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UFN 81 - Post your bets!

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Agent Mulder, Jan 11, 2016.

  1. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    UFC FN 81

    ***UPDATE***
    Also added the following, mostly small plays:

    Dillashaw r4 0.05u @ +2200
    Dillashaw r5 0.05u @ +2800
    Latifi vs O'Connell O1.5 1u @ -110
    Latifi dec 0.2u @ +500
    Rosa 1u @ -250
    Wade r3 0.1u @ +1800
    Cruickshank dec 0.1u @ +500
    Herman dec 0.1u @ +600
    Trinaldo dec 0.2u @ +350


    Cote - 2u @ +100
    Browne - 1u @ -172
    Blanco - 1u @ -125
    Cote v Saunders O2.5 - 1u @ -110
    Felder v Cruickshank O1.5 - 1u @ -200

    TJ v Cruz O2.5 + Felder v Cruickshank O1.5 - 2u @ +100
    TJ + Pettis 2u @ +122
    Pettis + Saffeidine - 1u @ +104
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2016
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    this is totally good -- was gonna open one later in the week -- keep the thread on bet posting primarily, discuss the ufn 81 on that main thread
     
  3. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 81 Risk: 2,745.50
    cruz +120: 200 for 240 / cruz DEC: 40 for 102 / dillashaw no judges: 145 for 100
    alvarez +250: 100 for 250 / alvarez DEC: 40 for 190 / pettis SUB: 20 for 102
    browne -153: 229 for 150 / browne SUB: 20 for 217 / mitrione
    trinaldo +155: 50 for 77.50 / pearson
    cote +112: 150 for 167.50 / O2.5: 50 for 60 / saunders
    wade +214: 200 for 427.50 / taisumov
    herman DEC: 20 for 98 / boetsch
    blanco -146: 291.50 for 200 / sanders
    felder -215: 215 for 100 / cruickshank
    latifi -220: 220 for 100 / U1.5: 50 for 72.50 / o'connell
    rosa -149: 597.50 for 400 / O2.5: 67.50 for 50 / hettes
    font-gomez U1.5: 40 for 50
    barroso-Edilov: idk
    props
    parlays
    ---

    i didn't update after the 3 fight cancellations, obv those are voided
     
  4. Medical Marijuana Man Buddah Buddah Buddah Banned

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    As of right now...

    $20 on Cruz to win $25
    $10 Pettis + Browne to win $11
    $5 on Cote to win $5

    Still waiting on Betonline to allow me a parlay which ill include

    Latifi + Felder + Blanco

    Ill take a stab at Alvarez via UD as well on fight night. Im still not sold Eddie can beat Pettis.
    Pettis is a finisher and Eddie has been submitted a few times plus hes been rocked a lot in his last couple fights. Might throw a small bet down on under 2.5 since the odds are looking good, maybe parlay that with under 1.5 on Browne/Mitrione.

    If I can recover some of my loss from last night tonight then ill bet a lot more but I want to save most of it for football on sunday. Im liking the Pats, Cards, Broncs, and Seahawks.
     
  5. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    Going to go lighter for this event after the atrocious 194 and 195. Gonna get the ball rolling for this year. Gonna limit the amount on parlays and props as well as make money on the overs/unders + SU bets. Aldo killed me.
    These are older bets placed on bet365. Not finalized yet. LB is the real money maker.

    TJ for £25 at -143.
    Cote for £15 at +100
    O1.5 Browne/Mitrione for £20 at +150
    Felder + Latifi + Pettis + Edilov for £5 at +268
    U1.5 Latifi/O'Connell for £11 at -110

    Gonna wait a little bit to hammer TJ at better odds for £250. Might go as high as £100 for Latifi ITD. £150 on the main event not going the distance. I feel like the odds are gonna get sweeter here and hoping for a TJ finish in the 4th/5th.
     
  6. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    my action so far. not finalized so putting it in spoilers, don't know why

    Cruz $250 @ 2.35
    Browne $400 @ 1.671
    Cote $150 @ 2.05
    Latifi $250 @ 1.436
    Cruickshank $50 @ 2.90
    Trinaldo $100 @ 245
    Alvarez $50 @ 3.65
    Blanco $200 @ 1.833
    Font $200 @ 1.518

    not in love with this event for betting, will look into it more as we approach. glad to see I'm mostly on board with EzFlyer on my picks
     
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2016
  7. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Cruz
    Pettis
    Browne
    Pearson
    Cote (big)
    Boetsch
    Baghdad (small)
    Cruickshank (small)
    Latifi

    Very big on the following parlay:

    Felder/Cruick over + Cote/Saunders over
     
  8. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 81 Risk: 2,412.50
    cruz +120: 200 for 240 / cruz DEC: 40 for 102 / draw: 2 for 300 / dillashaw nojudges: 145 for 100
    alvarez +250: 100 for 250 / alvarez DEC: 40 for 190 / alvarez +3.5: 150 for 195 / pettis SUB: 20 for 102
    browne -153: 229 for 150 / browne SUB: 20 for 217 / mitrione
    trinaldo +143: 100 for 142.50 / pearson
    cote +112: 150 for 167.50 / O2.5: 50 for 60 / saunders
    herman DEC: 20 for 98 / herman +3.5: 100 for 115 / boetsch
    wade SUB: 50 for 297.50 / wade RD 3: 10 for 137.50 / baghdad
    blanco -146: 291.50 for 200 / sanders
    felder -215: 215 for 100 / cruickshank
    latifi -220: 220 for 100 / latifi SUB: 20 for 90 / U1.5: 50 for 72.50 / o'connell
    rosa-bochniak: idk
    font-gomez U1.5: 40 for 50
    mutapcic DEC: 40 for 93.60 / O2.5: 110 for 100 / barroso
    props
    parlays
    ---

    updated after the fighter swaps. will update again before the fights when i start to finalize
     
  9. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    Location:
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    Cruz $250 @ 2.35 / $150 @ 2.20
    Browne $400 @ 1.671
    Cote $150 @ 2.05 / $125 @ 2.00
    Latifi $250 @ 1.436
    Cruickshank $50 @ 2.90 / $150 @ 3.12
    Trinaldo $100 @ 2.45
    Alvarez $50 @ 3.65
    Blanco $200 @ 1.833
    Font $200 @ 1.518
    Mutapcic $300 @ 1.609
    Boetsch $400 @ 1.454

    Cruz/TJ o4.5 $300 @ 1.512
    Boetsch/Herman u2.5 $150 @ 1.925
    O'Connell/Latifi o1.5 $400 @ 1.90
    Cruickshank/Felder o1.5 $250 @ 1.497
    Alvarez/Pettis o2.5 $150 @ 1.854
    Wade/Baghdad o2.5 $200 @ 1.512
    Font/Gomez u1.5 $100 @ 2.00
    Barroso/Mutapcic $300 @ 1.746

    total stake: $4,525

    Also have these props in offline bets with a friend just to try and punish him a bit. Biggest bet is $50
    Cruickshank decision
    TJ round 4, TJ round 5
    Latifi decision
    Cote decision
    Herman decision
    Browne sub
    Pettis sub
    Alvarez decision
    Wade sub / Wade round 3
    Mutapcic decision

    think i'm done but you never know
     
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2016
  10. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    I'm finalized. Hopefully there's some better lines during live-betting.


    Cruz +120 (5u) (a mixture of +130 and +115)
    Pettis/Alvarez ITD -115 (1u)
    Browne -148 (2u)
    Trinaldo decision +300 (.5u)
    Cote +100 (2u)
    Wade/Baghdad ITD +145 (.5u)
    Blanco -130 (1.5u)
    Latifi -205 (3u)
    Latifi/O’Connell u1.5 +125 (1.5u)
    Felder/Cruickshank u1.5 +155 (.5u)
    Felder/Cruickshank ITD -130 (1u)
    Rosa/Bochniak u2.5 -125 (1u)
    Font submission +1200 (.5u)
    Font/Gomez u1.5 +105 (1u)


    Parlay 2u for 3.4u: Pettis, Felder, Taisumov (Taisumov’s fight is cancelled)
     
  11. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Of course i'll be betting as the night progresses but I feel prettyyyy finalized

    Cruz by dec, Dillashaw in round 4 and round 5
    Pettis ML, Pettis itd
    Mitrione ML, Mitrione by dec, Browne by sub
    Trinaldo by dec
    Cote ML, Cote by KO
    Boetsch ML, o2.5
    Wade in round 2 and 3
    Blanco ML
    Felder ML
    O'Connell vs Latifi goes the distance, prob stab the over too but not on it just yet
    Rosa by sub
    Mutapcic by KO, o2.5
     
  12. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £700 Pearson + Pettis @ +110.

    £20 Trinaldo split @ +1000.

    £300 Miocic (cashed) + Pettis @ -110.

    Normally i never hedge but the Pearson fight is worrying me so have thrown a little hedge in.
     
  13. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Finalized here pre event.

    Singles
    Cruz: $50 to win $68.75 $118.75
    Mitrione: $7.50 to win $10.50 Loss
    Bochniak/Rosa under 2.5: $7.50 to win $5.77 Loss
    Pettis (-3.5): $7.50 to win $4.69 Loss
    Wade/Baghdad ITD: $6.25 to win $8.75 $15
    Blanco: $6.25 to win $5.21 Loss
    Mutapcic: $6.25 to win $3.91Loss
    Gomez (scorecards = no action): $3.75 to win $6.79 Loss
    Poppie: $2.50 to win $4 $6.50
    Ben Smith: $2.50 to win $3.38 Loss
    Anderson: $2.50 to win $1.39 $3.89
    Mumma: $1.25 to win $1.88 Loss
    Riley: $1.25 to win $12.50 $13.75
    Gray: $1.25 to win $4.38 Loss
    Souza: $1.25 to win $1.19 $3.44
    Schuckman: $1.25 to win $4.18 Loss

    Risk of $108.75 $161.33

    Parlays
    Field over Spieth (Hyundai) + Latifi: $10 to win $7.31 Loss

    Pettis + Cruz (+5.5): $10 to win $9.92 Loss
    Edilov + Mitrione/Browne ITD: $7.50 to win $1.68 (adjusted) $9.18
    Field over D. Johnson (Hyundai) + Pearson: $6.25 to win $5.29 Loss
    Field over Kisner (Sony) + O'Connell/Latifi ITD: $6.25 to win $3.73 $9.98
    Field over Snedeker + Not Cote Dec: $6.25 to win $3.06 $9.31
    Felder + Boetsch: $5 to win $6.29 Loss
    Freitas + Felix + Font/Gomez ITD: $2.50 to win $3.49 Loss
    Field over Z. Johnson (Sony) + Cyborg + Pa'Aluh + Brown: $1.25 to win $1.29 Loss
    Field over Snedeker (Sony) + Cyborg + Cruz/Dilla starts 2 + Browne/Mit ITD: $1.25 to win $1.32 $2.57

    Risk of $56.25 $31.04

    RISK OF $165 $192.37


    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $199.74, Running Profit = $34.74 (Approximate ROI for year 13.234%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2748.93 Total Profit = $2729.93 (Approximate ROI: 12.8599%)
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2016
  14. Almirante White Belt

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    Latifi SUB (+500) 0.2u
    Wade ITD (+289) 0.5u
    Cote (+115) 1u
    Browne (-156) 1u
    Browne SUB (+1085) 0.2u
    Pettis -3.5 (-145) 1u
    Pettis SUB (+510) 0.2u
    Cruz (+120) 1u
     
  15. wigglestick pess de gward Platinum Member

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    Well I got to go to work so this is my finalized bets but I should be home in time to see the main event and possibly bet more if cote comes through
    Singles

    Cote - 56 to win 61.60
    Cote DEC - 6.50 to win 16.25
    Blanco - 34.50 to win 30
    Cruickshank (+3.5) - 15 to win 19.50
    Cruickshank DEC - 5.50 to win 21.18

    Parlays

    Pettis/ Browne U1.5 - 30 to win 20.18
    Latifi/ Browne U1.5 - 15 to win 16.98
    Latifi/ Cruickshank O1.5 - 14 to win 14.92
    Pettis/ Wade - 23 to win 14.92
    Browne U1.5/ Wade (-3.5) - 8 to win 11.79
    Browne/ Wade - 15 to win 16.85
    Pettis/ Not Saunders ITD - 20 to win 15.54
    Blanco/ Not Saunders ITD - 6.50 to win 9.86
    Wade ITD/ Cote DEC - 3 to win 30.67
    Pettis/ Wade/ Cruickshank (+3.5) - 5.50 to win 15.36
    Pettis/ Browne U3/ Trinaldo DEC - 5 to win 27.84
    Wade/ Latifi/ Cote DEC - 4 to win 20.57
    Pettis/ Wade/ Browne U2/ Not Saunders ITD - 5 to win 9.73
    Cote/ Wade/ Blanco/ Latifi - 2.51 to win 14.04
    Wade/ Pettis (-3.5)/ Browne U3/ Cote DEC - 1.25 to win 9.55
    Pettis/ Wade/ Latifi/ Browne U3/ Cote DEC - 2 to win 18.68

    277.26 to win 416.01 with 67.55 remaining in my acct.
     
  16. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £10 to win £568 - Boestch SU + Wade dec + Pearson dec + Cote dec
     
  17. Dooze Purple Belt

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    Mostly just props so far that I liked odds-wise.

    Joey Gomez ITD @ 6.0 = £2.12 returns £12.72
    Latifi by sub @ 6.50 = £2 returns £13
    Pearson by UD @ 3.50 = £2 returns £7
    Cote by SD @ 13.00 = £1 returns £13
    Alvarez by SD @ 15.00 = £1 returns £15

    Hail Mary (£2 free bet):

    Rosa by sub/Blanco/Pearson Decision/Wade by sub/Font by sub @ 365.00 = £2 returns £733

    Got another free £2 bet that I'll probably use on a hail mary (maybe a rounds prop accumulator) and will stick a few SU single/doubles up

    Edit -

    Browne/Mitrione u1.5 @ 1.57 = £10 returns £15.70
    Latifi + Rosa @ 1.90 = £10 returns £19
    Blanco @ 1.83 = £10 returns £18.33

    Rosa-Bochniak ITD/Cote-Saunders Dec/Barroso-Mutapcic Dec/Cruickshank-Felder o1.5/Browne-Meathead u1.5 @ 14.53 = (free bet) £2 returns £27.24

    That's me for the night.
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2016
  18. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    So far:

    TJ/Dom over 4.5 big
    Latifi by KO/TKO
    Cote by decision, Cote SU
    A whole bunch of props some of them parlayed, some as singles (I'm too lazy to list them each separately, sorry):
    Cruz/TJ starts rd 3
    Not Saunders ITD
    Pearson by dec
    Person/Trinaldo starts rd 3
    Browne by sub
    Browne/Mitrione doesn't start rd 3
    TJ by dec
    Fights go to dec over 6.5
    Fights go to dec over 7.5
    Cote/Killa B FOTN
    Wade -3.5
    Felder/Cruik starts rd 2
    Pettis wins in rd 2
     
  19. cs10 Blue Belt

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    Betfair closed down in Canada so had to cash out and start over with a smaller bankroll on bookmaker, bets so far:

    Alvarez/Pettis Under 2.5 $20 to win $21
    Maximo Blanco $20 to win $15
    Wade/Baghdad ITD $10 to win $14
    Cruik/Felder ITD $10 to win $8
    Bochniak/Rosa U 2.5 $20 to win $15
    Gomez $10 to win $18
     
  20. Bless Orange Belt

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    Mainly tailing others from the betting thread. Some betsizes might seem odd, this is mainly because of the injuries that changed some parlays.

    1. Mutapcic [By KO] - 0.2u to win 0.6u
    1. Mutapcic [SU] - 1.5u to win 0.95u
    2. Gomez [SU] - 0.5u to win 0.95u
    2. Font/Gomez [u1.5] - 0.4u to win 0.44u
    4. Latifi [SU] - 0.5u to win 0.21u
    4. O'Connell/Latifi [u1.5] - 0.8u to win 1.08u
    5. Cruickshank/Felder [o1.5] - 1.4u to win 0.8u
    5. Felder [SU] - 1.8u to win 0.77u
    6. Blanco [SU] - 3u to win 2.43u
    7. Wade [ITD] - 0.3u to win 0.87u
    8. Herman [By DEC] - 0.3u to win 1.47u
    8. Herman [+3.5] - 0.7u to win 0.81u
    9. Cote [SU] - 1.5u to win 1.58u
    11. Browne [SU] - 2.25u to win 1.44u
    Co-Main: Pettis [By Sub] - 0.3u to win 1.53u
    Co-Main: Alvarez [SU] - 0.9u to win 2.59u
    Main: Cruz [SU] - 2.5u to win 3.2u
    Main: Dillashaw [SCs = no action] - 1.4u to win 0.97u
    Main: Draw - 0.04u to win 6u

    Parlay: 4. Latifi + 5. Felder - 1u to win 1.02u

    Total Risk: 21.29u to win 29.71u
     

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