UFN 121 - Werdum vs Tybura - Australia

Status
Not open for further replies.
Jamah said:
He needs a boring fight to win by decision.
Click to expand...
Hes fighting Elias Theodorou. Thats won't be hard. But if he wins I have little doubts it'll be more exciting than Elias winning since Dan needs to keep pressuring and cutting him off.

Line is def off though. Seems like one of the more likely dogs to win on this card and yet hes +250. Kelly's style plays well into the bitch kicks and move style of Elias, just a matter of whether his speed stops him cutting off Elias as much as hes gonna have to
 
Joseph Budden said:
Hes fighting Elias Theodorou. Thats won't be hard. But if he wins I have little doubts it'll be more exciting than Elias winning since Dan needs to keep pressuring and cutting him off.

Line is def off though. Seems like one of the more likely dogs to win on this card and yet hes +250. Kelly's style plays well into the bitch kicks and move style of Elias, just a matter of whether his speed stops him cutting off Elias as much as hes gonna have to
Click to expand...

I think that Elias is too fast for 40 yo Kelly. I want Dadbod to win, but I don't think that's gonna happen.
I agree that the odds are a bit wide.
 
kelly is heavy on that injured lead leg, elias will kick the fuck out of it.

scrapyard rashad landed a shitload of body kicks on kelly, elias won't have a problem doing the same.

kelly is going to get kicked into oblivion trying to get into boxing range and the second he does, elias is gonna clinch and wall.
 
Jamah said:
I think that Elias is too fast for 40 yo Kelly. I want Dadbod to win, but I don't think that's gonna happen.
I agree that the odds are a bit wide.
Click to expand...
Thats how it should play out, but Elias loves to clinch so should be interesting if the pressure has him resorting to tendencies and he embraces that spot, cause old as fuck Dan likely hugs and chips at Elias even if he cant toss him.
 
I agree. Werdum has been known
EzFlyer said:
Took fotn +800 for Matthews vs Bojangles

Likely to go distance
Matthews has back and forth fights for sure
Has a pretty Aussie so crowd should be into it
Bojangles likes to high five in fights
Click to expand...
plus there are 4 fights that can not get fotn or at least will not get as much priority because of the missing weight
 
Anyone think Elias/Kelly has potential for a draw? I've got that in a couple of my parlays. I feel like Elias will outvolume with his speed/footwork but Dan lands with good accuracy and technique... definitely see it going the distance and being close.
 
thewiggo said:
Anyone think Elias/Kelly has potential for a draw? I've got that in a couple of my parlays. I feel like Elias will outvolume with his speed/footwork but Dan lands with good accuracy and technique... definitely see it going the distance and being close.
Click to expand...
Na best potential for draws are fights that will have a 10-8 imo. When was last time we got a 10-10 scorecard? Hard to see either of these guys 10-8'ing the other
 
What Budden said. Brown/Camacho the most likely to end in a draw imo
 
Yeah I suppose that makes sense.
Who knows though! Thats what makes MMA the best fuckin' sport in the world!!!
 
I love Old Man Dan Kelly here again as a +260 underdog. Kelly loses to huge punchers like Derek Brunson or Sam Alvey if he gets knocked out. Elias Theodorou isn't a KO artist. Yeah, he's younger and athletic but I think the 40 year old judoka is in this fight. Taking Kelly +3½ points at an improved line of -160 too.
 
betrayedlurker said:
Kelly +3.5 would be a 5u bet for me if I could bet it.
Click to expand...
Limits on these +- *.5 lines are absolute shit due to lack of interest from the betting public. I wish the bookies would find a clearer way to express the concept so that Joe Blow could understand. I would have retired a long time ago if I could put significant cash on them.

Edit: to be clear, I'm not actually sure it's reasonable to expect Joe Blow to understand. Maybe I'm dreaming.
 
Last edited:
waiguoren said:
Limits on these +- *.5 lines are absolute shit due to lack of interest from the betting public. I wish the bookies would find a clearer way to express the concept so that Joe Blow could understand. I would have retired a long time ago if I could put significant cash on them.
Click to expand...
Good that makes me feel a little better. Always feel like I'm missing out on free money
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Similar threads

DabanggData
UFC Apex: Tuivasa vs. Tybura, March 16, Saturday, 6 pm eastern
2 3 4
Replies
76
Views
5K
Stat_Collector
Stat_Collector

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,236,980
Messages
55,459,077
Members
174,787
Latest member
Freddie556

Share this page

Back
Top