UFN 147 on ESPN+ 5 Till vs Masvidal Official Bets

2u Masvidal 3,15
2u Nelson 2,35
2u Nelson/Edwards O2.5 1,61
2u Reyes 1,44

2u Roberts 2,30
2u Roberts/Silva O1.5 1,71
2u Marshman 1,71

2u Marshman/Phillips ITD + Reyes/Oezdemir ITD 1,96
2u Safarov 2,77
2u Heinisch 2,17 voided
2u Grundy 2,90

looks like I am on 6 dogs :eek:
no action on 5 fights

+10,97u
another great night for me
the only bet I don't like (in hindsight) is the Reyes bet, it won but there was no value at all
 
2u - not Breese ITD @ 1.36
1.5u Masvidal/Till GTD @ 1.91
1.5u - Heinisch ML @ 2.20

.5u - Diakiese ML @ 2.65
.5u - Grundy DEC @ 3.05

Investment: 2.50u
Return: 1.33u
Net: -1.18u
ROI: -47.0%
Eh, fuck it. I'm up over 10 units on Dota this week anyways.
 
1u on Nelson by submission at +244
.7u on Oezdemir round 1 at +700
3.1u on Reyes ML at -235
1u on Reyes TKO/KO at +175
1u on Safarov TKO/KO at +295
3.5u on McCann ML at -175
1u on McCann-Cachoeira DGTD at +160
1u on McCann ITD at +325

Added 0.3u on Marshman after round 1 at +125, my first live bet (out of 3 total) that actually cashed.

Anywho, I hit my 2 MLs, but I was crushed on my props, losing every single one, for a -1.9u night.

In retrospect, while both had value, I don't like double-dipping with McCann ITD AND DGTD on that fight. Should have just gone with 1, and possibly put that saved money on the McCann ML.

1u on Safarov TKO/KO is still a good bet in my mind at that price, and I still can't believe it didn't cash. Safarov was about 5 seconds away from knocking out his opponent at the beginning of the 3rd before taking him down. Nevermind that he fought way more cautiously than he did in his first 2 UFC appearances.

Volkan insurance at 0.7u was proably fine, but I should have put a little more on Reyes ML and a little less on his prop. Nelson sub was a borderline decision, in retrospect. Edwards just keeps getting better and better, and that was easily the best fight of his career.

Oh well, on to next week.
 
Another good card. Misentered the Grundy line, actually got +220, not +120, so actual profit was a little better. Wish I bet the Masvidal ML rather than the points handicap, but I felt the points handicap was safer.

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Free rolled on Grundy

Took the U for Heinsch on Till for the hell of it
Also took a stab at muh Cladio so down just a hair, had an odd feeling about this card, and with as much weird shit happened im not bothered much by it

Dont feel bad about Nelson, he was a minute of top control away in the first from getting the decision
Duffy...... fuck the irish lol i get wat deserve for that

Looks like this week was ok for most, not catastrophic for anyone so thats gud, on to Nashville bois
 
Masvidal +5.5 -115 $150

Edwards -120 $300
Edwards/Nelson GTD -110 $50

Reyes -227 $1250
Reyes RD3 +800 $40
Oezdemir RD1 +800 $50

Wood KO +200 $100
Wood/Quinones DNGTD -105 $50

Phillips NSC -118 $100

Allen RD3 +1700 $20

Duffy -206 $1250

Safarov +180 $200
Safarov/Negumereanu U1.5 -130 $75

Ige -140 $750

McCann -135 $255
McCann SUB +1400 $30

Grundy +138 $175


Small card for me, eyeing a few spots for big LBs

+$1544, wanted to buy out of the Duffy bet all week but was too stubborn to buy out at a loss, that was a 2k swing. Not sure if Reyes was a bad bet or if the broken nose severely hampered his performance. Volkans cardio held up much better than expected too. Happy to come out with profit on a card that I had little confidence in.

Loving next week's card, already have over 9k risked with a near 10u bet.
 
Congrats Sadistics!

Who are you 10u deep on already? Barber looks close to a max for me
 
Congrats Sadistics!

Who are you 10u deep on already? Barber looks close to a max for me

Thanks man, I posted my bets in the next bet thread. I think Maycee is way overhyped and has many flaws. The size and clinch may be an issue for Aldrich but I like her at these odds. Pretape at least.
 
1.5u Masvidal +215 +3.225u
0.15u Masvidal SUB +865 -0.15u

2u Edwards -135 +1.48u
0.1 Edwards SUB +2000 -0.1u

0.2u Oezdemir RD1 +575 -0.2u

NET: +4.225u
 
Gunnar Nelson was able to get Leon Edwards down but not able to finish so big loss in the co-main event. But at least it was mostly made up by some other plays and an exciting main event with "Gamebred" Jorge Masvidal coming through with a big knockout to end with only a tiny loss of 0.98 units.

UFN 147 on ESPN+ 5 Results
Risk $6,790.27

Jorge Masvidal (+195) vs Darren Till $100.00 for $195.00= $195.00
Jorge Masvidal +5½ points (-135) $168.75 for $125.00= $125.00
Jorge Masvidal +5½ points (-145) $181.25 for $125.00= $125.00
Jorge Masvidal scorecards = no action (+134) $100.00 for $134.00= $134.00
Jorge Masvidal wins by submission (+120) $25.00 for $300.00= -$25.00
Jorge Masvidal wins by 5 round decision (+485) $40.00 for $194.00= -$40.00
Jorge Masvidal wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00= -$10.00
Darren Till wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+695) $15.00 for $104.25= -$15.00
Jorge Masvidal/Darren Till Over 4½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00= -$115.00
Jorge Masvidal/Darren Till Draw (+7500) $15.00 for $1,125.00= -$15.00

Gunnar Nelson (+143) vs Leon Edwards $400.00 for $572.00= -$400.00
Gunnar Nelson (+140) vs Leon Edwards $400.00 for $560.00= -$400.00
Gunnar Nelson wins by submission (+200) $75.00 for $150.00= -$75.00
Gunnar Nelson wins in round 2 (+700) $20.00 for $140.00= -$20.00
Live In-Play Gunnar Nelson (+195) vs Leon Edwards $200.00 for $390.00= -$200.00

Dominick Reyes (-230) vs Volkan Oezdemir $460.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Dominick Reyes (-250) vs Volkan Oezdemir $500.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Volkan Oezdemir wins in round 1 (+509) $40.00 for $203.60 = -$40.00
Dominick Reyes/Volkan Oezdemir Under 1½ (+125) $100.00 for $125.00= -$100.00
Dominick Reyes/Volkan Oezdemir Under 1½ (+122) $100.00 for $122.00= -$100.00
Dominick Reyes/Volkan Oezdemir fight ends in KO/TKO/DQ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00= -$165.00
Live In-Play Dominick Reyes (+185) vs Volkan Oezdemir $100.00 for $185.00= $185.00

Nathaniel Wood -3½ points (-195) vs Jose Quiñones $146.25 for $75.00= $75.00
Nathaniel Wood wins inside distance (+105) $25.00 for $26.25= $26.25
Nathaniel Wood wins by TKO/KO (+185) $50.00 for $92.50= -$50.00
Nathaniel Wood wins in round 2 (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Nathaniel Wood/Jose Quiñones Under 2½ (+102) $100.00 for $102.00= $102.00

Claudio Silva (-142) vs Danny Roberts $284.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Claudio Silva/Danny Roberts won’t start round 3 (-135) $101.25 for $75.00= -$101.25

John Phillips (+130) vs Jack Marshman $200.00 for $260.00= -$200.00
John Phillips wins by TKO/KO (+215) $40.00 for $86.00= -$40.00
John Phillips/Jack Marshman Under 1½ (+122) $100.00 for $122.00= -$100.00

Jordan Rinaldi (+131) vs Arnold Allen $100.00 for $131.00= -$100.00
Jordan Rinaldi (+130) vs Arnold Allen $100.00 for $130.00= -$100.00

Marc Diakiese/Joe Duffy Over 2½ (-108) $108.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Saparbeg Safarov (+165) vs Nick Negumereanu $200.00 for $330.00= $330.00
Saparbeg Safarov/Nick Negumereanu Under 1½ (-127) $127.00 for $100.00= -$27.00
Saparbeg Safarov/Nicolae Negumereanu Under 1½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= -$130.00

Dan Ige (-141) vs Danny Henry $281.69 for $200.00= $200.00

Molly McCann (-182) vs Priscila Cachoeira $727.27 for $400.00= $400.00
Molly McCann wins by TKO/KO (+350) $50.00 for $175.00= -$50.00
Priscila Cachoeira wins by TKO/KO (+625) $50.00 for $312.50= -$50.00
Molly McCann wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00= -$10.00

Nad Narimani (-125) vs Mike Grundy $312.50 for $250.00= -$312.50
Nad Narimani (-128) vs Mike Grundy $192.31 for $150.00= -$192.31
Mike Grundy (+160) vs Nad Narimani $200.00 for $320.00= $320.00
Mike Grundy scorecards = no action (+130) $75.00 for $97.50= $97.50
Mike Grundy wins by submission (+600) $20.00 for $120.00= -$20.00
Mike Grundy wins in round 3 (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00= -$10.00
-----

Total Loss= -$98.31
 
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