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UFN 118 - Cerrone vs Till - Poland

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Sep 23, 2017.

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  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC Fight Night 118: Cerrone vs. Till
    OCTOBER 21, 2017
    Ergo Arena | Gdansk, Poland


    Darren Till +125
    Donald Cerrone -165

    Over 2.5 -175
    Under 2.5 +135
     
  3. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I'm ok with Cerrone -165 but pass for now for hopes of Till hype
     
  4. Antagonist88 Green Belt

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    I put the 1.65u down. May be some hype on Till but the public loves Cerrone too. I'll add if it drops a lot. Feel like he's going to be way too dynamic for Till and just needs to avoid the big left hand early
     
  5. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1.65u cowboy. kinda a movement-bet. i'm not sure how i feel about the fight; i'm kinda buying the till hype to an extent. but at the same time, i know this is a step up.

    it's (probably?) gonna shift a little. but then juice might go down.
     
  6. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    4u Cerrone -166
     
  7. NorthernLights Blue Belt

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    Hard not to heavily favor Cerrone here...Cowboy doesn't deal with guys pressuring him too well, but Till is low volume and hasn't shown much killer instinct even when his opponents clearly are hurt. I think he's a great matchup for Cerrone.
     
  8. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Exactly. And what if Cerrone shoots a double and gets Till down?
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    The counter (devil's advocate?) Is: while till is fresh, his distancing, tdd etc all look great
     
  10. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    That's true but the fact that he likes to fight at the same distance as cowboy is huge IMO. I think Cowboy is much more diverse and hard to read etc.
     
  11. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    I actually think this is a tough fight for Cerrone. Till is not slow and plodding like the 170ers that Cowboy looked so good against. Good boxing/movement gives cerone problems.

    I will bet Till when he hits +200 after all this early money goes on cowboy
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i might switch over at that point. idk. i also think 5 rounds favors cerrone, however. till looked good in rd 3 against bojan, granted, but still. he's shown some slowdown in the past. big step up here.
     
  13. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    Yea. The 5 rounds should help cowboy
     
  14. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Btw Cerrone didnt look great against Lawler but the medical issues he had leading up to that fight must have had an impact.
     
  15. SBJJ Steel Belt

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    I actually think Till might be a tougher fight than Lawler
     
  16. michi972 Purple Belt

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    Cerrone
     
  17. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Till's volume might be an issue and so too his cardio over five. I also don't like that hes fighting so soon hes a huge WW cuts from like 210. But hes a damn sniper and I think hes dropped his last three opponents five times between them. He's also young and hungry and has huge self belief. Can't fault you guys betting Cerrone at current price. I was expecting Till around +200. I'm just gonna sit back and enjoy this one i think. It's kind of a weird main event but i love this fight. I've bet Till in his last two fights and really enjoy watching him fight.
     
  18. Dick #TeamGaethje Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Smashing Cerrone at -175. I think this ends up in a similar result as Cerrone/Jury.
     
  19. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Till Dec +645? Kinda like it...

    Edit:

    Talked myself into maxing the +645 till decision. Something is off here.

    How is till Dec +645 and till itd +244? He's not finishing dudes well below cowboy's level... Lawler way more potent finisher and cowboy rolled with those bombs pretty darn well just lat fight...

    Cowboy in the distance or either guy via decision.. none would surprise me. I actually think if till paces himself and doesn't get finished, he has a solid shot of getting thr nod with the judges. Dude is so good at controlling the distance etc
     
    Last edited: Oct 2, 2017
  20. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Heads up, the prelims start at 11:45AM EST
     
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