UFN 92 - Caceres vs Rodriguez - Utah

[LEMONZEST]

There is no way I can bet on Court McGee right now. Injuries and whatnot - there are too many uknowns surrounding him. I will hold off and see how this fight goes.

Def hitting Ponz for a few units.

 

[Joseph Budden]

fmllll I knew trying to place quick bets at work would hurt at me some point. Went to go hit Ponz, and hit Camozzi instead by accident. Fml, looks like i'm on him now....

 

[Agent Mulder]

fmllll I knew trying to place quick bets at work would hurt at me some point. Went to go hit Ponz, and hit Camozzi instead by accident. Fml, looks like i'm on him now....

Dont worry. Camozzi is post usada GOAT.

 

[EzFlyer]

O3.5 subs +349

Possible subs:
Rodriguez/caceres
Jason/bermudez
Leites
Cummings
Gigliotti/smith
Moroz
Novelli
Tybura
Ledet
Kawajiri?

 

[null]

I like the sub props too, EZ. Bet the over 2½ on up all at + money.

 

[AxeMurderer]

fmllll I knew trying to place quick bets at work would hurt at me some point. Went to go hit Ponz, and hit Camozzi instead by accident. Fml, looks like i'm on him now....

I knew you would come around. I hope you are rewarded for your misbet with what I think will be a well earned victory. Good luck my friend.

 

[EzFlyer]

 

[EzFlyer]

fight pass:

sherman-ledet
ledet looks fairly soft. in at 234. should def be 205. and the mullet is cringeworthy.
sherman looks solid. in at 245.
sherman is 2" taller

swanson-kawajiri
kawajiri jacked as usual.. looks strong.
swanson looks good.. same as last fight
they're the same size

fs1 prelims:

gutierrez-ishihara
gutierrez looks decent.. maybe a lil better before? maybe not. he looks good.
ishihara flirting w/the ring girls as usual.. he looks alright, nosering not withstanding.
gutierrez is 3-4" taller

novelli-teymur
novelli looks great.. long and lean 155.
teymur looks alright.
novelli is 3" taller (teymur on his toes)

tybura-pesta
tybura in at 249.. big softie. same as last fight.
pesta looks very good at 239.5.
pesta 1" taller

steele-mcgee
steele looks very strong again at 170. freakin weirdo, haha.
mcgee looks very average.
they're similarly sized

fs1 main:

taylor-moroz
taylor short and stocky as we knew.. but pretty damned jacked for a 115 girl. (cute, too!)
moroz long and lean as always.
moroz is indeed 7+" taller, jesus christ.... a full head taller..


gigliotti-smith
gigliotti lookin strong for sure, even tho he's a bit small for MW.
smith looks outstanding.. better than before layoff..
smith is 4+" taller, loosk full weight class bigger

ponz-cummings
cummings looks ok. standard for him at 170. always a lil awkward.
ponz looks great as usual. bruiser.
cummings is 1" taller.. his chin is 2" longer.

camozzi-leites
camozzi lookin good, actually.. as good as he has yet, imo
leites looks solid.. lil better than vs mousasi, possibly.
camozzi is 2" taller

bermudez-jason
jason looks pretty darn good.. first fight outside of brazil but he looks the same as always imo...
bermudez thick as usual.
jason is 3+" taller

rodriguez-caceres
caceres looks fine, same as usual when 145. still thin. hair still stupid.
rodriguez looks great.. lil more ripped every fight?
i think they're the same size?

---

weigh-in induced:
-confidence increase in t.smith (i was regreting my early play on him)
-likely going to add a play on jason
-likely going to add a play on gutierrez

 

[piglord]

man mcgee looked like shit.

camozzi looked taller and generally bigger frame than leites.

 

[BluntTrauma21]

been super busy this week, didn't do my due diligence capping this card very much. You're the man EZ thanks for the weigh in notes as always, sir.

 

[PuertoRican]

gutierrez-ishihara
gutierrez looks decent.. maybe a lil better before? maybe not. he looks good.
ishihara flirting w/the ring girls as usual.. he looks alright, nosering not withstanding.
gutierrez is 3-4" taller

weigh-in induced:
-confidence increase in t.smith (i was regreting my early play on him)
-likely going to add a play on jason
-likely going to add a play on gutierrez

Horacio Gutierrez dropped from 155 to 145 for this fight, which is why he looked more lean during today's weigh-ins.

Does he usually fight at 145 or 155? He trains at low elevation in Arizona.
For example, a big guy who cuts weight for the first time and fights a fellow heavy handed striker at high elevation while not being used to high elevation = could be bad.

I like Gutierrez in this fight, I just hope the elevation doesn't ruin his cardio.

 

[Kowboy Karl]

Horacio Gutierrez dropped from 155 to 145 for this fight, which is why he looked more lean during today's weigh-ins.

Does he usually fight at 145 or 155? He trains at low elevation in Arizona.
For example, a big guy who cuts weight for the first time and fights a fellow heavy handed striker at high elevation while not being used to high elevation = could be bad.

I like Gutierrez in this fight, I just hope the elevation doesn't ruin his cardio.

Not sure

But my notes on him were he's huge for weight class, powerful guy, but no head movement, gets hit a lot, bad footwork, bad tdd, I don't se ishihara going for takedowns,

I could see horacio going for takedowns and getting them, maybe wear the small man out

I'm still on ishihara but not as confident so the big size disparity

 

[mkess101]

Ponz -115 have to add some. This is far from a gimme fight for him but he should be at least a moderate favorite.

 

[null]

Ishihara has power and his playboy gimmick is entertaining but I had to bet Gutierrez at +210 with that size disparity. Also have Ishihara round 1 and the under 1½ as hedges.

 

[PuertoRican]

this one caught my eye from the early weigh-ins.. idk if i'd think much of it if not for the look on his face... maybe it's nothing.. reserving judgement for now

 

[EzFlyer]

IMPOSTER

 

[EzFlyer]

FOTN up - chicks are over 10:1.. and a few fights that could be... going with ishihara-gutierrez +550 tho, small

 

[Sham5916910]

I still need to watch tape on cummings but ponz being so hittable is really making me hesitate unloading on him its not like his chin is granite either two ko losses and strickland put him on his arse twice albeit not sure if second was a slip.

 

[ApplesVild]

Weigh-ins haven't really changed my opinions on any one, Camozzi looked bigger over all but also flabbier.

 

[conmemay]

I still need to watch tape on cummings but ponz being so hittable is really making me hesitate unloading on him its not like his chin is granite either two ko losses and strickland put him on his arse twice albeit not sure if second was a slip.

Ponz has improved his tdd and get up ability so i think this fight will play out on the feet the majority of the time. if that is the case, we should favor Ponz. He's the faster, more active, more dangerous puncher. Ponz does get hit alot but his chin is pretty solid imo. Court McGee also tagged him alot in the beginning but i feel McGee has sneaky fast hands. I dont think Cummings has that handspeed to catch Ponz alot tho. I have no idea how good Cummings' chin is. im assuming his chin/defense is solid since he has never been KOed. This fight and the main event is what i look forward to watching the most tonight.