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UFN 112 - Chiesa vs Lee - Oklahoma City

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Mcgregorian, Jun 12, 2017.

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  1. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

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    I'm on Chiesa, but think Lee's striking is going to give Chiesa fits. I feel Chiesa will get it done by causing a scramble situation, which he has the killer instinct in. This fight is 5 rounds, so I feel Lee will fade as it goes on.

    But I am scared shitless of Lee flatlining Chiesa
     
  2. Ham Socks Professional Fighter

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    Moroz has been decent at stopping takedowns, and I don't think carla is a great wrestler. Carla only has one path to victory and moroz knows that.

    I think moroz sticks and moves to a boring decision.
     
  3. Captain Crunch28 Green Belt

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    I'm embarrassed to even post this but last night right before the chandler-Primus fight, I bet $25 on marfone to win $165 by accident thinking I was betting on primus. I'm sick
     
  4. Ham Socks Professional Fighter

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    Did the stansbury fight get pulled from the card?
     
  5. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    I like Quinones as a dog here! Confident in that pick! Then I have Penn, but not so confident lol. But then Cheisa as well. 3 dogs could very well bark tonight.
     
  6. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Any reason you're asking?
     
  7. Ham Socks Professional Fighter

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    It's not listed on the sherdog pbp anymore.
     
  8. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    its still on dude
     
  9. Yotsuya Brown Belt

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    Tim is usually first to make cruical mistakes when someone fights him toe-to-toe, but yeah, I would not bet on Hendricks to do that at current odds.
     
  10. Yotsuya Brown Belt

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    Moroz has not stopped a single takedown on her UFC career, but neither has Esparza lately looked too good with her top control. Moroz has reasonable change winning decision.
     
  11. stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    Tempted by Koch/Guida FOTN @ 9.00
     
  12. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Honestly, a rule of betting should be never bet someone with zero tdd vs a wrestler.
     
  13. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I was just about to comment and say how I liked Garcia DEC at +1000. I went to go bet and it is now +1250... 0.5u


    EDIT: I do also have some Tim Means in a parlay at -240 and ITD straight -120. I'm now essentially on "Not Garcia ITD"
     
    Last edited: Jun 25, 2017
  14. piglord Black Belt

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    i'm going to have to pull the trigger on herrig as a dog, kish is skilled but fights like a moron - i don't anticipate that to change.
     
  15. Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    NOT Chiesa/Lee FOTN at -245 is pretty tempting. At the very least it's a definite freeroll for anyone who hit the opener
     
  16. Yotsuya Brown Belt

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    Heh, sounds like a solid advice, but to be a good underdog bettor one has to break rules every now and then. Also I'm not sure the tdd% is an accurate measurement in this case and Esparza has not been focused in her wrestling after Joanna-beating. I bet on those assumptions after watching tape and added a bit after listening to Vivi. Zane Simon thought that Esparza's game has been off and he often has a good eye for those things.
     
    Last edited: Jun 25, 2017
  17. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Shes not been decent dude you cant make stuff up she has 0% tdd
     
  18. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    @Ham Socks with the alternative facts.

    Kellyanne Conway would be proud.
     
  19. Tony J Blue Belt

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    Kish leaves so many openings on the ground, in addition to being vulnerable to TDs. She does a lot of white belt, spazzy stuff to escape on the ground, and with her size and strength she got away with it. If she's underneath Herrig.. big trouble.

    As far as Moroz/Esparza, I'll just say this - I don't think much of Moroz at all. Esparza in defeat, which was debatable, looked much better than Moroz in her past two victories.
     
  20. Bless Orange Belt

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    JB what are your bets for tonight?
     
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