Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 17, 2017.
I think Trujillo is going to knock Vick's head off.
OSP is one of my bigger leans and Im probably gonna play the ITD line but we should watch tape on the guy before judging him.
Definitely not, unless Osp is shot (he did look terrible vs manuwa.. tho manuwa likely deserves the credit)
The last time I saw oezdemir , he was getting worked over on the ground by anundson. I haven't seen his two more recent fights
He was supposed to be co-main for 5 rounder in titan last week.. so it should be noted that he is likely to be in good shape despite short notice here
Hill all the way up to +300? I'll stab that.
Vick has no wrestling. It isnt bad wrestling, bad would be an improvement on what he has. Can Trujillo take advantage?
Trujillo will be winging hooks and overhands. Vick's striking defense is awful. If he does go for takedowns, I hope he does it from the clinch. Honestly, I think Trujillo just bullies the shit out of him throughout. My only worry is he can get caught in a guillotine or some form of front choke. Trujillo will be my biggest play of the event, but I'm also going to play ITD. I think Trujillo wins ITD and Vick's best chance by far is ITD.
So I wanted to keep fading Felice Herrig, but since I lost last time around I decided I needed some extra input about the match up. Thus I gave my full time grappling brown belt friend who went to ADCC a couple of years ago a fight pass subscription and asked her to comment on the grappling of Grasso and Herrig. Let's just say she wasn't impressed. I think she mostly felt that Herrig was "dumb" in her grappling while Grasso just wasted too much energy and missed opportunities a lot in general, but she thought Grasso would win.
Good enough for me, I've joined the train which probably has some cool name I have no idea about.
On a side note I was really impressed by Grasso in general while watching tape, she might be the next reasonably sized thing.
Vick has decet hands but not sure he has the power to keep Trujillo at bay. ITD is pretty likely; Trujillo KO or Vick by submission if/when Trujillo gasses.
Last 4 fights here on fight pass:
Skelly last 2 fights
According to his ufc profile Chris is a Arizona state wrestling champion, trains grappling and ji jitsu, but from the his tuf fights and last fight he tends to use his style more defensively, did not see him initiate take downs too much. He prefers to stand and bang and press forward a lot, but he also looked a bit green during scrambling and ground exchanges, he got his back taken few times also.
And on that last point that is one of Skellys fav go to submission moves in taking back mount and sinking in rear naked chokes, Chris has better cardio here so has a chance but skelly has shown he still has the better style to control most of the fight if not finish it via sub.
I like skelly su or as parlay fodder here, perhaps a flyer on Chris decision
I wonder what the line is gonna be.
It's a weird setting and some guys just don't seem to be able to fight the same on TUF, but Chris looked awful from what i remember. I think Skelly is pretty safe here.
I put a unit on Abel at -115, but will probably add another 1-2 units. Want to see which way the line goes. I don't think Vick will be able to keep him from swarming and if he doesn't finish, which I think is very likely, he can still win the first two rounds even if he gases late.
Wow whats the deal with Hamilton vs Fortuna? Hamilton's is like 4 inches taller and is gonna have like, no joke, 50lb on Fortuna come fight time. I'm gonna go big on Anthony if I can get him at 1.6 (can't use Pinnacle/Unibet and only crappy Sbobet now because of Skrill pulling out of Japan. Ugh.)
On Hamilton for 2U at 1.58 (Bet365).
Just starting with that card .
Feel a bit that I can be untrustworthy with my last BOBBY “didn’t made American wrestling great again” Nash campaign haha but remember I;ve totally predicted what happen with Masv and Shev !
So still ! sharing is caring !
What I would bet so far;
Tecia (ML / O 2.5 waiting for odds)
Hamilton o 1.5
Thinking of :
Herrig vs Grasso can be upset – something tells me to be careful with that fight. UFC want to build up Grasso badly . She is cute, talented, unbeaten but i don’t buy a hype yet – I just don’t see the killer instinct in her ( JJ, Gadhela, Rose, even Karolina that maybe has no finishes but she’s like fockin tank with her pressure ). Grasso should take it but at current odds probably bet small on Herrig maybe sub, she is very athletic and cause a lot of problems.
Ramos vs Tanaka –first feeling - Ramos can be worth to play here ITD, checking tape .
Oh nice it's finally on. Thanks
[email protected] ovince and Andrade odds. Fuck you bet365...
I feel like this card is going to make me rich.
Pretty confident in all those picks.
Here's my tiny bit of basically useless inside info, I was at UFC 204 and saw OSP leave the arena to get onto the fighter bus, he left on crutches and how he fell on his own leg after the KO; I wouldn't be surprised if he had to rehab a knee injury coming into this fight.
haha, are you using poor 's' as a 'capping scout' ?
Can you share why you are confident in Tanaka vs Ramos ?
Separate names with a comma.