fullen by 3 round decision
    Pending 1/30/16 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2104 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -185* vs Olivieri / Martin goes 3 round distance
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2016
  12. proudamericanda Banned Banned

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    Parlay: Safdeidine/ Barnett/ Rumble $50 to win $107
     
  13. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Added Rumble KO + Saff £50 @ +110.
     
  14. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    So far...

    £20 AJ/RB under 0.5 rounds at +360
    £12.50 Natal by KO/TKO +650
    £80 Barnett -137

    I'd like to have six or seven bets per card. I don't pull the trigger anywhere near often enough, last time out bottled a +350 winner twice in about half an hour (Wade sub, Ilir/SOC under 0.5) which fucked me off no end.
     
  15. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ^^ don't limit yourself. if you like a play, bet it. who cares if you have 7 bets already. altho, don't force yourself, either. if you have too few, don't make unnecessary additions.

    let's keep this thread to bets only, just wanted to say that
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2016
  16. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    I veer far too much on the side of too cautious, I know this as a fact. No need to increase stake sizes or anything like that (personally, I never bet more than 2units unless I'm absolutely certain it hits a lot more often than the odds indicate), just have to pull the trigger more often,
     
  17. piglord Black Belt

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    fuck i love those bader r4 and 5 odds EZ
     
  18. lefontes Purple Belt

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    1u on under 2,5 tarec/jake
     
  19. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Saffiedine + AJ 2u @ +102
    Rivera 2u @ -139
    Dwyer 0,5u @ +180
    Natal 1,5u @ -161
    OAM 2u @ -250
    Barnett/Rothwell O2.5 0,5u @ +137
    Northcutt/Barbarena O1.5 1u @ -143
    Reis/Ortiz O2.5 + Sullivan/Yak O2.5 1u @ +101
    Barnett + Hendricks 2u @ +114
    Bader r4 0,05u @ 3300
    Bader r5 0,05u @ 4000
    Bader dec 0,2u @ +850
     
  20. ninjadeathcult Black Belt

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    Pretty much done , Bader Round prop bets are silly prices at sportsbet

    Barbarena +280 $25
    Bader Round 3 +2200 $12.50
    Bader Round 4 +2500 $12.50
    Josh Barnett -150 $37.50
    Martin/Oliveira under 1.5 $25
    Diego Ferreira +235 $12.50
    Ortiz -230 $50
     
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2016

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