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UFN 113 - Ponzinibbio vs Nelson - Scotland

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 8, 2017.

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  1. Zee's MMA Subscriber Green Belt

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    Hype train destroyer
     
  2. rille31 Brown Belt

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    A larger pinky toe would propably justify a +450 against marshmallow
     
  3. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Whats your parlay for tomo?
     
  4. onC Blue Belt

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    Im also on Janes, he's +450. He's massive, has a great chin, and you can count on him to keep trying for three rounds despite getting punched in the face.

    I dont think Marshman should be this big of a favourite against anyone. I hope Janes either has learnt to keep his chin down (unlikely), or that he tries to get this fight to the ground. Marshman can be submitted.
     
  5. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Marshman isnt amazing either skill wise....

    Janes is a BJJ guy with a size advantage. Clear path to victory here.
    I actually like this matchup for Janes as Marshman is reckless in his striking.
     
  6. rille31 Brown Belt

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    0.5u on Ryan Janes

    [​IMG]
     
  7. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    Magnus Cedenblad is a better version of Ryan Janes who Marshman took out. Janes leaves his chin up to high. And how often does Janes go for take downs? Once in his two UFC fight. Janes will not have success taking Marshman to the ground causing this to be a stand up fight, where Marshman should catch and finish him.
     
  8. iGnP Silver Belt

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    To those betting Ponz:

    Why do you think Ponz can stop Gunnar's takedowns?
     
  9. Dick #TeamGaethje Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Fat little JoJo is a mental midget. I was on Calvillo already but seeing fatty miss weight just made Calvillo a lock for me. Repeat of Moroz fight coming up.
     
  10. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    And people talking about the size of Janes, I mentioned Marshman beating Magnus.

    Magnus height = 6"5
    Magnus reach = 79 inches

    Janes height : 6'3
    Janes reach - 76 inches

    And Magnus is the better fighter, and how did that go?
     
  11. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    People like to chase dogs too much. I saw a chart today, if you were to bet each underdog on each UFC event this year at $100, you would be down -$4,760.00

    Finding value in a underdog is one thing, to chase a underdog because his line is high and you think he has a slight chance is a losing game.
     
  12. Zee's MMA Subscriber Green Belt

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    To be fair, that was USADA Magnus that Marshman fought, still probably better than Janes.
     
  13. Zee's MMA Subscriber Green Belt

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    Guy is saying all the right stuff in this interview but I am still on the fence as far as a bet goes. Says he's injury free, seems very motivated at Roufus Sport, says he had a great camp. Looked great in his last fight too, 1st guy to finish Ricci although that doesn't really mean much.

    The main thing scaring me off is the hometown decision, if this fight is a close fight that goes to a decision then it's probably Ray's fight. Crowd is going to make noise everytime Ray throws a punch or a kick and the judges can't help but be influenced.

    Felder probably needs to perform at his best to win this fight and he probably needs a finish or a dominant performance, both seem unlikely. If this fight was in the States then I would take Felder +150 no question.
     
  14. Card Silver Belt

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  15. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Didn't Marshman get dominated in the first round vs Cedenblad?
     
  16. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    No, he dropped Magnus in the first 45 seconds but Magnus was able to get a hold of him and put him on his back for the rest of that round. He did get cut from a Magnus elbow that had him bloody. He showed good heart and a gas tank in that 2nd getting back up from a take down and finishing Magnus. I don't think his line currently is worth a bet though, I got him earlier.
     
  17. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Interesting stat
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Stabbing at Janes +505 out of principle
     
  19. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    He's got a BJJ edge in theory. And size can play a factor. Marshman has defensive issues.

    You suggesting there's no price you'd play Janes..?
     
  20. Cord White Belt

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    Just rewatched Willis and Mulheron tape after their face off where Willis had a bit of a cocky attitude. "Big (ego) pretty" probably bailed Tybura's fight as he realized he would have been ktfo, however now he better watch out for Mulheron.. the guy is fat and smaller but really good at utilising what he's got; much more dynamic and technical, a la Mark Hunt with less ko power.
     
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