Your Official UFC 204 Bets

chin up for those who took it on the chin -- regroup, be rdy for some fun stuff in november
 
The Bisping by UD prop helped a lot at the very end there, but too many earlier wrong side bets and busted parlays cost me too much. So another embarrassing loss of -9.86 units. I actually hit a live bet on Bisping at -227 after the fifth round horn to win the equivalent of about ~$163.00, which is nice and all but I'm not confusing my reckoning with crypto-currency bets.

UFC 204
Results

Michael Bisping (-215) vs Dan Henderson $215.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Michael Bisping -5½ points (-170) $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 3 (+700) $50.00 for $350.00= -$50.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 4 (+1075) $15.00 for $161.25= -$15.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 5 (+1675) $10.00 for $167.50= -$10.00
Michael Bisping wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+525) $75.00 for $393.75= $393.75
Dan Henderson wins in round 1 (+500) $30.00 for $150.00= -$30.00

Gegard Mousasi (-325) vs Vitor Belfort $325.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Gegard Mousasi wins in round 2 (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= $122.50
Gegard Mousasi wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00
Vitor Belfort wins in round 1 (+650) $35.00 for $227.50= -$35.00
Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00

Ovince Saint Preux (-160) vs Jimi Manuwa $240.00 for $150.00= -$240.00
Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+135) $74.07 for $100.00= $100.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1025) $10.00 for $102.50= -$10.00
Ovince Saint Preux /Jimi Manuwa goes 3 round distance (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= -$35.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins by 3 round decision (+750) $50.00 for $375.00= -$50.00
Jimi Manuwa wins by 3 round decision (+800) $40.00 for $320.00= -$40.00

Stefan Struve (-175) vs Daniel Omielanczuk $262.50 for $150.00= $150.00
Stefan Struve wins in round 3 (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00= -$10.00
Not Stefan Struve inside distance (-170) $85.00 for $50.00= -$85.00
Daniel Omielanczuk wins by 3 round decision (+485) $40.00 for $194.00= -$40.00

Mirsad Bektic wins inside distance (+110) $40.00 for $44.00= $44.00
Mirsad Bektic wins by submission (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Mirsad Bektic wins in round 3 (+1025) $10.00 for $102.50= -$10.00
Mirsad Bektic/Russell Doane won't go 3 round distance (-115) $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Mirsad Bektic/Russell Doane won’t go 3 round distance (-115) $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Russell Doane wins in round 1 (+1600) $10.00 for $160.00= -$10.00

Brad Pickett (+145) vs Iuri Alcantara $100.00 for $145.00= -$100.00
Brad Pickett wins by decision (+225) $45.00 for $101.25= -$45.00
Brad Pickett/Iuri Alcantara Over 2½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00= -$185.00

Davey Grant (-170) vs Damian Stasiak $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Davey Grant -3½ points (+130) $75.00 for $97.50= -$75.00
Davey Grant wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00= -$10.00
Damian Stasiak wins inside distance (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= $112.50
Damian Stasiak wins by submission (+580) $20.00 for $116.00= $116.00

Albert Tumenov wins in round 2 (+475) $20.00 for $95.00= -$20.00
Leon Edwards wins by submission (+1545) $10.00 for $154.50= $154.50
Albert Tumenov wins by 3 round decision (+274) $40.00 for $109.60= -$40.00

Marc Diakiese -3½ points (-160) vs Lukasz Sajewski $64.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Marc Diakiese wins by TKO/KO (+280) $30.00 for $84.00= $84.00

Danny Roberts (-130) vs Mike Perry $130.00 for $100.00= -$130.00
Danny Roberts (-150) vs Mike Perry $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
Danny Roberts wins in round 3 (+1275) $10.00 for $127.50= -$10.00
Danny Roberts wins by 3 round decision (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
Mike Perry wins in round 1 (+325) $35.00 for $113.75= -$35.00

Adriano Martins/Leonardo Santos Over 1½ (-175) $131.25 for $75.00= $75.00
Adriano Martins/Leonardo Santos goes 3 round distance (+110) $40.00 for $44.00= $44.00

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (-128) $51.20 for $40.00= -$51.20
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+218) $25.00 for $54.50= -$25.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+587) $15.00 for $88.05= -$15.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+1860) $10.00 for $186.00= -$10.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+8275) $5.00 for $413.75= -$5.00

Davey Grant wins Fastest Submission (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00= -$10.00
Marc Diakiese wins Fastest KO (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00= -$10.00
Brad Pickett/Iuri Alcantara FOTN award winner (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= -$20.00

Parlays:
Albert Tumenov (-230) vs Leon Edwards + Davey Grant (-170) vs Damian Stasiak $200.00 for $255.75= -$200.00
Marc Diakiese (-260) vs Lukasz Sajewski + Albert Tumenov (-255) vs Leon Edwards $216.00 for $200.36= -$216.00
Albert Tumenov (-260) vs Leon Edwards + Davey Grant (-185) vs Damian Stasiak + Stefan Struve (-170) vs Daniel Omielanczuk + Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+110) + Gegard Mousasi (-345) vs Vitor Belfort $50.00 for $408.83= -$50.00

Round Robins:
Albert Tumenov/Leon Edwards Over 1½ (-190) + Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+110) + Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort Under 1½ (-140) + Michael Bisping wins by TKO/KO (-116) $120.00 for $267.33= -$55.89

Diakiese wins in round 3 (+1050) + Martins wins in round 3 (+925) + Roberts wins in round 3 (+1275) + Tumenov wins in round 3 (+950) + Grant wins in round 3 (+1300) + Bektic wins in round 3 (+1025) + Struve wins in round 3 (+1100) + Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1025) + Bisping wins in round 3 (+600) $180.00 for $22,628.79= -$180.00
-----
Total Loss= -$986.84
 
Tumenov + Mousasi 5.5 units @ -121

Mousasi itd 0.18 units @ -120

Gus (cashed) + Bisping 0.55 units @ -110

Whyte (boxing) + Struve + Bektic 0.5 units @ +102

Struve dec 0.18 units @ +270

Wow hard nights work. Really deliberated over who to play moose with bisping or tumenov. Neither sat well with me but after watching tape decided tumenov was safer. Placed my bet but after watching further tape decided struve was my fav play to go with moose. Wont make that mistake again but i always like to get my plays in before theres potential drastic line action. Not anymore tape review is more important than rushing.

Was down 6 units after tumenov wet the bed but lb left me up just under 6.5 units. Main lb hits being stasiak itd +1200 after r1, Manuwa +110 massive 1 min into r2 and hedging a pre bet of bisping itd to win by dec after r3 or r4. Before the fight started hit struve + moose for 2 units and moose + bisping for 4 units. Lost 4 units on boxing fri so up 2.5 units for the weekend overall.
 
The Bisping by UD prop helped a lot at the very end there, but too many earlier wrong side bets and busted parlays cost me too much. So another embarrassing loss of -9.86 units. I actually hit a live bet on Bisping at -227 after the fifth round horn to win the equivalent of about ~$163.00, which is nice and all but I'm not confusing my reckoning with crypto-currency bets.

UFC 204
Results

Michael Bisping (-215) vs Dan Henderson $215.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Michael Bisping -5½ points (-170) $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 3 (+700) $50.00 for $350.00= -$50.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 4 (+1075) $15.00 for $161.25= -$15.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 5 (+1675) $10.00 for $167.50= -$10.00
Michael Bisping wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+525) $75.00 for $393.75= $393.75
Dan Henderson wins in round 1 (+500) $30.00 for $150.00= -$30.00

Gegard Mousasi (-325) vs Vitor Belfort $325.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Gegard Mousasi wins in round 2 (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= $122.50
Gegard Mousasi wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00
Vitor Belfort wins in round 1 (+650) $35.00 for $227.50= -$35.00
Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00

Ovince Saint Preux (-160) vs Jimi Manuwa $240.00 for $150.00= -$240.00
Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+135) $74.07 for $100.00= $100.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1025) $10.00 for $102.50= -$10.00
Ovince Saint Preux /Jimi Manuwa goes 3 round distance (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= -$35.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins by 3 round decision (+750) $50.00 for $375.00= -$50.00
Jimi Manuwa wins by 3 round decision (+800) $40.00 for $320.00= -$40.00

Stefan Struve (-175) vs Daniel Omielanczuk $262.50 for $150.00= $150.00
Stefan Struve wins in round 3 (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00= -$10.00
Not Stefan Struve inside distance (-170) $85.00 for $50.00= -$85.00
Daniel Omielanczuk wins by 3 round decision (+485) $40.00 for $194.00= -$40.00

Mirsad Bektic wins inside distance (+110) $40.00 for $44.00= $44.00
Mirsad Bektic wins by submission (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Mirsad Bektic wins in round 3 (+1025) $10.00 for $102.50= -$10.00
Mirsad Bektic/Russell Doane won't go 3 round distance (-115) $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Mirsad Bektic/Russell Doane won’t go 3 round distance (-115) $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Russell Doane wins in round 1 (+1600) $10.00 for $160.00= -$10.00

Brad Pickett (+145) vs Iuri Alcantara $100.00 for $145.00= -$100.00
Brad Pickett wins by decision (+225) $45.00 for $101.25= -$45.00
Brad Pickett/Iuri Alcantara Over 2½ (-185) $185.00 for $100.00= -$185.00

Davey Grant (-170) vs Damian Stasiak $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
Davey Grant -3½ points (+130) $75.00 for $97.50= -$75.00
Davey Grant wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00= -$10.00
Damian Stasiak wins inside distance (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= $112.50
Damian Stasiak wins by submission (+580) $20.00 for $116.00= $116.00

Albert Tumenov wins in round 2 (+475) $20.00 for $95.00= -$20.00
Leon Edwards wins by submission (+1545) $10.00 for $154.50= $154.50
Albert Tumenov wins by 3 round decision (+274) $40.00 for $109.60= -$40.00

Marc Diakiese -3½ points (-160) vs Lukasz Sajewski $64.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Marc Diakiese wins by TKO/KO (+280) $30.00 for $84.00= $84.00

Danny Roberts (-130) vs Mike Perry $130.00 for $100.00= -$130.00
Danny Roberts (-150) vs Mike Perry $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
Danny Roberts wins in round 3 (+1275) $10.00 for $127.50= -$10.00
Danny Roberts wins by 3 round decision (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
Mike Perry wins in round 1 (+325) $35.00 for $113.75= -$35.00

Adriano Martins/Leonardo Santos Over 1½ (-175) $131.25 for $75.00= $75.00
Adriano Martins/Leonardo Santos goes 3 round distance (+110) $40.00 for $44.00= $44.00

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (-128) $51.20 for $40.00= -$51.20
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+218) $25.00 for $54.50= -$25.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+587) $15.00 for $88.05= -$15.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+1860) $10.00 for $186.00= -$10.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+8275) $5.00 for $413.75= -$5.00

Davey Grant wins Fastest Submission (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00= -$10.00
Marc Diakiese wins Fastest KO (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00= -$10.00
Brad Pickett/Iuri Alcantara FOTN award winner (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= -$20.00

Parlays:
Albert Tumenov (-230) vs Leon Edwards + Davey Grant (-170) vs Damian Stasiak $200.00 for $255.75= -$200.00
Marc Diakiese (-260) vs Lukasz Sajewski + Albert Tumenov (-255) vs Leon Edwards $216.00 for $200.36= -$216.00
Albert Tumenov (-260) vs Leon Edwards + Davey Grant (-185) vs Damian Stasiak + Stefan Struve (-170) vs Daniel Omielanczuk + Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+110) + Gegard Mousasi (-345) vs Vitor Belfort $50.00 for $408.83= -$50.00

Round Robins:
Albert Tumenov/Leon Edwards Over 1½ (-190) + Ovince Saint Preux/Jimi Manuwa Over 1½ (+110) + Gegard Mousasi/Vitor Belfort Under 1½ (-140) + Michael Bisping wins by TKO/KO (-116) $120.00 for $267.33= -$55.89

Diakiese wins in round 3 (+1050) + Martins wins in round 3 (+925) + Roberts wins in round 3 (+1275) + Tumenov wins in round 3 (+950) + Grant wins in round 3 (+1300) + Bektic wins in round 3 (+1025) + Struve wins in round 3 (+1100) + Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1025) + Bisping wins in round 3 (+600) $180.00 for $22,628.79= -$180.00
-----
Total Loss= -$986.84
Rough night at the office but you'll be back.

I'm personally done with parlays and round robins and will be focusing more on live bets instead
 
Total

1.8u Bisping via KO/TKO @ 2.00

1.125u Struve/Daniel o1.5 + Tumenov/Edwards o1.5 @ 2.33

1.125u OSP/Manuwa o1.5 @ 2.23

1.125u Perry/Roberts o1.5 @ 2.30

0.375u Santos ML @ 2.63

0.25u Perry ML @ 2.20

0.25u Struve via 3rd round finish @ 11.00

0.5u Struve/Daniel o1.5 + Santos/Martins o1.5 @ 2.44

0.5u Bektic/Doane o1.5 + Pocket/Alcantara o2.5 @ 2.29

0.375u Picket via DEC @ 3.25

0.00125u Doane via DEC @ 11.00

Need to look over my strategy. Been influenced by other people since I started reading here three events back. I usually don't do these many bets and what I've learned from years of betting is going big on singles works better for me. Don't know why I've gone away from that, I guess it's more exciting doing more bets and parlaying. Have never taken three losses after each other in terms of events before..that's a sign

-1.5u

 
Single bets:

4u Bisping ML -190 +2,1
1u 0 1.5 manuwa/ovince +135 +1,35

Parlays:

2u Bisping + o0.5 struve +110 +2,2
1u tumenov + moose -1
1u alcantara + o0.5 struve +110 +1,1
0.5u o0.5 belfort/moose + o0.5 manuwa/ovince +100 +0.5

total profit: +6,25 units

Good night for me thanks to bisping. That fight was way too close lol. I was surprised so many props hit though.

Congrats to everyone who won and better luck next time for the people who didn't.
 
WSOF:
2.2U Branch and Justin G. -110.
.5u Foster +115

UFC:
2.5U Bisping -245
2.5U Bis + Moose -120.
.5U Mike perry +130
.25 U Brad Pickett +145

Probably gonna feel square on all these favs but whatever.

2.2U Branch and Justin G. -110. Win but it switched to like -250.
.5u Foster +115. WIn.

UFC:
2.5U Bisping -245. Win.
2.5U Bis + Moose -120. Win.
.5U Mike perry +130. WIn.
.25 U Brad Pickett +145.win.

Added later.
.8U OSP -155. Loss
.1 Tumenov decision +274. Loss.
2.6U more on bis + moose -130. win

Felt really confident and went slightly over my 5U recommended max on bis and moose as i've been getting buried in MMA lately.

About a 5.5U win.
Overall good weekend but expecting to get buried in NFL today haha.
 
Last edited:
Slipped a few dirty ones in there
$2.38 parlay on Santos win / Roberts Sub rnd1 / Grant ko rnd1 / Struve ko rnd1 @ $1256.97 = $2991
$540 on Struve to win & Belfort-Mousasi fight not to go the distance @$1.88 = 1015.20

Only thing that saved me was the big parlay on struve to win and Belfort / mousasi not to go the distance. Happy to put that down, after all of it I ended up about 400 up doubling my money
 
Diakiese + Grant + Mousasi - $30.12 for $50.00
Omielanczuk via Dec - $15.38 for $50.00
Roberts ML - $100.00 for $87.00
Edwards via Dec - $12.31 for $40.00
Alcantara via Dec - $16.67 for $50.00
Alcantara + Bisping - $159.48 for $233.80
Bisping in Rd. 2 - $6.32 for $30.00
Bisping in Rd. 3 - $3.64 for $20.00

One bet hit but it was the one that really mattered so I'm happy. Annoyed at how confident I was with Iuri but let silly things like retirement fight and home crowd sway me. I knew he was going to tool Pickett and the odds were so great. Missed opportunity there for sure.

Also did O1.5 to win $80.00 in the Manuwa-OSP fight and snuck that in by a few seconds.

Fun night.
 
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