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UFN 105 - Lewis vs Browne - Halifax

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 30, 2017.

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  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    No ones talking about how bad Lewis looked last fight, btw..

    Quite frankly, the guy is only good at ground-and-pound
     
  2. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Browne all day, even if he is regressing regarding athletic abilities, BB looked horrible last fight and Browne only losses the last years comes from killers like Cain and Werdum. He is smart enough to not get underneath BB and as long as he does he should win a dec.

    Unibet has his ML at 1.75, but I want it a bit higher to play him straight.
     
  3. trucido Blue Belt

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    I'm glad more people are picking Browne now, was a little worried when I seen people's initial leans were BB, thought I was going crazy hahah. I'm a fan of BB but he is basic imo, his cardio sucks, he's pretty slow, and all he has is weight and power.

    As Sadistics mentioned, Browne looked pretty good vs Mitrione before the eye poke from what I can remember, the way I see it is that Matt is a much faster and in general better striker than BB by a long shot, don't get me wrong, BB could easily knock Browne out in the first, but if the odds on Browne are around -110, I see the value in him
     
  4. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Lewis did look bad vs Shamil but its that type of guy who can stick and move that will have the most success vs Lewis. I dont think Browne is as good in that department so im gonna continue fading Browne here.
     
  5. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Looks like im the only one with you there. I'd like a parlay price on fight ends itd more than anything, but I can't touch Browne. Moving gyms, his gf getting crushed, looking like shit lately. I can easily see BB swarm him and kill him
     
  6. chemmy Green Belt

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    Although it'll be a fairly low-confidence play, I think I'll be on Brown.
     
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Cant browne stick and move? Bit rusty on how he fights.
     
  8. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    He seemed to lost his footwork after he's ridiculous run in '13. but maybe this could be contributed to the type of calibre his opponents are. He's been fighting HW GOAT after GOAT in the past 2 fights Im kinda rusty aswell so imma need to watch tape.
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    the issue here is lewis just isn't a quitter. when i said "all lewis has is GnP" i'm not really being fair. he's also very durable and his best asset is that he keeps trying to get up. he doesn't quit. it only takes one time for him on top to possibly finish browne.. he can be down 2 rounds to pesta but as soon as he gets on top, here come the Donkey Kong punches.. likewise down 3-0 to abdurakhimov...

    i'm leaning towards browne prefight, lewis live, maybe.
     
  10. chemmy Green Belt

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    That's a really good point. It really showed in the Roy Nelson fight too where he kept trying to get the job done until the last bell. Keeping an eye on BB's live-bet line is probably a good call.
     
  11. iGnP Silver Belt

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    So do you think Browne DEC is more likely than Browne ITD?
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    hard to say.. browne has shown glimpses of good finishing ability in the past.. and it is 5 rounds.. idk.

    i might consider lewis NSC tho, yes
     
  13. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Confidence in Hapa: gone.
     
  14. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Yessss Black Beast finna swang and bang on this fool for sure
     
  15. cCrown Blue Belt

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    i just listened to the interview with browne and okamoto. He said about edmond "i think edmond has a good mindset and tactics for mma and he thinks he himself was the limiting factor".

    He also said that his previous coaches never taught him how to fight technically and that he had to learn it mostly from his teammates and that he basically depended on his athletic ability. The moment he went to edmond he had the opposite problem where he relied too much on his skill and not enough on his athletic ability.

    Btw listening to browne is a chore. The guy does not seem to have all that much going on up there. It's baffling to see how his perspective is basically the opposite to the people that view it from the outside looking in.

    I was leaning browne initially but i'm definitely going the other way now especially considering the dog odds on lewis.
     
    Last edited: Feb 1, 2017
  16. Dick #TeamGaethje Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Totally agreed. I'm going heavy on Black Beast now. Browne just won't learn from his mistakes.
     
  17. Stunna77 Brown Belt

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    Yeah Browne still training with Edmund is crazy and he doesn't sound all too confident from the cliffs posted by Crown. Thinking BB probably lands one of those concrete blocks he calls fists on Browne's dome at some point. Also, it would almost be a guarantee that if BB ends up on top Browne will get pummeled. Five rounds just seems too long to avoid all that power if he fights tenative and keeps getting backed up by a swarming gorilla.
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC Fight Night 105: Lewis vs. Browne
    FEBRUARY 19, 2017
    Scotiabank Centre | Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

    Derrick Lewis -115
    Travis Browne -125

    Over 1.5 +125
    Under 1.5 -165


    Hector Lombard -120
    Johny Hendricks -120

    Over 1.5 -180
    Under 1.5 +140


    Cezar Ferreira +125
    Elias Theodorou -165

    Over 1.5 -190
    Under 1.5 +150

     
  19. cCrown Blue Belt

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    loving the hendricks line
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i took O1.5 +125 on browne - lewis

    i also took mutante +125 against theo
     
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