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Your Official UFC 198 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 9, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    first run:

    1.31u werdum-miocic O2.0 -131

    0.5u Belfort RD 1 +650

    0.5u silva DEC +214

    1.65u cyborg-smith RD 1 -165

    0.5u shogun NSC +115

    4u Maia -123 (this is closing parlays, that's why cheap)
    0.2u brown RD 3 +1750

    0.5u alves-barberena U1.5 +135

    1.5u lineker -150

    1.65u cummins -165

    3.5u tukhugov -140
     
  3. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Hall NSC - $10.00 for $0.00
    Hall KO - $10.00 for $0.00
    Font - $10.00 for $17.00 (bought out after reading posts here)
    Lineker & Cyborg - $17.00 for $12.92 (bought out; hope I didn't get greedy with the Borg add)

    Miocic-Werdum O2.5 & Nog-Cummins O1.5 - $5.00 for $7.95
    Anderson & Maia & Cummins - $23.47 for $38.60
    Anderson & Cyborg - $30.00 for $22.80
    Souza & Maia & Alves - $20.00 for $21.36
    Belfort-Souza O1.5 & Smith-Justino O1.5 & Tukhugov - $2.00 for $19.00
    Werdum & Alves & Santos - $20.00 for $31.03
    Trinaldo & Alves & Santos & Cyborg - $20.46 for $27.89
    Alves & Santos & Cyborg - $52.10 for $31.26

    Went Brazilian-heavy, parlay-happy in the end. I think we'll see a lot of hometown victors (but have no faith in Shogun or Nog). Threw away $2 as tribute to Smith's ear.

    I'll be shitting myself during the Alves fight. How did I let him in 4 parlays? Yikes.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2016
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £1500 Alves + Santos + Cyborg @ -140

    £926 MM (cashed) + Maia @ +100

    £70 Cummins Nog o 1.5 + Alves + Cyborg for £222 (theres a line error on one of these im hoping goes unnoticed)

    £100 Belfort r1 @ +700

    £30 Belfort r1 KO +900
     
    Last edited: May 9, 2016
  5. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    This will be the most I've ever wagered on a single card, with a lot of it on Corey Anderson. It's rare I go over 2 units on a bet so you can see my confidence in these.

    Singles:
    Uriah Hall +135 2u
    Uriah Hall KO +325 1u
    Uriah Hall SC=No action +110 2u

    Corey Anderson -180 8u
    Corey Anderson KO +550 1u
    Corey Anderson Rd 3 +1475 .2u

    Rob Font +165 2u

    Patrick Cummins -210 5u

    Parlays:
    Alves + Corey Anderson + Cummins 3u

    Alves + Corey Anderson + Santos + Cummins/Nogueira o1.5rds 3u

    Maia + Cummins + Santos 1u

    And of course got some hail mary parlays and other small flyers mixed in.
     
  6. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Singles
    Werdum: $12.50 to win $7.81 Loss
    Maia (-3.5): $10 to win $6.06 $16.06
    Lil Nog (+3.5): $8.75 to win $5.83 $14.58
    Shogun: $6.25 to win $11.25 $17.50
    Font: $6.25 to win $10.31 Loss

    Brown/Maia ITD: $6.25 to win $4.46 $10.71
    Moraes/Chagas over 1.5: $5 to win $5.50 $10.50
    Awad (-3.5): $5 to win $3.03 $8.03
    Belfort (scorecards = no action): $2.50 to win $7.05 Loss

    Villanueva: $2.50 to win $1.92 $4.42
    Schilling: $2.50 to win $1.56 Loss

    Jacoby: $1.25 to win $3.88 Loss
    Ritani-Coe: $1.25 to win $3.75 $1.25
    Reger: $1.25 to win $3.50 Loss
    Mo/Davis under 2.5: $1.25 to win $3.13 Loss
    Young: $1.25 to win $1.14 Loss

    Risk of $73.75 $83.05

    Parlays
    Field over Rory (Players) + Cyborg + Alves: $12.50 to win $4.75 Loss
    Cyborg/Smith won't start 3 + Werdum/Stipe starts 2: $10 to win $5.03 Loss
    Field over Spieth (Players) + Alves + Maia: $6.25 to win $3.93 Loss
    Field over Day (Players) + Marq/Santos ITD: $6.25 to win $5.03 Loss
    Field over Rose (Players) + Trinaldo + Piccolotti: $3.75 to win $3.38 $7.63
    Not Cyborg Dec + Not Carneiro Dec + Over 2.5 Decisions: $3.75 to win $1.91 Loss

    Field over Day (Players) + Grigorian + Van Soest: $1.25 to win $2.72 Loss

    Risk of $41.25 $7.63

    TOTAL RISK OF $115 $90.68

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $163.73 Running Profit = $-1.37 (Approximate ROI for year -0.12%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2712.91 Total Profit = $2693.92 (Approximate ROI: 12.12%)
     
    Last edited: May 16, 2016
  7. Hater Hater Blue Belt

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    2u - Font @ +157.5 Average
    .5u - Font/Lineker Over 1.5 @ -130
    1u - Maia Finish @ +127
    1u - Miocic/Werdum O2 @ -131 (edit: fixed typo, had no round 3, is now correct)

    Parlay
    1u - Maia @ -260 + Smith/Justino No Round 2 @ -164 (total +123)
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2016
  8. piglord Black Belt

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    alves, santos, cyborg: £650 returns £1176

    alves, santos, cyborg: £350 returns £578

    miocic: £236 returns £553

    pat cummins, deontay wilder: £108 returns £291
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2016
  9. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    $2k on Anderson
    $2k on Cummins
    $250 on Anderson+Maia
    $200 on Anderson+Maia+Cummins

    surprised to see how many is on Shogun tbh
     
  10. AgentSmecker Black Belt

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    Just a speck of sand in an endless desert of agony
    few hail mary parlays...

    Souza by dec, Maia by dec, Cyborg rd 1, Shotgun by KO - £5 returns £734.83

    Souza Rd 2, Anderson v Rua under 2.5, Brown via KO, Cyborg rd 2 - £5 returns £1362.60

    Maia, Belfort, Rua, Werdum MLs - £10 returns £189.34

    And a couple of more slightly realistic ones....

    Cummins ML, Linker ML, Trinaldo ML, Alves sub, Cyborg rd 1 - £10 returns £87.82

    Maia, Alves, Lineker, Cummins, Trinaldo, Moraes, Tukhugov all straight ML - £20 returns £181.04
     
    Last edited: May 12, 2016
  11. Vitor KO 1 or 2 round +500
    Vitor KO 1 round - +900
     
  12. piglord Black Belt

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    Your selections
    Bellator Fighting Championships Muhammed Lawal v Phil Davis
    15-05-2016 04:45
    Match Betting
    Phil Davis @ 4/9

    UFC Matches Fabricio Werdum v Stipe Miocic
    15-05-2016 05:30
    Match Betting
    Stipe Miocic @ 5/4

    UFC Matches Ronaldo Souza v Vitor Belfort
    15-05-2016 05:00
    Match Betting
    Vitor Belfort @ 2/1

    UFC Matches Cristiane Justino v Leslie Smith
    15-05-2016 03:30
    Match Betting
    Cristiane Justino @ 1/14

    UFC Matches Mauricio Rua v Corey Anderson
    15-05-2016 03:00
    Match Betting
    Mauricio Rua @ 7/4

    UFC Matches Demian Maia v Matt Brown
    15-05-2016 02:30
    Match Betting
    Matt Brown @ 9/4

    UFC Matches Warlley Alves v Bryan Barberena
    15-05-2016 02:00
    Match Betting
    Warlley Alves @ 1/5

    UFC Matches Thiago Santos v Nate Marquardt
    15-05-2016 01:30
    Match Betting
    Thiago Santos @ 2/7

    UFC Matches Antonio Rogerio Nogueira v Patrick Cummins
    15-05-2016 01:00
    Match Betting
    Patrick Cummins @ 2/5

    UFC Matches John Lineker v Rob Font
    15-05-2016 01:00
    Match Betting
    Rob Font @ 11/8

    UFC Matches Francisco Trinaldo v Yancy Medeiros
    15-05-2016 00:30
    Match Betting
    Yancy Medeiros @ 13/8

    UFC Matches Sergio Moraes v Luan Chagas
    15-05-2016 00:00
    Match Betting
    Sergio Moraes @ 1/4

    UFC Matches Renato Moicano v Zubaira Tukhugov
    14-05-2016 23:30
    Match Betting
    Renato Moicano @ 6/4

    Your Bets
    Accumulator (13)
    1 line at £5.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: £5.00
    Potential returns: £19,644.93
     
  13. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC 198 Risk: 2,251.60
    werdum -147: 220.50 for 150 / werdum SPLIT: 15 for 139.50 / O2.0: 131 for 100 / O2.5: 56 for 50 / miocic SPLIT: 15 for 110.25
    belfort RD 1: 50 for 325 / jacare ITD: 33 parlay
    cyborg-smith RD1: 164.80 for 100 - 33 parlay
    shogun RD1: 12.50 for 100 / shogun NSC: 100 for 106.04 / anderson
    alves ITD: 181.80 for 105 - 33 parlay / U1.5: 50 for 67.50 / barberena
    maia -270: 100 for 37.04 - 300 parlays / brown RD 3: 20 for 350
    santos-marquardt: idk
    medeiros +203: 100 for 202.50 / trinaldo
    lineker -151: 302 for 200 / lineker SUB: 15 for 169.50 / font
    cummins -165: 165 for 100 / lilnog
    moraes RD 3: 20 for 150 / chagas
    tukhugov -133: 200 for 150 / moicano
    props
    parlays
    100 for 97.94 maia -270 & wade-khabilov O2.5 -225 (ufn 87)
    100 for 93.85 maia -260 & Kowalkiewicz -250 (ufn 87)
    100 for 96.62 maia -270 & edwards -230 (ufn 87)
    33 for 102.55 jacare ITD -166, cyborg-smith RD1 -195 & alves ITD -144
    ---

    post weigh-in.

    will update tomorrow before fights start.
     
  14. TreeOfWoe Blue Belt

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    So far I have:
    2u Corey Anderson
    1u Patrick Cummins
    1u Moraes/Alves parlay
    1u Tukhugov
    1u Trinaldo/Alves/Maia parlay
    Hail mary parlay on Tukhugov/Moraes/Trinaldo/Cummins/Lineker/Santos/Alves/Maia/Anderson/Cyborg/Jacare/Werdum
    1u Lineker
    3u Werdum
     
  15. ClosetVitorFan Gold Belt

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    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Just a couple of fun ones. Any thoughts? Here's hoping for a red panty night.
     
  16. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Well I had a pretty good looking set of plays, then I got a bit drunk and started chasing crazy underdogs and big favourites, so lets see what happens. Might be a big fail if both Shogun and Lil'Nog wins and Cyborg doesnt win in R1, but I have a good gut feeling about these. I stopped listening to the MMA Vivi since they tend to convince me to put too much money on prelims fight I don't know enough about... The red ones are the Bellator fights I've betted on.

    Skärmklipp.JPG
     
  17. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    7u Anderson -117
    2u Jacare ITD -110
    0,3u Belfort +250

    5u Mighty Mouse + Maia +100
    2u Mighty Mouse + Maia -122
    3u KK/Clarke O2.5 + Jacare -130
    1u Horiguchi + Jacare -172
    3u Cummins + Trinaldo/Medeiros O1.5 +100
    1,5u Santos + Lineker -115
    1u Santos + Trinaldo/Medeiros O1.5 -133

    0,5u Cyborg dec +1100
    0,25u Belfort r1 +700
    0,35u Shogun KO/TKO +425
    0,1u Anderson r3 +1600
    0,1u Brown r3 +2500
     
  18. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Insane amount of action on this card. I've added, hedged, etc. enough to not know exact unit sizes on most of my bets. Sloppy way to do it (and I have a general idea) but it's how I roll. I will just put small, medium, large next to bets. Large are 3+u. Small are under 1u. These are all mixes of straight and parlays.

    Werdum ML-medium at -145
    Miocic dec-small at +331
    Jacare itd-big at -103
    Jacare sub-small at +155
    Vitor rd 1-small at +650
    Cyborg rd 1-big at -155
    Cyborg rd 2-small at +400
    Anderson ML-very big (4+u) at combined -175 or so
    Anderson KO-small at +550
    Anderson -3.5-medium at +135
    Shogun itd-small at +310
    Alves sub-small at +135
    Maia ML-very big (3.5+u) at combined -250ish
    Maia sub-small at +160
    Maia dec-small at +190
    Santos KO-small at -130
    Madeiros dec-small at +450
    Linekar ML-medium at -150
    Font +3.5-medium at -115
    Cummins -3.5-medium at +120
    Chagas ML-small at +375
    Carneiros dec-small at +354


    Biggest action of the year for me pre fight I think. Such strong leans on some fights. Hope I'm not reading these wrong!
     
  19. edole Brown Belt

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    Parlays


    Maia + Werdum 580 to win 635

    Alves/barb o1.5 , lineker/font o1.5 , trinaldo, maia, Souza, Werdum
    200 to win 2100


    Edit :

    Just added,

    lineker/font 01.5, trinaldo, souza, santos, moraes


    200 to win 858



    Edit: added 110 on Cyborg to win by decision pays 1045
    crazy good value imo
     
    Last edited: May 14, 2016
  20. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Ive added a few other small plays further to my bets posted a few days ago but cant be arsed to type them all up. About £3k staked tho most ever.
     

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