1. The official Sherdog Store is back! Check it out! » Discuss it here! »

UFN 105 - Lewis vs Browne - Halifax

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 30, 2017.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    is public so high on zahabi because he is firas's brother?
     
  2. piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,904
    Likes Received:
    319
    Location:
    Sewers
    after last night, i'm sure there is going to be an opportunity to hit a draw at crazy odds real soon before the books catch up.

    hendricks / lombard could be a real sloppy gas fest with one of the rounds being a 10-8.

    lewis / browne is another possibility if it doesn't finish in the first.
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,236
    Likes Received:
    0
    Hes off now which im gutted about
     
  4. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,892
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Sweden
    Hendricks is 2.30 at Bet365, putting 1.5U on that and will most likely play the dec as well.

    Lombard is a completely shot fighter who only has one good round in him. Hendricks still has a good chin and I believe he will come in motivated due to past failures.
     
  5. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Can anyone find Gavin Tucker's fights? Hate newcomers who are hard to find tape on. Thinking Sicilia could be a good dog when Tucker beats nothing but bums, but need to see him fight.
     
  6. quincy k Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2016
    Messages:
    3,653
    Likes Received:
    0
    lombard almost killed both magny and henderson before getting stopped himself

    getting kod by hendo last year is nothing to be ashamed of. even at his advanced age dan was still able to ko boetsch and almost stopped bisping.
     
  7. iGnP Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    11,728
    Likes Received:
    10
    Right but look at the Magny fight- he couldn't finish it, gassed, and Magny took advantage. Hendricks isn't a cardio machine like Magny but how fresh do you expect Lombard to be if Hendricks is able to take him down and ride him til the end of the round? Again, both have red flags. But lombards is a lot bigger imo and he's a favorite so yeah
     
  8. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    1,408
    Likes Received:
    0
    Hendricks is just a predictable theoretically. He's going to be fat,
    Even though it's a weight class up, because he's going to eat like crap and not take his camp seriously. Hendricks, can take a punch but he has no power in delivering punches. And his wrestling has gone to crap.

    I'm not advocating Lombard but I'm not sure how anyone is acting like Jonny is a sure bet.
     
  9. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2016
    Messages:
    2,382
    Likes Received:
    0
    The kid is a killer. Great ground game, good killer instinct and isnt afraid to mix it up. Wont be surprised if he finishes Scillia. Scillia being promoted to Brimage's spot of being fed to dangerous up and comers.
     
  10. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Have you found his fights?
     
  11. Wardoom White Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2014
    Messages:
    92
    Likes Received:
    0
    What is your point? No bet is a sure bet. Given what we know and the odds presented to us Hendricks is the smart pick.
     
  12. iGnP Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    11,728
    Likes Received:
    10
    Look at the weigh ins- Hendricks doesn't look flabby, he just looks like his body won allow him to make 170 anymore
     
  13. rille31 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    4,198
    Likes Received:
    323
    Location:
    sweden
    Lombard ml and then lb big riggs after round 1
     
  14. TimCoreCombat Green Belt

    Joined:
    May 19, 2015
    Messages:
    1,408
    Likes Received:
    0
    I realize that but I'm saying that this is much more of a Holm/GDR fight than jacare/boetsch.
     
  15. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    I'm on Ricci at +275 for 1.1u.

    This is going to be a close fight. The way I see it is Felder is the more athletic guy, and might be able to hug on the fence due to being physically stronger and solid experience in that area recently against guys like Trinaldo and Burkman. But Ricci has serious value. He is likely going to throw more volume, Felder is a great style for him (guy who is likely to stand in the center and doesn't have very good footwork), I think his fight IQ is higher, his accuracy is higher, and his defense is better. I'm actually really impressed with Ricci's defense, hes not a guy whos easy to land a powerful shot on at all.

    I can't believe Felder is this juiced, and I pray no one in here is going to play him loll. I'm not expecting a big difference from ml to Ricci by decision when the over is -270, but i'll consider adding if there is. Felder is not going to have an easy fight at all here, I think this reeks of split decision and I like Ricci's chances of squeeking it out via cleaner shots landed and likely more volume too.
     
  16. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    Best video i found of him. Nothing on fight pass. Seems to be a short powerhouse with nasty hands and great Bjj. Not gonna put anything on Sam here.

     
  17. Officer_Brown The Cuck of MMA betting. Look at my pretty face. Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2016
    Messages:
    4,297
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    2017 MMA betting profit: $8330
    Are you sure you watched tape about the right guy? No disprespect but Ricci is a bum. He is 34 and his last 9 fights went to a decision. Kennedy walked him down Glenn style easily and kicked his ass. You have to grind Felder or be a better striker than him to beat him. Ricci is not even close to that. Everything Ricci does plays into Felder's strengths. It's a gimme fight for Felder to get him back on track.
     
  18. Medical Marijuana Man Buddah Buddah Buddah Banned

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2015
    Messages:
    14,701
    Likes Received:
    2
    Going big on Browne/Lewis over 1.5
     
  19. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    Lol @ Zahabi being -215 when he's fought only bums so far. In the fights of his on YouTube he doesn't look like a high end prospect either. Hard to gauge his skills vs these guys but he doesn't seem like anything special athletically and you can tell he's still developing as he makes a few low level mistakes even in domination. Think dummies got caught up in the name recognition and all finishes and threw down on him when lines opened for those dumb reasons.

    This is a bet with more hesitation than Ricci, but I've gotta put a unit on Vieira. Big step up for Aimenn, Vieira has been in this spot against a lot of developing young fighters he beat (Dileno, Bruno Korea, Mattos). My hesitation comes from potential for Aiemann to pick him apart from the outside similar to what Beltran was doing, but I don't see any signs of Aiemann having that sort of speed or evasiveness in his footwork. Also, it's possible Vieiras Miles are catching up to him as I thought his performance against Beltran was probably the worst I've seen from him. I think if anything, the prices will tighten and I will have a chance to buy out but for now gotta ride with the vet here
     
    Last edited: Feb 12, 2017
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Messages:
    22,457
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    NJ
    I would be pretty surprised if Felder dominated this. Kennedy was a horrible matchup for Ricci, he was more athletic and was able to just get right into Ricci's face all fight. I think he could prob do the same to Felder. Don't overvalue an over rated fighter like Felder, -365 is waaayyy off imo
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.