Your Official UFC 204 Bets

2.1u bisping -210
0.5u bisping+makhachev-wadeO2.5(UFN 94) +109

2.6u alcanatara -130

0.5u OSP-manuwa O1.5 +135
 
10u Bisping-Hendo ITD @ -200

Will hedge with Bisping dec probably
 
Felt the need to lay a little bit on this one before the odds drop

1.8u Bisping via KO @ 2.00
 
6u Bisping-Hendo ITD @ -350
2u Bisping DEC @ +420
1u Bisping Split/Maj DEC @ +1060
2u Parlay: Moose-Belfort ITD + Tumenov ML @ -115
4u Tumenov ML @ -220
 
15U Bisping + Mousasi @1.91
3U over 2.5 Jimi/OSP @2.35

Typically I do not wager more than 3U per bet, this is absolutely huge for me. If I lose then I will have lost nearly half my yearly winnings in the last 3 weeks (have lost last two weeks, -7.5U).

This is my first year of betting, started in March and broke my bankroll down into 45 units, I now have 101 units. I only mention this because 15U for me is more than it is to most and 15 units for anyone is huge. I have done two other monster bets like this and both have cashed.

What is money management?
 
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15U Bisping + Mousasi at @1.91

Typically I do not wager more than 3U per bet, this is absolutely huge for me. If I lose then I will have lost nearly half my yearly winnings in the last 3 weeks (have lost last two weeks).

What is money management?
Thiago Santos & Louis Smolka would like a word with you!
 
Bisping - Henderson
2u [email protected]
4U Fight ends with KO/TKO @1.54
2.5U (in parlay) Fight ends with KO/TKO

Get knocked out guys...
 
Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+135) $74.07 for $100.00
 
Updated:

Ovince Saint Preux (-160) vs Jimi Manuwa $240.00 for $150.00
Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+135) $74.07 for $100.00
Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00
 
2u OSP-Manuwa Over 1.5 @ +130
2u Parlay: Entwistle-Font Under 1.5 + Tumenov ML @ +105
 
Looks like I'll mostly be rooting for fight times as opposed to fighters on Saturday. Kinda like OSP and Diakese, but think I might be trying too hard to force value out of those lines so I'll sit on those for now.

1 unit Martins / Santos over 1.5 @ -183
1 unit Font / Entwistle under 1.5 @ -208
2 units OSP / Manuwa over 1.5 @ +140
1 unit Vitor / Mousasi over 1.5 @ +105
1 unit Danny Roberts @ -150
 
Tumenov + Mousasi 5.5 units @ -121

Mousasi itd 0.18 units @ -120

Gus (cashed) + Bisping 0.55 units @ -110

Whyte (boxing) + Struve + Bektic 0.5 units @ +102

Struve dec 0.18 units @ +270
 
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2u Mus/Belfort itd + Hendo/Bisping itd @1.69
0.75u OSP/Manuwa o1.5 @2.30
 
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2.1u bisping -210
0.5u bisping+makhachev-wadeO2.5(UFN 94) +109

2.6u alcanatara -130

0.5u OSP-manuwa O1.5 +135

updated:

2.1u bisping -210
0.5u bisping+makhachev-wadeO2.5(UFN 94) +109

2.6u alcanatara -130

0.5u OSP-manuwa O1.5 +135
0.3u OSP-manuaw DEC +350
0.2u OSP DEC +750

2.725u roberts -136
 
Another event that I'm not crazy about for betting.

Singles
Bisping/Hendo won't start 4: $17.50 to win $10.01
Struve: $8.75 to win $5 $13.75
Grant: $7.50 to win $4.05 Loss
Hendo: $5 to win $9.75
Pickett: $3.75 to win $5.44 Loss
Foster: $3.75 to win $4.69 $8.44
Perry ITD: $2.50 to win $4 $6.50
Howard: $2.50 to win $6.63 Loss
Eichelberger: $2.50 to win $2.50 Loss
Heden: $1.25 to win $2.19 $3.24
Santos: $1.25 to win $2.38 $3.63

Risk of $56.25


Parlays

Tumenov + Bisping/Hendo ITD: $7.50 to win $6.68 Loss
Mousasi + Bisping/Hendo ITD: $7.50 to win $4.98

Diakise + OSP: $3.75 to win $5.25 Loss
Jordan + Branch: $3.75 to win $3.91 $7.66
Hendo/Bisping ITD + Struve/Omie ITD: $3.75 to win $3.91

Mousasi + High: $3.75 to win $3.63 Loss
Mousasi + Not Bektic Rd 1: $3.75 to win $2.84 Loss

USA wins Ryder at (-1/2) + OSP/Manuwa ITD + Belfort/Mousasi ITD + Hendo/Bisping ITD: $2.50 to win $3.57
Bektic/Doane starts 2 + Branch/Vinny ITD: $2.50 to win $2.31 Loss

Risk of $38.75


Risk of $95

TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $265.72 Running Profit = $100.82 (Approximate ROI for year 4.504%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2825.02 Total Profit = $2796.02 (Approximate ROI: 11.9949%)
 
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5U Tumenov (originally parlayed with Lamas)

3U Moose + Joanna
 
Didn't realize I'm on every dog until writing this up, except for the ME unders. Regretting Stasiak and Sajewski, might add more to Perry and Pickett, on the fence/waiting for props on others.

Henderson KO +345 .25u
Bisping KO +120 1u
Henderson/Bisping U2.5 -115 1.15u
Henderson/Bisping won't start round 4 -151 1u
Henderson/Bisping won't start round 5 -215 2.15u

OSP/Manuwa O1.5 +135 1u
OSP/Manuwa Starts RD2 -124 .5u
OSP/Manuwa GTD +350 .5u
Manuwa SUB +1500 .2u
Manuwa +3.5pts +100 1u
Manuwa DEC +1015 1u

Mousasi DEC +370 .5u

Doane +500 1u

Pickett +140 .5u

Stasiak +160 .5u

Perry +120 .5u

Santos +175 1u

Sajewski +170 .5u
 
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