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Your Official UFC 199 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 30, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Cruz + rockhold + rda £500 for £350

    Cruz + rockhold + tj £1k for £870

    I also have a parlay for £50 @ +2600 that just needs cruz by unan dec and wonderboy to close it.

    Got my eye on a two man parlay just waiting for odds.
     
  3. Bless Orange Belt

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    11.75u @ Rockhold ~-392

    1.375u @ Cruz by dec -137
    0.33u @ Faber NSC +311
    0.05u @ Faber by split +1775
    0.05u @ Cruz by split +900

    1.15u @ Dariush -155
    1.00u @ Penne/Andrade o2.5 -180
    0.75u @ Hendo/Lombard u1.5 -140
    0.75u @ Wilson/Henrique u1.5 +110
    0.50u @ Guida/Ortiga o1.5 -195



    Probably will hedge off about half of the action on Rockhold, depending on how confident others in this subforum are on him :D
     
    Last edited: May 31, 2016
  4. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ...alright, fine, i'm not retired. but i'm probably not gonna go big on ufc 199.

    first run:

    0.1u faber SPLIT +1775
    0.25u cruz SPLIT +900
    0.5u faber NSC +311

    1u lamas +250

    0.85u ortega-guida O1.5 -170

    0.5u andrade +145
    1.5u andrade-penne O1.5 -150

    2.55u miller -170

    1.75u dariush -175

    1.13u breese -113

    0.6u mutapcic -120
     
  5. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Lombard + Rockhold + Cruz - $100.97 to win $63.61
    Rockhold + Breese - $50.00 to win $48.90


    Expensive but obviously confident. I was letting doubt about Cruz creep into my mind but then I listened to him on Heavy Hands from early May. Just words, sure, but he's too good forever for Faber.

    Might leave it at that for the card (who am I kidding?) because summer-in-Canada is not well spent researching/watching tape but we'll see.

    GL, all.
     
    Last edited: Jun 1, 2016
  6. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Cruz + rockhold + rda £500 for £350

    Cruz + rockhold + tj £1k for £870

    Dariush + Holloway £750 @ +104

    Dariush + Holloway £550 @ +102

    I also have a parlay for £50 @ +2600 that just needs Cruz by unan dec and wonderboy to close it.
     
    Last edited: Jun 1, 2016
  7. null Gold Belt

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    My action so far- going to hedge Guida plays with Ortega sub when it's released:

    Clay Guida (+235) vs Brian Ortega $100.00 for $235.00
    Clay Guida wins by 3 round decision (+325) $100.00 for $325.00

    Jessica Andrade (+130) vs Jessica Penne $100.00 for $130.00
    Jessica Andrade wins by 3 round decision (+187) $100.00 for $187.00
     
  8. AgentSmecker Black Belt

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    Location:
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    My first parlay for this card....

    Fivefold
    [​IMG]Details

    02/06/2016 00:20
    You bet on Over 2.5 @ 1.5
    Open
    Max Holloway - Ricardo Lamas
    • Number of rounds
    You bet on 2 @ 3
    Open
    Brian Ortega - Clay Guida
    • Match Winner
    You bet on 1 @ 1.49
    Open
    Cole Miller - Alex Caceres
    • Match Winner
    You bet on Under 2.5 @ 1.35
    Open
    Luke Rockhold - Michael Bisping
    • Number of rounds
    You bet on Fight goes to decision @ 1.55
    Open
    Dominick Cruz - Urijah Faber
    • Way of Winning
    Stake: 15.00
    Pot.Return: 210.45

    Couple more ...................

    Fivefold
    [​IMG]Details

    02/06/2016 01:26
    You bet on Under 1.5 @ 1.85
    Open
    Luke Rockhold - Michael Bisping
    • Number of rounds
    You bet on 1 @ 1.48
    Open
    Beneil Dariush - James Vick
    • Match Winner
    You bet on Under 2.5 @ 2.3
    Open
    Cole Miller - Alex Caceres
    • Number of rounds
    You bet on 2 @ 1.8
    Open
    Kevin Casey - Elvis Mutapcic
    • Match Winner
    You bet on FIGHTER 1 BY DECISION @ 1.53
    Open
    Dominick Cruz - Urijah Faber
    • Method of victory MMA
    Stake: 12.00
    Pot.Return: 208.12

    .....................


    Treble
    [​IMG]Details

    02/06/2016 00:49
    You bet on Under 1.5 @ 1.55
    Open
    Dan Henderson - Hector Lombard
    • Number of rounds
    You bet on 2 @ 2.5
    Open
    Dustin Poirier - Bobby Green
    • Match Winner
    You bet on Under 2.5 @ 2.75
    Open
    Jessica Penne - Jessica Andrade
    • Number of rounds
    Stake: 10.00
    Pot.Return: 106.56
     
    Last edited: Jun 2, 2016
  9. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Rockhold by Sub +161 for 1u
    -Rockhold R2 +325 for 1u
    -Rockhold R3 +575 for 1u

    Cruz by Dec -160 for 8u

    Lamas by Dec +365 for 1u
    -Lamas +3.5 +135 for 1.5u

    Lombard has fastest KO of the night +450 for 0.5u

    Poirier -173 for 3.46u

    Dariush by Dec +137 for 1.46u

    Guida by Dec +200 for 2u
    -Ortega wins by Sub +110 for 1.82u

    Miller wins by Sub +250 for 0.4u

    Strickland by Dec +190 for 0.53u

    Mutapcic -130 for 1.3u
    -Mutapcic by TKO +137 for 0.3u
    -Casey by Dec +399 for 0.4u

    Parlay: Henderson/Lombard u1.5 (-190) + Dariush/Vick o2.5 (-190)
    = (+133) for 0.75u

    u1.5 Fights end by KO/TKO +2850 for 0.1u
    u2.5 Fights end by KO/TKO +696 for 0.1u
    u3.5 Fights end by KO/TKO +236 for 0.1u
     
    Last edited: Jun 4, 2016
  10. null Gold Belt

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    I like this parlay to kick off the main card:

    Dustin Poirier/Bobby Green Over 2½ (-200) + Dan Henderson/Hector Lombard Under 1½ (-190) $100.00 for $128.95
     
  11. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    I'm trying a parlay heavy event, might add some stuff when Unibet comes up with more bets. ("Spel" is plays in Swedish)

    edit: Added some stuff, I dont believe in Faber or Bisping, but I think the odds are simply too good. Especially if Rockhold comes in with a knee-injury.

    Skärmklipp.JPG
     
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2016
  12. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Location:
    Merica
    Singles
    Dariush: $16.25 to win $10.48 $26.73
    Caceres: $10 to win $14 $24
    Guida: $5 to win $10 Loss

    Penne: $5 to win $5.25 Loss
    AXS Fights Loss: $3.75 Loss
    Breese: $3.75 to win $3.75 Loss
    Kim: $3.75 to win $3.41 Loss
    Hendo/Lombard over 1.5: $2.50 to win $5.52 Loss

    Risk of $50 $56.73

    Parlays
    Field over Spieth (Memorial) + Poirier (No Scorecards): $7.50 to win $3.85 $11.35
    Field over Day (Memorial) + Rockhold/Bisping ITD + Wilson/Da Silva ITD: $6.25 to win $4.28 $10.53
    Field over D. Johnson (Memorial) + Andrade/Penne starts 2 + Not Casey Dec: $5 to win $3.12 $8.12
    Field over Rory (Memorial) + Lamas (+3.5): $3.75 to win $5.67 Loss

    Field over Kuchar (Memorial) + Faber (+5.5): $2.50 to win $5.41 Loss

    Risk of $25 $30

    TOTAL RISK OF $75 $86.73

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $193.85 Running Profit = $28.85 (Approximate ROI for year 2.236%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2743.13 Total Profit = $2724.14 (Approximate ROI: 12.177%)
     
    Last edited: Jun 6, 2016
  13. piglord Black Belt

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    Bet ref: 11/11 £12.50 Accumulator
    Market Selection Price Hcp
    Casey v Mutapcic
    Fight
    Mutapcic, Elvis 4/5
    Miller v Cacares
    Fight
    Cacares, Alex 6/4
    Dariush v Vick
    Fight
    Dariush, Beneil 8/15
    Ortega v Guida
    Fight
    Ortega, Brian 4/11
    Strickland v Breese
    Fight
    Breese, Tom 4/5
    Penne v Andrade
    Fight
    Andrade, Jessica 5/4
    Poirier v Green
    Fight
    Poirier, Dustin 4/9
    Henderson v Lombard
    Fight
    Lombard, Hector 1/4
    Cruz v Faber
    Fight
    Cruz, Dominick 1/6
    Holloway v Lamas
    Fight
    Holloway, Max 2/7
    Rockhold v Bisping
    Fight
    Bisping, Michael 11/2
    Total stake £ 12.50
    Estimated return £ 8,385.48
    Full stake £ 12.50
    Full estimated return £ 8,385.48
     
  14. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Definitely it for me. Good luck all.
     
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2016
  15. Wangyanqing White Belt

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    Last week I hit a +210000 and a +90000 parlay. Wish good luck continue This week !I play 166 dollars with Jessica O ,Casey,Lamas O
     

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  16. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Lamas +265 2 units

    Lombard RD1 -115 1 unit
    Lombard KO -180 1 unit

    Ortega RD3 +750 .5 units
    Ortega SUB +145 1 unit
    Guida DEC +300 .5 units

    Dariush -165 3 units

    Miller -175 2 units
    Miller SUB +280 .5 units

    Breese -110 2 units

    Mutapcic -115 2 units
    Mutapcic KO +205 .5 units
    Mutapcic RD3 +1050 .5 units

    Reyes/Kim o1.5 -135 1 unit
     
  17. t6p Brown Belt

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    1.5u Cruz DEC (-135)
    0.5u Cruz Unanimous DEC (+115)
    0.25u Faber SUB (+1300)
    0.25u Faber ITD (+800)

    0.5u Lamas DEC (+365)

    0.5u Guida (+235)

    0.75u Dariush (-200)
    0.5u Dariush DEC (+172)
    0.25u Vick SUB (+1305)

    0.5u Penne SUB (+345)
    0.25u Penne RD3 (+1225)

    0.5u Miller SUB (+300)
    0.25u Miller RD3 (+1025)

    1u Mutapcic (-130)
    0.5u Mutapcic KO (+190)
    0.25u Mutapcic RD3 (+1050)

    1u Dariush/Poirier-Green o2.5 (+121)
    1.5u Rockhold ITD/Not Cruz ITD/Lombard KO (+122)
    Rockhold SUB/Cruz -5.5/Poirier DEC/Ortega SUB (round robin straight and by 2s)
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC 199 Risk: 1,851.50
    rockhold-bisping O1.5: 50 for 54.50
    faber +410: 50 for 205 / Faber split: 10 for 177.50 / faber NSC: 50 for 155.50 / cruz split: 25 for 225
    Lamas +250: 100 for 250 / lamas +3.5: 50 for 65 - 21 parlays / holloway
    lombard RD1: 21 parlays / U1.0: 75 for 50 / hendo
    poirier -195: 195 for 100 / green
    ortega SUB: 21 parlays / O1.5: 85 for 50 / guida
    dariush -178: 355 for 200 / dariush ITD: 40 for 102.40 / dariush SUB: 21 parlays / vick
    penne SUB: 21 parlays / O2.5: 150 for 100 / andrade
    miller -173: 345 for 200 / miller SUB: 21 parlays / caceres
    breese -113: 112.50 for 100 / strickland
    wilson-da silva: no bet
    mutapcic -120: 60 for 50 / mutapcic DEC: 50 for 207.50 - 21 parlays / casey
    dhk-reyes: no bet
    props
    parlays
    49 RR for 1,633.25: lamas+3.5/ lombardRD1/ ortegaSUB/ dariushSUB/ penneSUB/ millerSUB/ mutapcicDEC
    ---

    guess i jumped the gun on a couple lines and/or didn't hedge when they hit their peaks. oh well, liked the bets when i made them.

    don't even remember what it feels like to win on a ufc :p

    (not officially done, but probably close)
     
  19. RyuDave Green Belt

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    First time actually posting picks so ill
    Give it a go, saving most my action for lb but I'll add to post as I do prebet.

    Holloway
    Dariush
    Lombard
    £200 for £510

    Elvis Dec
    Guida dec
    Penne ml
    £25 for £655

    Adding more tomorrow
     
  20. lefontes Purple Belt

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    500usd Breese
    500usd Andrade
    250usd Mutapcic
    200usd Dariush
    50usd parlay: Ortega, Lombard and Holloway
     

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