Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 30, 2017.
BB/Browne is a 5 rounder, right?
betsafe i believe
Unibet always has them, just worded differently. They always have the line Fighter x to win by finish:
"No" being "not fighter x itd"
and imo hendicks will be far, far less effective at 185 than 170. lawler was a mid-level mw and prime hendricks was no better than robbie and johhny is far removed from his prime
i think people are moreso fading usada lombard and his two brutal ko losses than anything else
New wave of bettors that parlay heavy favorites. I thought MMA was a sport known for it's unpredictability.
The result with these boneheads juicing up a guy like Reis all the way up to -700 is that they're able to win pennies to the dollar and it ruins the entire market price for anyone to profit and the bookies pretty much win in the end.
I don't know who's influencing all these people to lay the juice (that fury guy?) but to counter act it you just gotta take your chances on some of these dogs and unfortunately skip a few fights if you need to. But then you get opportunities to take chances on guys like Oezdemir +335 against non-elites like OSP.
People seem to have some sort of betting scheme that they conjure up and don't realize that every card is a different puzzle to solve and it's always a new thought process. I personally take it 1 card at a time.
Hendricks is a no brainer play at dog odds imo. Not saying he's a guaranteed winner but you'd have to have a great reason to play Lombard at those odds
I guess I could see a small play but I just don't see it being the lock some on this board do. Neither fighter is very predictable in any sense and youre strictly gambling if you think you know what shape Jonny will be in, Lombard will be in and what either one of them of them will have in the tank.
Yes , Luca Fury hammers the big favourites. For UFC 208 he betted on Islam , Poirier , Souza and Glover ITD
I think you're right and I think it's become where you have to take some small fliers on huge dogs and then slam anyone you really like that is better than -200. It's a crazy game but people will eventually back off of betting these hugs favorites.
For example the upcoming tferg/Khabib fight. Whichever side you are on that is probably a fight to look really hard at.
Well, i don't think we will see Hendricks worse at MW unless he just doesn't give a fuck about fighting anymore. He was very obviously draining himself way too much at 170.
And I can actually argue Lombard is very predictable. He's not going to be a cardio machine in this fight. Hendricks, for all his flaws and boring style, can still take a punch and has one of the best wrestling pedigrees to fall back on (I acknowledge it hasn't completely translated into MMA, but still).
Hendricks is one of the better bets on this card. I think he gets it by decision.
Me too. Already hit the +387 dec line for 0.75u
Is Volkanovski really on this card??? UFC.com has him listed but sherdog doesn't have him listed and a line for him obviously hasn't been released.
I'm 2-0 on people named Volkan so far I'd like to make it 3-0. But I suppose I still gotta check out who this Quinones guy is.
I think the opposite. JH is mentally and physically on the decline. I will fade JH vs. Almost anyone right now.
Both guys looked bad in their last showing. However IMO Browne looked really bad v ver-boom
It must be because its he main event.
so does lombard. his last win is against old shields 3 years ago. then got his ass partially kicked by magny and then old dinosaur hendo beat the fuck out of him. hendricks has the best chin of all lombards past opponents so he has the biggest chance to survive first few minutes.
Mutante could be the most improved guy on the UFC roster. His fight IQ got way way better.
Interesting. Lombard just got viciously knocked out by Hendo, is probably off the juice, only really has 1.5 rounds in his tank before he slows down to a snails pace, and hasn't finished someone since 2013. Yeah Hendricks has looked like crap but it's been against Magny, Lawler, Wonderboy, and Kelvin
Yeah I thought so. The o1.5 threw me off initially and I realized this wasn't supposed to be the main event so I wasn't sure
Yes thats true, i feel for Browne like i did for Nover last night, does not have that fighter mentality anymore. No bet for me.
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