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Your Official TUF 23 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 3, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    0.5u gadelha +125

    2.55u choi -170

    0.5u silva +110

    0.5u mutante +130

    0.33u lee DEC +295

    0.5u jingliang ITD +115

    ---

    first run.
     
  3. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1.05u silva NSC -105
     
  4. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Here's what I've got so far:

    Pearson DEC .5u +615

    Choi RD1 .5u +150
    Choi KO 1u -120

    Silva NSC 1u -105

    Maynard 1u -140

    Moraga 1u -170

    Smith .8u -120
    Smith RD1 .5u +250
    Smith KO 1u +190
    Smith/Ferreira U1.5 1u +100

    Lee 1.5u +160
    Lee DEC 1u +250

    Jingliang RD1 .5u +200
    Jingliang ITD 1u -110
    Jingliang SUB .2u +710
     
  5. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    0.5u gadelha +125
    2.025u JJ NSC -135

    0.05u pearson SUB +4330 (cause why not!)

    1.575u choi -158

    0.5u silva +110
    1.05u silva NSC -105

    0.5u Cory Hendricks +125

    0.5u mutante +130

    1.35u matthews -135
    0.15u matthews SUB +664
    0.1u matthews RD 3 +1075
    0.33u lee DEC +295

    0.5u jingliang ITD +115
    0.15u jingliang SUB +605
    1u jingliang ML + burns (ufn 90): -120

    ---
    second run (will finalize tomorrow during the day)
     
  6. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Skärmklipp.JPG
    All I got, might but some on JJ since her odds keep improving.
     
  7. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I'm going to show my bets for all three events. I don't want to total all three separately.

    Singles

    Maynard: $31.25 to win $20.63 $51.88
    Pyle/Mina ITD: $10 to win $5.88 $15.88
    Andrew Sanchez: $8.75 to win $5.47 $14.22
    Joanna: $6.25 to win $5.21 $11.46
    Brooks/Pearson over 2.5: $6.25 to win $3.02 $9.27
    Birchak/Lopes ITD: $5 to win $6 Loss
    Muhammed: $5 to win $5 Loss
    Matthews: $5 to win $3.85 Loss
    Viera: $5 to win $3.45 Loss
    Arantes: $5 to win $3.23 $8.23
    Baghdad: $3.75 to win $4.50 Loss
    Hendricks/Stansbury ITD: $3.75 to win $3.26 Loss
    Holbrook (+3.5): $3.75 to win $2.03 Loss
    Cooper (+3.5): $2.50 to win $4 Loss
    Moraga/Nicolau ITD: $2.50 to win $3.38 Loss


    Parlays
    Field over Day (Bridgestone) + Munhoz: $10 to win $9.35 $19.35
    Field over Lowry (US Open) + Nelson/Lewis ITD: $10 to win $5.60 Loss
    Choi/Tavares ITD + Field over Grace (Scottish): $10 to win $5.95

    Choi/Tavares ITD + Smith/Ferreira ITD: $7.50 to win $4.55 Loss
    Burns + Luque + RDA: $5 to win $5.95 Loss
    Jinliang + Lesnar/Hunt ITD: $5 to win $2.45

    Krantz + Duffy: $3.75 to win $3.52 $6.27
    Aguilar + Duffy: $2.50 to win $2.79 $5.29
    Byrd + Duffy: $2.50 to win $2.35 $4.85

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $195.86 Running Profit = $30.86 (Approximate ROI for year 2.228%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2745.15 Total Profit = $2726.15 (Approximate ROI: 12.134%)
     
    Last edited: Jul 9, 2016
  8. lefontes Purple Belt

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    Jingliang + Brooks - 1unit
    Silva - 2units
     
  9. Hodge23 White Belt

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    SU
    2U John Moraga @ -175
    2U Gray Maynard @ -137
    2U Claudio Gadhela @ +165
    0.5U Claudio Gadhela UD @ +400
    0.25U Claudio Gadhela Sub @ +900

    Parlays
    2U Jingliang Li & Daniel Cormier @ -150
    1U Jingliang, TJ & Tate @ +140
    1U Will Brooks, TJ Dillashaw & Over 2.5 Sanchez vs Lauzon @ +150
    2U Will Brooks & TJ Dillashaw @ -133

    Ive been back and forth on the main event for weeks now. Like my position on Gadhela but was planning to switch to JJ @ + odds by playing the lines. Now not sure what to do ...
     
  10. edole Brown Belt

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    my underdog parlay

    1u Nicolau, Holbrook, JJ/Gadehla U4.5, Gomi, Brock @ +10,000

    others

    2u Brooks, Maynard, Matthews @ +255 Loss

    1u Duffy, Maynard, Jingliang, Dillashaw, Sage @ +321

    3u Brooks, Cormier, Hendricks, Dillashaw, Sage @ +373

    2u Nicolau/Moraga O2.5, Choi, A.Sanchez, Maynard @ +549
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2016
  11. Hodge23 White Belt

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    Ok so i switched positions and now ended up with 4U on JJ @ just over +100, still like my Gadhela sub prop as a hedge @ +900

    0.5U Smith KO @ +175 (Lose -0.5U)
    2U John Moraga @ -175 (Lose -2U)(Total -2.5U)
    2U Gray Maynard @ -137 (Win 1.45U)(-1.05U)
    0.5U Amanda Cooper @ +300 (Lose -0.5U)(-1.55U)
    4U Joanna Jedrzejczyk @ +100 (Win 4U)(+2.45U)
    0.5U Claudio Gadhela UD @ +400 (Lose -0.5U)(+1.95U)
    0.25U Claudio Gadhela Sub @ +900 (Lose -0.25U)(+1.7U)

    Parlays
    2U Jingliang Li & Daniel Cormier @ -150
    1U Jingliang, TJ & Tate @ +140
    1U Will Brooks, TJ Dillashaw & Over 2.5 Sanchez vs Lauzon @ +150
    2U Will Brooks & TJ Dillashaw @ -133

    Oh and added 0.5U Amanda Cooper, +300
    Now Added Smith KO @ +175
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2016
  12. Mr.Bellagio Yellow Belt

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    TUF 23 & UFC 200

    Total Stake : $1,700

    Amanda Cooper - $500 to win $1,600

    Frankie Edgar - $1,200 to win $1,000
     
  13. t6p Brown Belt

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    1u Gadelha (+190)
    0.5u Gadelha DEC (+380)
    0.25u Gadelha SUB (+1045)

    1u Sanchez (-130)
    0.25u Sanchez RD3 (+800)

    1u Cooper (+320)

    1u Pearson (+305)

    1u Silva (-110)

    1u Maynard (-150)

    1u Moraga (-135)

    0.75u Smith KO (+155)
    0.25u Smith RD1 (+225)

    4u Matthews (+107) *parlay with Burns

    5u Jingliang/Dillashaw (+181) *parlay with Burns/Duffy
    0.25u Jingliang SUB (+605)

    1u Jingliang ITD/Choi KO (+231)
    1u Matthews ITD/Sanchez SUB (+929)
     
  14. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Lee
    Cezar
    Moraga
    Brooks/Maynard parlay
    JJ
    Choi/Suarez parlay
    Silva
     
  15. molest Purple Belt

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    6u smith -133
    1u Ferreira by sub +500
    1 unit nicolau +144
    JJ to win 4u
    .5 u JJ by ko +450
    probably on choi if he gets down to -200
     
  16. Almirante White Belt

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    Maynard -152
    Moraga -141
    Sanchez -140
    Matthews -135
    Joanna -108
    Ferreira +140
    Brooks + Choi + Jingliang +144
     
  17. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    Got a lot of props and parlays pre-event tonight:

    .66u on Anthony Smith in R1 @ +275
    2u on Doo Ho Choi by KO/TKO @ -110
    1.33u on Will Brooks in R3 or by DEC @ -139
    .5u on Andrew Sanchez in R3 @ +1800
    .33u on Joanna Jedrzejczyk in R4 @ +2200
    .33u on Joanna Jedrzejczyk in R5 @ +3500

    1u on Jingliang + Maynard + Sanchez @ +249
    1u on Jingliang ITD + Sanchez + Jdrzejczyk @ +490
    .5u on Ho Choi R1 + Maynard + Cormier/Silva U 2.5 @ +588
     
  18. null Gold Belt

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    TUF 23 Finale Risk $2625.97

    Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-125) vs Claudia Gadelha $250.00 for $200.00
    Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins by 5 round decision (+180) $50.00 for $90.00
    Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+469) $30.00 for $140.70
    Claudia Gadelha wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+505) $20.00 for $101.00

    Andrew Sanchez (-130) vs Khalil Rountree $130.00 for $100.00
    Andrew Sanchez wins inside distance (+165) $75.00 for $123.75
    Andrew Sanchez wins by submission (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

    Amanda Cooper (+315) vs Tatiana Suarez $50.00 for $157.50
    Amanda Cooper wins by TKO/KO (+1250) $25.00 for $312.50

    Ross Pearson (+315) vs Will Brooks $100.00 for $315.00
    Ross Pearson wins by 3 round decision (+615) $100.00 for $615.00

    Thiago Tavares (+195) vs Doo Ho Choi $100.00 for $195.00
    Thiago Tavares wins by submission (+430) $25.00 for $107.50

    Andrew Holbrook (+100) vs Joaquim Silva $100.00 for $100.00
    Andrew Holbrook wins by submission (+435) $25.00 for $108.75

    Gray Maynard (-150) vs Fernando Bruno $300.00 for $200.00
    Gray Maynard wins in round 2 (+775) $15.00 for $116.25
    Gray Maynard wins in round 3 (+1400) $15.00 for $210.00
    Fernando Bruno (+145) vs Gray Maynard $68.97 for $100.00
    Fernando Bruno wins by TKO/KO (+425) $30.00 for $127.50
    John Moraga (-170) vs Matheus Nicolau $170.00 for $100.00
    John Moraga wins by submission (+525) $40.00 for $210.00
    Josh Stansbury (-115) vs Cory Hendricks $115.00 for $100.00
    Cezar Ferreira (+125) vs Anthony Smith $200.00 for $250.00
    Anthony Smith wins in round 1 (+250) $50.00 for $125.00

    Jake Matthews (-133) vs Kevin Lee $266.00 for $200.00
    Jingliang Li wins in round 1 (+200) vs Anton Zafir $25.00 for $50.00
    Jingliang Li wins inside distance (-115) $46.00 for $40.00
    Jingliang Li wins by submission (+710) $20.00 for $142.00

    Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+102) $40.00 for $40.80
    Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+311) $25.00 for $77.75
    Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+883) $15.00 for $132.45
    Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+2750) $10.00 for $275.00
    Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+10900) $5.00 for $545.00

    Joanna Jedrzejczyk/Claudia Gadelha FOTN award winner (+200) $50.0 for $100.00
     
  19. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    2016

    UFC Fight Night 73 +5.2
    UFC190/WSOF22 +.26u
    UFC on Fox 16 -0.80u
    UFC Fight Night 74 -5.25u
    UFC Fight Night 81 -0.25
    Bellator 148 +1.95u
    UFC on Fox 18 +4.2u
    UFC Fight Night 82 +0.82u
    UFC Fight Night 83 -12.87u
    UFC Fight Night 84 +9.54u
    UFC 196 -1.18u
    UFC Fight Night 88 +17.3u
    UFC 199 +5.13
    UFC Fight Night 90 +10u

    +33.88u


    TUF 23 Finale

    Andrew Sanchez
    -130 2.6u to win 2u
    Ross Pearson +305 5u to win 15.25u
    Thiago Tavares +185 1.5u to win 2.78u
    John Moraga -135 5.4u to win 4u
    Cezar Ferreira
    +105 2.5u to win 2.63u

    Props

    Claudia Gadelha/Joanna Jedrzejczyk Under 4½
    +205 1u to win 2.05u
    Gadelha / Jedrzejczyk draw +16500 0.01u to win 16.5u


    GL all
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    TUF 23 Risk: 1,586.50
    JJ ITD: 15 parlays / JJ RD4: 8 for 144 / JJ RD5: 7 for 154 / JJ NSC: 202.50 for 150 - 50 parlay / draw: 2.50 for 412.50 / gadelha: 0 for 7.50 / gadelha KO: 10 for 253
    sanchez -130: 130 for 100 / sanchez ITD: 15 parlays / sanchez SUB: 33 for 115.50 / sanchez RD3: 5 parlays / rountree
    cooper +3.5: 50 for 80 / cooper ITD: 15 for 93 / suarez
    brooks -3.5: 135 for 100 / brooks DEC: 15 parlays / pearson SUB: 5 for 216.50
    choi -158: 157.50 for 100 / choi RD3: 5 parlays / RD3: 15 for 97.50 / tavares
    silva +110: 50 for 55 / silva ITD: 15 parlays / silva RD1: 5 parlays / silva NSC: 105 for 100 / holbrook
    bruno-maynard: no bet
    moraga RD3: 5 parlays / moraga NSC: 50 parlay / nicolau
    Hendricks +125: 50 for 62.50 / hendricks ITD: 15 parlays / hendricks SUB: 15 for 78.75 / stansbury
    mutante +120: 100 for 120 / mutante DEC: 20 for 96.30 - 5 parlays / smith
    matthews -135: 135 for 100 / matthews ITD: 15 parlays / matthews SUB: 15 for 99.60 / matthews RD3: 10 for 107.50 - 5 parlays / matthews NSC: 50 parlay / lee DEC: 33 for 97.35
    jingliang: 100 parlay / jingliang ITD: 50 for 57.50 - 15 parlays / jingliang SUB: 15 for 90.75 / zafir
    props
    FOTN: sanchez-rountree: 10 for 58.50
    FOTN: suarez-cooper: 8 for 68
    parlays
    100 for 83.41 jingliang -315 & burns -255 (ufn 90)
    50 for 149.70 JJ NSC -150, moraga NSC -180 & matthews NSC -185
    35 RR for 1,000.54: JJ ITD/ sanchezITD/ brooksDEC/ silvaITD/ hendricksITD/ matthewsITD/ jingliangITD
    15 RR for 1,079.08: sanchezRD2/ choiRD3/ silvaRD1/ moragaRD3/ ferreiraDEC/ matthewsRD3
    ---
     

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