UFN 88 - Las Vegas - Almeida vs Garbrandt - 5/29/16

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LEMONZEST said:
Yeah I don't love any of the ML right now especially after I missed opener prices.
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I liked felder koch miranda and sterling initially. Now ive thought about it koch is facing campbell not proctor so no bet. Felder is close fights every fight no bet. Camozzi looked better at 170 and miranda's line is now over -200. Sterling has shit standup caraway outstruck wineland. I can see this being a close fight. Think lb only for me no two man parlays i feel wholly confident in.

Good lb card lots of fights with under -200 favs.
 
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I'm no fan of Sterling to be honest I'd be willing to bet against him in his next fight as I don't think he's as good as he's billed. But I just don't think Caraway has the style to exploit it. I haven't seen the odds yet so it's to be determined whether Caraway has a shot. I actually didn't get to watch the Wineland fight I was in Mexico so I need to rewatch that entire Chicago card including Barao/Snake 2.

As far as Stephens goes,

I got him at his peak value at +185 and he's the only dog out of the given list so far that I'm willing to play. Barao is a former 135er against one of the bigger FWs in the division. I could see it being a close fight and I'll side with the dog in a contested bout. I put some stock into beating a grinder like Elkins at his own game and Barao has shown that style before too. I think everyone's points are valid but the deciding factor for me is the value.

I think I've been one to fade coming off a winning event so maybe tailing me isn't a great idea either.
 
I may end up being on Stephens, but not because he think he lands the KO easily. I'm starting to doubt how good Barao really is, honestly. I may look at the +3.5 instead though.
 
Stephens has lost 8 decisions in the past (most have been high volume strikers), if a decent Barao turns up then 2 likely scenarios are Stephens ITD or Barao D....
 
Fightsu said:
Stephens has lost 8 decisions in the past (most have been high volume strikers), if a decent Barao turns up then 2 likely scenarios are Stephens ITD or Barao D....
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a barao sub or ko isnt out of the question though...
 
-405 sterling
+285 caraway
O2.5 -180

Kinda like the over
 
EzFlyer said:
-405 sterling
+285 caraway
O2.5 -180

Kinda like the over
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Laid down the 180 to win 100. I like it a lot, expected this to open around -240ish.

LOL @ Aljo's price. Knew he would be juiced, but did not see -405 coming
 
Joseph Budden said:
Laid down the 180 to win 100. I like it a lot, expected this to open around -240ish.

LOL @ Aljo's price. Knew he would be juiced, but did not see -405 coming
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for sure on Caraway at that price
 
Rebel_LioN said:
Would you be able to get the inside scoop on whether the odds will be released at any of these books in Vegas? I especially need the over/unders. I mean, the fight night is being held in Vegas so I'm assuming they'll have odds set for it right??
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Yes I will find out for you. I am very confident they will have over/under lines for this fight card. The ufc fight night 86 was the one they missed in Zagreb. At the very least, there is this small casino that always has them 10 minutes outside of Vegas with over/unders.
 
On Caraway (+270) and the over (-200) as well. 1u each
 
Johnbmma1 said:
Yes I will find out for you. I am very confident they will have over/under lines for this fight card. The ufc fight night 86 was the one they missed in Zagreb. At the very least, there is this small casino that always has them 10 minutes outside of Vegas with over/unders.
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Awesome. I'll be out there for Memorial day weekend. I got tickets to the show as well on Sunday. If you're down to meet and talk a bit about bets PM me!
 
-405 for sterling?! HAHAHAHAHA.

sad thing is a bunch of shmucks will probably still bet him.
 
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