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UFN 106 - Belfort vs Gastelum - Brazil

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 21, 2017.

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  1. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Is spanish and says something like

    "you, who drops blood with me will always be my brother"
     
  2. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Gian KO/TKO up to +317. I'm hitting that. If Shogun is really shot even Gian with his limited arsenal and speed could catch him.
     
  3. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Means KO/TKO up to +190????

    Yes please! He's pissed at BC about what he thinks was faking to find a way out last time. Means itd is only +107, and doubtful he goes for the sub. He's gonna try to beat the hell out of BC. This is way better than paying juice on Means imo. BC will look for a way out if getting battered again.
     
  4. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Scared as fuck for tonight. Think this is my biggest risk event ever, and I seem to have a dissenting opinion on most fights from people in here and the public. It also doesn't help the last two Brazil events (think they're the last two. The Santos-Spicely debacle and UFC 198) were my two biggest losing nights ever
     
  5. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    I feel similar, I have a lot riding on Barbs and Gas, if any of those two lose I am fucked.
     
    Last edited: Mar 11, 2017
  6. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    FOTN:

    Borg/Juicy A +600
    Soto/Yahya +2000
    Burkman/Prazeras +1700

    I think Borg/Formiga is the favorite to win. Could be some great scrambling and back and forth action.

    Soto/Rani maybe Rani dominating early then Joe coming back? Probably won't win but +2000?

    Josh/Praz could be fun? Burkman always game and if Praz really presses the action could be exciting? +1700 nice payout...
     
  7. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    I like Shogun/Gian fight as fight of the night. Shogun has been in wars, I can see this one being another entertaining fight.
     
  8. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    Means wins in round 2 - +450
    Means wins in round 3- +800

    Such good value, I am hitting those two as well.
     
  9. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yeah but +300...no value.
     
  10. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    You don't see value in fight that has a good chance to be FOTN at +300? I am taking a shot, I learned my lesson trying to be too greedy. But all of those others you mentioned are good picks as well.
     
  11. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    Trying to hit event props is a losing man's game. WAY too much variance to be successful long term imo.
     
  12. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yeah no value to me. Could it win? Sure. Maybe co-favorite with Borg/Formiga to me. I just don't see value at +300. If it was +600 like Borg/Formiga I'd be all over it.
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I keep those bets tiny for fun. I'd tend to agree though. I'm sure I'm down a little on them over the years.
     
  14. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    Well you are on Burk and Dariush, you should be scared lol
     
  15. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    Fair enough, it's all fun at the end of the day.
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    So you can RR rd 3 bets on:

    Means +900 (Kinda self explanatory)
    Shogun +950 (Gian gassing always a chance)
    Lee +1600 (Much younger, better cardio maybe? Could be a bit of a reach here I guess...)
    Soto +1875 (We've seen Rani gas before. He probably doesn't get stopped but never know)

    At $.50 each it costs $5.50 to RR these. If somehow all 4 hit the payout is over $27k. If 3 hit worst case is about $1k. If any 2 hit worst case is about $100.

    For five bucks, why not?
     
  17. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    @Joseph Budden GL tonight. My last comment came off douchier than I had intended
     
  18. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    {<huh!}>
     
  19. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    lol its all good my man, not like your last comment doesn't hold truth
     
  20. Cptn1NSAN0 shows no mercy

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    If Gast loses we are all fucked. 'cept @Oblivian.
     
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