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UFN 88 - Las Vegas - Almeida vs Garbrandt - 5/29/16

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 14, 2016.

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  1. null Gold Belt

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    Yep, mine cancelled too as a "clear line error, should have been +650".
     
  2. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    What's up guys! Cannot wait for this card! Here are my picks coming in:


    CODY GARBRANDT : what a fight this could be! An absolute savage 23-year-old Thomas Almeida will bring his violent MT stylings to the cage tonight where he'll want to take another scalp back to Brazil. For all of the brutal strikes the neophyte wields, he has shown himself to be a bit hittable when exchanging strikes in the pocket. Specifically he was getting tuned up by a mediocre Cody Williams four years ago in Legacy Fights before coming to the UFC and then an undersized Brad Pickett put him on his ass with some brilliant pugilistic handiwork. This defensive liability is a major issue and has never clearly been addressed. This is a concern when facing somebody of Cody Garbrandt's stature.

    I'm going to lean with the underdog ever so slightly given that he has vicious but technical boxing and a superior wrestling attack in his back pocket should he need it. What's more, Cody has a picture perfect left hook that could very well be the punch to temporarily scramble Mr. Almeida's brain activity and oh while Cody to sink in a choke or polish him off while recovering. Like Lebron and Stipe showed us, there is a little bit of magic left in the old Ohio steel towns. For this and all of the other aforementioned facts, I will side with the native Ohioan to keep people smiling in The Rust Belt.

    Renan Barao: either the former top 3 pound for pound king gets the win against a perfect opponent or else we have ourselves a David Louiseau situation here. Cgive me a revitalized "Baron" via submission round two.

    Rick Story: Pair of wants promising welterweights who can't stay healthy. Story will out muscle and grind most men at 170 pounds. The way he shut down a prime Thiago Alves has me thinking he can do the same to The Sponge Who has looked increasingly more fragile. Just without my wallet involved.

    Vitor Miranda: middling middleweights are going to middle. Poor man's Michael Bisping, Camozzi might eek one out ..but boy will it be ugly if so..Give me the 38-year-old MT master via HHK knockout.

    Lorenz Larkin: fight of the night right here! Cannot wait. Too pure bad-zasses going toe-to-toe. Believe the X-Factor is Monsoons size, volume, and leg kicks.

    Paul Felder: Dragon is going to throw hot fire at old man Burkman until he polishes the vet off..prolly with that "spinning shit".

    Sara McMann: umm..just a guess. Jessica is a better fighter but forward momentum might cost her the ability to stay vertical.

    Abel Trujillo: musclebound Neanderthal Trujillo going to give "All Day" his full pie for 1/16th a days work. Will also hand out a free nap.

    Alberto Uda: Gritty Brazilian with scrappy mindset has the goods to work Jake over and likely tap him out. Don't forget that pink slip on your way out of the cage Mr. Collier.

    Shane Campbell : Shaolin improving with regularity. "New Koch" hasn't been "Koch Classic" for a long time and is fittin' to get hustled here.

    Aljamain Sterling: More athletic, more versatile "Funk Master" too much for Mrs. Tate" AKA "the poor man's Jake Shields".

    Adam Milstead : CDLR is going to get put in a box most likely.

    ...

    Up 80 units the last 60 days so hopefully tonight will be another great event. Good luck to all my boys in here.
     
  3. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Yup, me too. Clear line error, my ass... It opened at +4xx and imagine it got bet up to +1780? I don't remember lines being taken down/up
     
  4. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Yup uda sub cancelled. BS.
     
  5. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    What's up fellas?

    Going to be around for the fights tonight and pretty excited about this card. On mostly dogs on this card(other than Felder) and think there is quite a bit of value.


    Stephens
    Story(big)
    Larkin
    Felder
    Rinaldi
    Koch
    Caraway

    Let's have some fun. Good luck to all.
     
  6. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    I just finished watching the first 6 episodes of "Where Are They Now?" on UFC Fight Pass. Some of the stories are nice to watch, while the others are kind of sad.

    Oh well.

    Can't wait for the fights later today!
     
  7. RyuDave Green Belt

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    I'll post these here Astro not spam the official bet thread

    Caraway sub
    uda sub
    5 for 320

    Caraway ml
    Uda ml
    Koch m
    10 for 190

    Caraway sub
    Baroa sub
    Burkman Dec
    Koch Dec
    5 for 9000

    Removed caraway on all those parlays and doubled up too
     
  8. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Checked those out yesterday. Cool little series. Seemed like it started out at its most joyous with eps like Tait's and Inhofer's and progressed to its saddest with Cummo and Shonie.
     
  9. cs02132 Green Belt

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    Haven't read this thread or even paid attention to this card because my ass is still sore from the werdum card

    Only bet is Larkin. If he wins I may bet barao. Think he's getting a bit over looked. At the end of the day it's still Jeremy Stephens..
     
  10. cs02132 Green Belt

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    Edit nvm
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2016
  11. molest Purple Belt

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    Is it me or are Miranda's hands pretty non existent? he has good defense but doesn't seem to do anything offensively with his hands.
     
  12. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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    They're trying to tell us something with their video order.

    =

    MMA is fun and great in the beginning, but most fighters end up in a crappy situation if they don't know when to call it quits.
     
  13. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Miranda has struggled every fight until his hk lands.
     
  14. Kowboy Karl Black Belt

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    Hey look who's back

    Tailed on

    Uda Milstead story Miranda Larkin campbell
     
  15. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    Yep, on him strictly as a value play. If he can survive the first round we should have a live dog on our hands.
     
  16. molest Purple Belt

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    Yeah and Camozzi is a muay thai guy who's weakness is good boxers, he can easily be leg kicked but as a muay thai guy its gonna be hard to ko him with a hk. This could go either way on the judges score cards, either Camozzi's jabs and straight or Miranda low kicks.

    Camozzi can also set a nice pace Cane, Watson and Nadal were dead tired at the end, while Miranda showed good cardio vs ShoeFace he had a lot of time to rest on the gorund which is not gonna be the case this time. On his fights vs stand up guys like Inocente and Maldonado he slowed down considerably which i guess is because of the kicks he throws.
    Still Camozzi is pretty harmless so Miranda only needs to win the first 2 rounds.

    I wish i had gotten on that early Camozzi line, im just totally unimpressed with Miranda's boxing.
     
  17. RyuDave Green Belt

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    Ez are you starting an in play discussion thread?
     
  18. cs02132 Green Belt

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    Damn I forgot my laptop at home. Gonna have to go get it after work and miss a fight or 2
     
  19. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    Lol been busy bro but will try to drop by the thread more often. Best of luck tonight!
     
  20. Ukram Silver Belt

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