D
Dogga
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he said he had time off to heal it but it's still not right, he's still missing a ligament. he says it's ok once he tapes, can't trust that though.
Injury, short notice, foreign country, unpredictable opponent and -300
UFN 110 - Lewis vs Hunt - New Zealand
- Thread starter Mcgregorian
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Injury, short notice, foreign country, unpredictable opponent and -300
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FW: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Mizuto Hirota
Hirota :
In sum: Veteran wrestle-boxer with more mileage on him than Clark Griswold's Wagon Queen Family Truckster from National Lampoon Christmas Vacation fame.
Volkanovski:
In sum: Volk fights like a rabid dog. Continuous pressure. Reminds me of Khabib with his pace Technical across the board. Vicious GnP with major power. Good top control. Has no worries of getting hurt entering pocket. Top Australia prospect.
FlyW: Tim Elliott vs. Ben Nguyen
Nguyen:
In sum: Ben is an excellent striker with Iowa of diversity in his techniques. He has excellent footwork and cuts sharp angles to land perfect counters. Unfortunately he has a mediocre takedown defense which prohibits is striking skills from shining bright. Makes a lot of unnecessary and unforced errors that put him in poor positions.
Elliott:
In sum: Has tough cut to hit 125 lbs and may be dealing with some jet lag. He Is taking this fight on short notice. Often fights to his opponents level. Worse still, he has shown a penchant of nonchalantness if you will. That is to say, sometimes he doesn't care about about winning or losing but instead is often more concerned with putting on a show. i.e. The "Uncle Creepy" factor.
Prediction: expect to see lotsa grappling exchanges and vapor trail inducing scrambles. May need to come back watch in slow-motion replay. IMO Odds are a bit off. Ben is an excellent fighter and Elliott took this on short notice and is making a very long 19 hour and 26 minute flight. Hard to back him at these odds. That said, if Elliot is able to get his wrestling going and is 80% of the fighter he can be when fresh, he should remain a step ahead throughout the night.
Elliot by split decision
LHW: Ion Cutelaba vs. Luis Henrique da Silva
Cutelaba:
Silva:
In summary: Frankenstein enjoys a good slugfest but takes lots of damage. Isn't concerned with using foot work but rather takes two shots to give one back. Just covers up and returns fire which let's s 4 oz. gloves sneak through the guard. He has mediocre takedown defense and because of his homerun hitter mentality, he slows down tremendously as the fight goes deep. As the minutes go by his technique gets worse and worse.
Fight will likely be contested in the clinch. Ion needs to get the contest outside of the opening 3 1/2 minutes. As the minutes to buy his chances to win increase exponentially. Both men, Ion and Silva are still very young at 23 and 27 years old respectively. While the duo have suffered a pair losses in the UFC, I believe Frankenstein's are much worse. Specifically, losing to Misha Cirkunov and Jared Cannonier are infinitely more acceptable than getting smoked by the likes of Paul Craig and Jordan Johnson. Ultimately, this should be Ion handing the Brazilian his UFC pink slip.
Prediction: Ion first-round knockout
LW: Ross Pearson vs. Daniel Hooker
Dan Hooker:
In sum: with a record of 3-3 in the UFC, the New Zealand native is incredibly erratic and just cannot stop stepping on rakes. Every time he gets a bit of momentum he finds a way to lose. This is often due his low fight I Q. Too often Hooker will forgoe the path of least resistance in favor of an unnecessary slog. In short, he has demonstrated himself to be the type of individual who would try and cut his way through the brush without a spoon when he has a machete in his back pocket. Nevertheless, he does seem to be rounding the corner and entering his prime. Even in his last loss to Jason Knight there were flashes of brilliance. Moreover, a loss Knight at this price bears no shame.
Pearson:
In summary: Despite his gangly reach hooker doesn't control the distance as well as he should and lots of opponents in tight. He was chewed up by Maximeo Blanco in this exact fashion. He's a bit foot slow and takes a lot of damage moving forward. However, he has seemingly progressed and looked his best on the feet against a very well-rounded Jason Knight in his last outing. He's getting stronger and his frame is filling out and the move up to 155 pounds should do him a world of good.
lol Although he is a good boxer, Pearson doesn't possess the same hand speed he used to. He can't seem to pull the trigger on the counter anymore and barely ever works the body. The Brit has plateaued if not out right began to be devolve. Worse still, he has mentioned the dreaded "R" word. That's not good when you are taking on a young hungry lion — in his hometown no less. I believe that Hooker puts a pace on Pearson and just batters him with a relentless barrage of punches, kicks and elbows that make Pearson rethink his career choice. A very old 32 years of age, I just don't believe that Pearson has the stomach to get down and dirty and fight a war of attrition anymore.
Hooker has a bottomless gas tank and granite chin. He is going to be in the Englishman's face all night long slicing him up with his well sharpened cutlery that he is his elbows. Even if the worst happened and Pearson invokes the wrestling route, Hooker's grappling is the superior and could even find a potential submission. Anyway you slice it, Hooker wins and likely even gets a late stoppage
Prediction: Hooker the third round TKO
MW: Derek Brunson vs. Daniel Kelly
Kelly:
In sum: Dad-bod Dan is hear again and prepared to take what is his by birthright. The coveted dad bod physique that should have him on the front of Men's Health magazine and not that pansy Dana White.. Joking aside, Dan Kelly is oh very solid all around fighter. Fundamentally sound, his boxing looks like shit but it gets the job done. He has a good jab, and like George Foreman would say, "A good jab will take you a long way" and this has proven true. With a Judo black belt, his takedown defense is as impenetrable as was trying to push over a fire hydrant with your bare hands. Kelly continuously shrugged off in a advances from an excellent wrestler in Rashad Evans. However, streak be damned, Kelly is completely slow, robotic and as stiff as a 150 year old Redwood — and just as durable.
Brunson:
In summary: Let's cut to the chase. Brunson should win this fight. He is a dynamic athlete in the prime of his life. The only thing that holds me back is that he is erratic and flaky as mentioned. Another warning sign is that he isn't training in Albuquerque with Greg Jackson and camp but instead has set up his own facility in his hometown of North Carolina. He will often completely eschew fundamentals. Such as rushing in with his head held high and chin in the air which is exactly what him knocked out by Robert Whitaker. This is something I anticipate that he has learned from him.
As good as Daniel Kelly has been of late, I believe that run ends here. In my estimation we are witnesses to a bit of a Anthony Perosh-esqe resurgence happening here just with different fighter. Like the Aussie before him, Perosh was once all the rage following a few surprise upsets and his age. After strangling French kickboxer Cyrille_Diabaté, The unbelievable happen when "The Hippo" came through as like a +600 underdog and smoked BJJ ace Vinny_Magalhães via TKO in like 13 seconds. Anthony Perosh was the original Dad-bod Dan.
Nevertheless, Brunson has everything on his side except for mental fortitude. This was a fighter who are you was taking it to Romero. Took Romero down multiple times. Winning until the bottom falls out. Should likely have won on the cards vs. Anderson Silva.
DB comes in with laser like focus and annihilates Daniel Kelly in a fight that afterword we all collectively say "Yep! How did we not know this was going to happen? Derp!t.
Prediction: Brunson by first-round annihilation
Hirota :
- Good technical boxing. works head and body
- Tough as nails. durable
- Never stopped x tko.
- Journeyman at this point of his career. But a wily veteran
- Takes a lot of dmg
- No real finishing abilities
In sum: Veteran wrestle-boxer with more mileage on him than Clark Griswold's Wagon Queen Family Truckster from National Lampoon Christmas Vacation fame.
Volkanovski:
In sum: Volk fights like a rabid dog. Continuous pressure. Reminds me of Khabib with his pace Technical across the board. Vicious GnP with major power. Good top control. Has no worries of getting hurt entering pocket. Top Australia prospect.
FlyW: Tim Elliott vs. Ben Nguyen
Nguyen:
- Ultra athletic
- Quick twitch muscles and very explosive.
- Low fight IQ
- Underrated wrestling and submission skills
- Loads of volume
- Creativity
- Fantastic cardio
In sum: Ben is an excellent striker with Iowa of diversity in his techniques. He has excellent footwork and cuts sharp angles to land perfect counters. Unfortunately he has a mediocre takedown defense which prohibits is striking skills from shining bright. Makes a lot of unnecessary and unforced errors that put him in poor positions.
Elliott:
- Heavy pace but often slows
- Excellent wrestling
- super strong 125 pounds
- Great in scrambles
- Loves lots of front chokes.
In sum: Has tough cut to hit 125 lbs and may be dealing with some jet lag. He Is taking this fight on short notice. Often fights to his opponents level. Worse still, he has shown a penchant of nonchalantness if you will. That is to say, sometimes he doesn't care about about winning or losing but instead is often more concerned with putting on a show. i.e. The "Uncle Creepy" factor.
Prediction: expect to see lotsa grappling exchanges and vapor trail inducing scrambles. May need to come back watch in slow-motion replay. IMO Odds are a bit off. Ben is an excellent fighter and Elliott took this on short notice and is making a very long 19 hour and 26 minute flight. Hard to back him at these odds. That said, if Elliot is able to get his wrestling going and is 80% of the fighter he can be when fresh, he should remain a step ahead throughout the night.
Elliot by split decision
LHW: Ion Cutelaba vs. Luis Henrique da Silva
Cutelaba:
- European Judo and Sambo Champion
- Takes a good punch
- Not technical in boxing, more of a brawler
- Very aggressive…Fast pace
- Superb wrestler
- Kind of a small frame for 205
- Heavy top game with good GNP
Silva:
- Muay-Thai striker
- Loves to throw down
- Heavy leather
- Shells up and lets shots bounce off of him rather than cut angles
- Hard kicks to all levels
- Brutal knees to body from the clinch
- Powerful man
- Very suspect cardio.. slows down tremendously
In summary: Frankenstein enjoys a good slugfest but takes lots of damage. Isn't concerned with using foot work but rather takes two shots to give one back. Just covers up and returns fire which let's s 4 oz. gloves sneak through the guard. He has mediocre takedown defense and because of his homerun hitter mentality, he slows down tremendously as the fight goes deep. As the minutes go by his technique gets worse and worse.
Fight will likely be contested in the clinch. Ion needs to get the contest outside of the opening 3 1/2 minutes. As the minutes to buy his chances to win increase exponentially. Both men, Ion and Silva are still very young at 23 and 27 years old respectively. While the duo have suffered a pair losses in the UFC, I believe Frankenstein's are much worse. Specifically, losing to Misha Cirkunov and Jared Cannonier are infinitely more acceptable than getting smoked by the likes of Paul Craig and Jordan Johnson. Ultimately, this should be Ion handing the Brazilian his UFC pink slip.
Prediction: Ion first-round knockout
LW: Ross Pearson vs. Daniel Hooker
Dan Hooker:
- Unorthodox striker.
- Likes to switch stances.
- Long and rangy with razor sharp elbows.
- Has worked on takedown defense but still pedestrian.
- Good submission skills.
- Just 27-years old
- Very tall LW 6'0"
- Making his move from Featherweight to Lightweight
In sum: with a record of 3-3 in the UFC, the New Zealand native is incredibly erratic and just cannot stop stepping on rakes. Every time he gets a bit of momentum he finds a way to lose. This is often due his low fight I Q. Too often Hooker will forgoe the path of least resistance in favor of an unnecessary slog. In short, he has demonstrated himself to be the type of individual who would try and cut his way through the brush without a spoon when he has a machete in his back pocket. Nevertheless, he does seem to be rounding the corner and entering his prime. Even in his last loss to Jason Knight there were flashes of brilliance. Moreover, a loss Knight at this price bears no shame.
Pearson:
- Savvy veteran
- Terrific pugilist with one of the best counter lefts in the game
- Good jab and head movement
- Great counter striker
- Progressed fighting going forward
- Black belt in Tae Kwon Do and Brown belt in Judo
- Been in a lot of wars and is slowing down.
- Has mentioned retirement.
In summary: Despite his gangly reach hooker doesn't control the distance as well as he should and lots of opponents in tight. He was chewed up by Maximeo Blanco in this exact fashion. He's a bit foot slow and takes a lot of damage moving forward. However, he has seemingly progressed and looked his best on the feet against a very well-rounded Jason Knight in his last outing. He's getting stronger and his frame is filling out and the move up to 155 pounds should do him a world of good.
lol Although he is a good boxer, Pearson doesn't possess the same hand speed he used to. He can't seem to pull the trigger on the counter anymore and barely ever works the body. The Brit has plateaued if not out right began to be devolve. Worse still, he has mentioned the dreaded "R" word. That's not good when you are taking on a young hungry lion — in his hometown no less. I believe that Hooker puts a pace on Pearson and just batters him with a relentless barrage of punches, kicks and elbows that make Pearson rethink his career choice. A very old 32 years of age, I just don't believe that Pearson has the stomach to get down and dirty and fight a war of attrition anymore.
Hooker has a bottomless gas tank and granite chin. He is going to be in the Englishman's face all night long slicing him up with his well sharpened cutlery that he is his elbows. Even if the worst happened and Pearson invokes the wrestling route, Hooker's grappling is the superior and could even find a potential submission. Anyway you slice it, Hooker wins and likely even gets a late stoppage
Prediction: Hooker the third round TKO
MW: Derek Brunson vs. Daniel Kelly
Kelly:
- Consistently overlooked
- Durable
- Relentless. Persistent.
- Tough as hell.
- Consistent pace.
- Cardio better than body belies
- Solid fundamentals in striking.
- Was in the Olympics just five years ago.
- A very young and 39 years old
- Hardly any damage on the odometer
- Ugly boxing
- Hittable but effective.
- Stellar TDD
In sum: Dad-bod Dan is hear again and prepared to take what is his by birthright. The coveted dad bod physique that should have him on the front of Men's Health magazine and not that pansy Dana White.. Joking aside, Dan Kelly is oh very solid all around fighter. Fundamentally sound, his boxing looks like shit but it gets the job done. He has a good jab, and like George Foreman would say, "A good jab will take you a long way" and this has proven true. With a Judo black belt, his takedown defense is as impenetrable as was trying to push over a fire hydrant with your bare hands. Kelly continuously shrugged off in a advances from an excellent wrestler in Rashad Evans. However, streak be damned, Kelly is completely slow, robotic and as stiff as a 150 year old Redwood — and just as durable.
Brunson:
- Flaky fighter. Never know what to expect
- Extremely powerful
- Superb wrestling was collegiate D2 all American credentials.
- Hits like a Mack truck
- Has all the tools
- Nimble on the feet
- Too often gives into impulses and chases rather than cut angles
- Bit of a front runner. Rumble Johnson syndrome
In summary: Let's cut to the chase. Brunson should win this fight. He is a dynamic athlete in the prime of his life. The only thing that holds me back is that he is erratic and flaky as mentioned. Another warning sign is that he isn't training in Albuquerque with Greg Jackson and camp but instead has set up his own facility in his hometown of North Carolina. He will often completely eschew fundamentals. Such as rushing in with his head held high and chin in the air which is exactly what him knocked out by Robert Whitaker. This is something I anticipate that he has learned from him.
As good as Daniel Kelly has been of late, I believe that run ends here. In my estimation we are witnesses to a bit of a Anthony Perosh-esqe resurgence happening here just with different fighter. Like the Aussie before him, Perosh was once all the rage following a few surprise upsets and his age. After strangling French kickboxer Cyrille_Diabaté, The unbelievable happen when "The Hippo" came through as like a +600 underdog and smoked BJJ ace Vinny_Magalhães via TKO in like 13 seconds. Anthony Perosh was the original Dad-bod Dan.
Nevertheless, Brunson has everything on his side except for mental fortitude. This was a fighter who are you was taking it to Romero. Took Romero down multiple times. Winning until the bottom falls out. Should likely have won on the cards vs. Anderson Silva.
DB comes in with laser like focus and annihilates Daniel Kelly in a fight that afterword we all collectively say "Yep! How did we not know this was going to happen? Derp!t.
Prediction: Brunson by first-round annihilation
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I agree with Ottow not being safe, but Burkman fight really shouldn't have been split. If anything, it shows the judges do not like his style as there is a strong argument that should have been 30-27 in Ottow's favor and not a single judge scored it that way (although quite a few play by plays did). That theory held true against Moraes as well with judges giving Moraes 30-27. I'd be surprised if this isn't a close decision honestly.
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He won a unan over burk terrible terrible judging. Hes always training owns a gym and won naga no gi and gi tournament early May. Kunimoto is horrible had two gift wins a dq and a gift dec.
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How is kunimoto unpredictable? He does same shit every fight and i guarantee he has same gameplan here
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think short notice should be ok. reckon he can fight at his own pace. was ok on short notice in Moraes fight. think it was short notice if i remember. maybe burkan, maybe both
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30 27 ottow heard it here first
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Burk was short notice
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Hope it hits for you. I'm not really invested much in the fight. Tiny bet on Kunimoto at steep odds.
D
Dogga
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yeah I thought Ottow won every round vs Burkman as well but the rounds were close. Moraes clearly beat Ottow, don't know what one of the judges was thinking
I say Kunimoto is unpredictable because he hasn't fought in two years. Probably just an older slower version of his former self but how can you know, maybe he's made some changes
I'd like Ottow much more if not for the circumstances and steep odds.
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just checked. Moraes was short notice too. not sure how short
Your right she beat a girl in 47 sec. earlier so that was just a glorified warmup like in the back before a fight and she was still a slow motion specialist later.
That was her 2nd last fight--her last fight was vs a girl who had lost 6 IN A ROW in these what cock fighting type org. she was in.
To say that Chan is a can crusher is an UNDERSTATEMENT.
I guess her heritage and the short notice is the reason she is in the ufc.
I know some of these women are pretty bad but Chan takes that to a new level.
Must be Korean money coming in on her (tyvm) or people that look at records of fighters only.
I know Aldrich is no hell either but If she loses to this fraud Aldrich needs to get a job cleaning toilets in Denver.
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I don't really see how anyone can be confident and more than 10% of tonight's fights truthfully.
A bunch of flaky erratic fighters who are C level talent in the UFC. Which is why they are fighting all the UFC version of getting traded to the Buffalo Bills LOL this is the UFC version of Siberia Ha!
Also, is it like this is a bunch of young neophytes just getting their feet wet, there is a bunch of old veterans populating the event ...
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Wmma
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??? The 2nd td Kasuya scored, he controlled the entire last min with top position
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its a brilliant card for betting imo. very confident. parleys are gonna be hitting tonite
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Gouti fight looks like it's off now
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