Your Official UFC 205 Bets

first run:

0.15u mcgregor RD1 +325

0.1u Twood RD1 +750

0.5u KK DEC +545

0.3u gastelum SUB +1225
0.7u gastelum NSC +182

0.15u romero RD3 +1425

0.09u edgar RD3 +1100

0.5u MJ +390
0.25u MJ DEC +650

0.5u rashad +205
0.4u rashad DEC +353

1u boetsch +155
0.5u NOT natal ITD -191 & TBD
0.5u NOT natal ITD -191 (was a parlay but voided other leg)

1u miller +140
0.25u miller DEC +400

0.3u carmouche DEC +346
0.5u carmouche NSC +191
0.925u O2.5 -185

---

note: mostly just some prop openers, not indicative of which "side" i'll be on for several of the fights.
 
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JJ + WB - $250 for $260

So excited for 205.

Made this bet a long time ago, glad I did. This is a big one for me. I'll be sweating it so probably will be my only one.
Might bet Eddie but I want to cheer for McG so I dunno. Don't like betting against my teams/fighters; takes the fun out of it for me.

Good luck everyone.
 
McGregor -140 1.4u

JJ RD3 +1125 .3u
JJ RD4 +1525 .3u
JJ RD5 +2125 .3u

Romero DEC +500 .2u

Cerrone -150/-160 4u
Cerrone KO +395 .5u
Cerrone RD2 +625 .1u
Cerrone RD3 +1125 .1u

Tate -170/-185 4.5u
Pennington/Tate O2.5 -165 1.65u

Edgar DEC -116 .5u
Stephens/Edgar o2.5 -160 1.6u

MJ +220 1.5u
MJ RD1 +775 .2u
MJ NSC +150 2u

Kennedy RD1 +325 .3u
Kennedy KO +270/+250 1u

Boetsch +130/+140 2u
Boetsch KO +340 .5u
Boetsch RD3 +1475 .2u

Miller +145 1u
Miller ITD +317 .5u

Carmouche NSC +175 3u
Carmouche SUB +765 .5u


JJ + Cerrone + Kennedy 1.5u for 3u
McGregor + Thompson + JJ + Cerrone + Tate + Kennedy .5u for 5u


Went a bit heavier than I would've liked on Cerrone and Tate.
 
main bet

$121/704.55 (+582)
Joanna by decision -130
edgar by decision -130
cerrone -160
khabib -280

long shot parlay $2/$195.58 (+9778)
edgar by dec -130
Joanna by dec -130
cerrone by sub +445
romero +145
mousasi -550
cejudo benevediz over 2.5 -225
cruz garbrandt over 2.5 -260
 
EzFlyer said:
first run:

0.15u mcgregor RD1 +325

0.1u Twood RD1 +750

0.5u KK DEC +545

0.3u gastelum SUB +1225
0.7u gastelum NSC +182

0.15u romero RD3 +1425

0.09u edgar RD3 +1100

0.5u MJ +390
0.25u MJ DEC +650

0.5u rashad +205
0.4u rashad DEC +353

1u boetsch +155
0.5u NOT natal ITD -191 & TBD
0.5u NOT natal ITD -191 (was a parlay but voided other leg)

1u miller +140
0.25u miller DEC +400

0.3u carmouche DEC +346
0.5u carmouche NSC +191
0.925u O2.5 -185

---

note: mostly just some prop openers, not indicative of which "side" i'll be on for several of the fights.
Click to expand...

added:

0.5u more boetsch +140
0.25u boetsch DEC +527

0.7u khabib -3.5 -140

1u edgar -3.5 -125

3.375u belal -135
0.925u belal-luque O2.5 -185

0.25u alvarez SUB +480
 
So far for me:

Yoel Romero (+140) vs Chris Weidman $300.00 for $420.00
Yoel Romero wins in round 3 (+1025) $25.00 for $256.25
Raquel Pennington/Miesha Tate Over 2½ (-200) $100.00 for $50.00

Frankie Edgar wins by 3 round decision (-124) vs Jeremy Stephens $124.00 for $100.00
Khabib Nurmagomedov wins by 3 round decision (+139) vs Michael Johnson $100.00 for $139.00
Rashad Evans (+205) vs Tim Kennedy $200.00 for $410.00
Belal Muhammad (-135) vs Vicente Luque $270.00 for $200.00

Jim Miller (+135) vs Thiago Alves $200.00 for $270.00
Jim Miller wins by 3 round decision (+325) $35.00 for $113.75
Tim Boetsch (+135) vs Rafael Natal $200.00 for $270.00
Katlyn Chookagian/Liz Carmouche Over 2½ (-220) $110.00 for $50.00
Katlyn Chookagian wins by 3 round decision (+135) vs Liz Carmouche $100.00 for $135.00
 
So far mostly props. My main moneyline bets are going to be Romero (big), Wonderboy, MJ, Natal, and maybe McGregor and Rashad.

1u MJ
0.4u MJ by decision
0.5u Evans
0.2u Romero R3
0.25u Romero R2
1.5u Romero no scorecards
0.5u Miller by decision
0.3u Woodley R1
0.2u Woodley R2
0.21u Boetsch by KO

plus I have about 3u on a bunch of hail marry parlays (inspired by Rebel Lions big win last week)
 
So far I'm on:

5u - Yoel Romero @ 2.5 (+150)
5u - Jim Miller @ 2.4 (+140)
5u - Nurmagomedov by dec @ 2.3 (+130)
5u - Chookagian by dec @ 2.4 (+140)
5u - Tate by dec @ 2.7 (+170)
5u - Belal by dec @ 2.5 (+150)
2.5u - McGregor by dec @ 9.0 (+800)
5u - Chookagian / Carmouche goes to decision + Edgar / Stephens over 2.5 rounds + Cerrone to win @ 3.99 (+299)
5u - Chookagian / Carmouche goes to decision + Edgar / Stephens over 2.5 rounds + Natal to win @ 3.99 (+299)
 
added $80.50/$100.39
Joanna -410
edgar by decision -124
 
UFC 205 Risk: 1,755.50
alvarez SUB: 25 for 120 / alvarez +5.5: 21 parlays / mcgregor RD1: 15 for 48.75
thompson -190: 95 for 50 / thompson ITD: 21 parlays / thompson -5.5: 130 for 100 / twood RD1: 10 for 75
KK DEC: 50 for 272.50 / KK +5.5: 21 parlays / JJ
romero RD3: 15 for 213.75 / weidman
Gastelum SUB: 30 for 376.50 / gastelum NSC: 70 for 127.40 / cowboy
tate-pennington: idk
edgar -3.5: 100 for 80 / edgar RD3: 9 for 99 / stephens
MJ +390: 50 for 195 / MJ DEC: 25 for 162.50 / khabib -3.5: 70 for 50 / khabib DEC: 21 parlays
evans +205: 50 for 102.50 / evans DEC: 40 for 141.20 / kennedy
muhammad -138: 207.50 for 150 / muhammad DEC: 21 parlays / O2.5: 92.50 for 50 / luque
miller +140: 150 for 210 / miller DEC: 25 for 100 / alves
boetsch +150: 150 for 225 / boetsch DEC: 25 for 131.75 / Boetsch NSC: 21 parlays / NOT natal ITD: 50 for 26.18 - 50 parlay
carmouche DEC: 30 for 103.80 / carmouche NSC: 50 for 95.50 / O2.5: 92.50 for 50 / chookagian DEC: 21 parlays
props
parlays
50 for xx NOT natal ITD -191 & TBD
49 RR for 551.59: Alvarez+5.5/ ThompsonITD/ KK+5.5/ KhabibDEC/ belalDEC/ boetschNSC/ chookagianDEC
---

UFC 205 action beginning to take form. waiting until fight day for a couple plays i'm gonna make (cause i think their price will peak on fight day). hedged muhammad opener bet a bit. (the experience edge wasn't as big when i reflected more on it).
 
1u Frankie by dec @1.80

1u Alvarez @2.40
0.4u Conor RD1 @3.75

1u WB by KO/Dec @1.72
0.2u Woodley RD1 @8.00

0.8u Cerrone + Wiedman @2.58
0.7u Cerrone + Tate @2.55
 
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4 person parlay..180 to win 537 Khabib (-275), Tate (-175), Joanna (-400), wb(-205)

Also have straight up bets with a friend 50 on Alvarez and 50 on thompson
 
100 on TATE/CERRONE/ALVAREZ to win 541...easy money
 
Big on this card, haven't even been remembering to post my bets here for most events.

Tons of round robins and prop bets.

Conor KO, rd 1, rd 2, and ML. All told 5+ units straight plus obviously some in parlays.
Hedge .1u Eddie rd 4 and rd 5. .3u Eddie dec.

Lots on Wonderboy, 6.8u total between -5.5, KO, rd 2, rd 3 and UD, ML. Plus the parlays.
Hedge Woodley rd 1 and rd 2.

JJ UD 1u, KK dec .5u.

Cowboy ML 2u.

Romero 1.5u total between ML, dec.

Tate sub in a few small hail mary's. Tate dec in a couple.

Stephens dec .33u

2u total on MJ between ML, KO, rd 1, and dec. Ended up betting MJ kinda stupidly, should have just played his ML but whatever. Math works out very close anyway due to small line movements on props.

.5u Boetch dec. 1.5u NOT Natal itd.

.5u Miller

.5u Chook dec

I got a little out of hand with the round robin and parlay prop bets and stuff here I guess. Lot of them. I like the event for betting though, so I'm fine with it. Plus it's such a great card, gotta go a bit bigger!
 
UFC 205 Total risk: 24u. Going big on this card despite my better judgment.

9.2u McGregor KO +110
.4u McGregor Rd 1 +225
.4u McGregor Rd 2 +625

Thompson points -145 for 1u
going to hedge with something but can't decide between Woodley KO, Woodley NSC, Woodley Rd 1 or Woodley Rd 2.

1u Kowalkiewicz ML +330
.4u Kowalkiewicz SUB +2715

1u Romero ML +155
.4u Romero Rd 3 +1025

4u Cerrone ML -155

1u Cerrone + McGregor +164

1u Tate ML -170

Edgar DEC -124 to win 1.5u
.4u Stephens DEC +700

1u Johnson +245

.4u Johnson + Romero + Woodley +2276

Going to pass on Boetsch/Natal and Carmouche/Chook

A little more tape watch on Luque and waiting for weigh ins for Alves vs Miller.
 
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1 Unit Cerrone -145
2 Units McGregor -134
1 Unit Alves/Miller ITD +100
2 UnitsThompson -181
2 Units Romero +167
 
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updated card with cerrone off

$121/$393.02
khabib -280
edgar by dec -130
joanna by dec -130

$2/$34
edgar by dec
joanna by dec
romero +145
mousasi -550
cejudo benavidez over 2.5
cruz garbrandt over 2.5

$80.50/$100.39
edgar by dec -124
joanna -410
 
McGregor -140 2.8u

JJ RD3 +1125 .3u
JJ RD4 +1525 .3u
JJ RD5 +2125 .3u

Romero +155/+158 1u
Romero/Weidman GTD +100 1u
Romero/Weidman starts RD3 -151 1.5u
Romero DEC +500 .2u

Tate -170/-185 4.5u
Pennington/Tate O2.5 -165 1.65u

Edgar DEC -116 .5u
Stephens/Edgar o2.5 -160 1.6u

MJ +220 1.5u
MJ RD1 +775 .2u
MJ NSC +150 2u

Luque +125/+130 1.5u

Miller +145/+140 1.5u
Miller ITD +317 .5u

Boetsch +130/+135/+140 2u
Boetsch KO +340 .5u
Boetsch RD3 +1475 .2u

Carmouche NSC +175 3u
Carmouche SUB +765 .5u
Chookagian DEC +135 1.5u


JJ + Cerrone + Kennedy 1.5u (Now just a straight bet on JJ...)
McGregor + Thompson + JJ + Cerrone + Tate + Kennedy .5u
 
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