Your Official UFC 208 Bets

[Joseph Budden]

Great night, much needed.

Whats a big night for me without a parlay that misses by one pick though, right?

I'm a jackass for not just playing it 'safe' with Glover moneyline, but oh well. I WILL!!!! hit a hail mary parlay this year, I still stand by that

 

[King Richard]

Good night for me as well, long overdue, good job and congratulations to everyone else who had a profitable night
Total Staked:- £123.99
Total Returned:- £431.82

 

[Jamah]

Wilson ITD odds @2.25
Nover odds @2.70
Teixeira ITD odds @2.25
Makhachev DEC odds @2.10
Muhammad odds @2.20

 

[Sham5916910]

DP + LaFlare 5.3 units @ -147

5.3 units profit with lb. Won money lb Andy, Belal and Glenn. Hit a £40 parlay for £400 and missed a £40 lotto ticket paying £3.3k cos Reis didnt finish itd.

 

[Jamah]

Great night, much needed.

Whats a big night for me without a parlay that misses by one pick though, right?

I'm a jackass for not just playing it 'safe' with Glover moneyline, but oh well. I WILL!!!! hit a hail mary parlay this year, I still stand by that

have you ever hit a hail mary parlay? You always get very very close

 

[Joseph Budden]

have you ever hit a hail mary parlay? You always get very very close

Not yet but getting closer and closer

 

[piglord]

@Joseph Budden

i think next time there is a card where it's obvious there are gonna be a tonne of decisions, it's probably worth throwing a handful of hail marys down - i know that was the case when you nearly hit that 30k.

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC 208 Net: -413.97
GDR: 0 for 20 / ITD: 115 for 257.50 / U2.0: 60 for 152.40 - 20 parlays / U1.0: 10 parlays / holm: 0 for 20 / holm SUB: 11 for 99
brunson: 15 for 25 / brunson DEC: 40 for 138 - 20 parlays
jacare KO: 30 for 164.10 / jacare RD2: 40 parlays / boetsch RD3: 8 for 192
GT -150: 225 for 150 / GT DEC: 10 parlays / GT SUB: 10 parlays
miller +344: 200 for 687.50 / miller DEC: 25 for 152.50 / miller SUB: 20 for 265 / miller RD1: 9 for 103.50 / miller NSC: 100 for 150 - 30 parlays / O2.5: 48 parlays
brown +182: 300 for 546.40 / brown SUB: 20 for 140 / O2.5: 145 for 100 - 48 parlays
reis SUB: 100 for 660 / reis RD2: 20 parlays
makhachev +113: 132.50 for 150 / makhachevSUB: 20 parlays / makhachev RD3: 10 for 145 / O2.5: 48 parlays
nover +175: 50 for 87.50 / nover ITD: 10 parlays / nover NSC: 100 for 250 - 30 parlays / O2.5: 48 parlays
laflare RD3: 15 for 195 / O2.5: 99 for 60 - 48 parlays
props
draws: 22 for 1,445
parlays
80 RR for 245.37: millerpoirierO2.5/ belalbrownO2.5/ maklentzO2.5/ laflarecarnO2.5/ noverglennO2.5
50 RR for (paid -45) 975.48: GDRHHU2.0/ brunsonDEC/ jacareRD2/ millerNSC/ noverNSC
30 RR for 1,055.33: GDRHHU1.0/ jacareRD2/ GTSUB/ reisRD2/ makSUB/ noverITD
20 RR for (paid -14.34) 2,082.88: jacareRD2/ GTDEC/ millerNSC/ reisRD2/ makSUB/ noverNSC
---

i don't even have my bets on O9.5 decisions +14000 or miller-poirier FOTN +475 listed, cause they were voided before the event started & 5d never put the new lines up. i would've had a healthy profit if those two were honored.

a draw in holm-GDR should've happened, too.

this is about par for the course for me so far in 2017.

p.s. F YOU, reis, for not finishing that choke.

p.s.s. F ME for not betting more on that O2.5 RR.

 

[Joseph Budden]

@Joseph Budden

i think next time there is a card where it's obvious there are gonna be a tonne of decisions, it's probably worth throwing a handful of hail marys down - i know that was the case when you nearly hit that 30k.

For sure I do my best hitting 'fighter x wins by decision' props. I think the key is also identifying cards with fights where decisions are more possible than the odds suggest. Those Poirier dec and Reis dec lines being the best example. I thought DP KO and Reis sub were the ONLY ways those fights end itd, thus why I took my chances on 'by dec'. Granted their dec lines were still under +200, but still good enough and likely enough to use a bit in big money parlays.

 

[Oblivian]

Was out with the stomach flu most of last week. Brutal stuff. Ended up betting the smallest I have in a long time on this card and had one of my best returns in terms of ROI. Go figure. Mainly played parlays of the obvious favs (Reis, Jacare, Laflare, Tex, Mak), a single on Belal, and then fished out props for the rest (Silva +3.5, not Poirier Rd 1 (parlay), Holm +5.5, over 2.5 Nover/Glenn). I did have Glover/Cannon ITD and Silva/Brunson ITD inside a couple of small parlays that crashed.

 

[cCrown]

2,5u Poirier -110

Played the line movement here. I was actually waiting for miller to hit +400 but it seems he's coming down a bit so I jumped on it.

This to me seems like another card that I should probably minimize my action on and not force plays like i did last week.

+4,9 units.

Did a very small stab on silva after the fight during lb on betfair.

I'm also experimenting a little bit with a certain form of parlay which was inspired by someone on this board a while ago. I had a trial run if you will for the last 5 or 6 events without money to see if i had some measure of success with it. So i did a 2 unit parlay this time and it was nice to see it cash out for around 2 units. We'll see how it pans out in the long term. I also just think they are fun to do. also still got a regular parlay alive for next event so that's nice.


7 Team Parlay
Win 2/11/17 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1701 Nik Lentz/Islam Makhachev Over 2½ -280*
Win 2/11/17 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1026 Any other result -1975*vs Holm wins in round 1
Win 2/11/17 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1132 Any other result -1025*vs Brunson wins by submission
Win 2/11/17 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1206 Not Boetsch inside distance -1225*vs Boetsch wins inside distance
Win 2/11/17 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1328 Any other result -2750*vs Cannonier wins by submission
Win 2/11/17 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1606 Not Sasaki inside distance -1812*vs Sasaki wins inside distance
Win 2/11/17 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2130 Any other result -2150*vs Carneiro wins by TKO/KO

 

[pytycrys]

-2.09 units per total. Could've been so much better if those 3 close decisions went the other way (Nover,Brunson and Holly).

 

[TheFactor141]

First time wagering on the UFC, but many more to come:

UFC 208: +2.35 units

1u on Muhammed +100
3.1u on Glover -165
.5u on Miller +350

All bets were pre-fight and the site my BR is tied up on has limited options, which is actually good in my opinion because it stops me from getting too cute with my plays.

 

[Sadistics]

De Randamie +110 1.8u

Silva +140 1u

Boetsch +400 .5u
Boetsch KO +890 .5u

Cannonier +200 1u

Miller +380 1u
Miller/Poirier O2.5 -105 2.1u

Muhammad +105 1u
Muhammad SUB +1425 .2u
Muhammad/Brown GTD -145 1.45u

Reis SUB +437 1.5u
Reis ITD -102 1u
Reis/Sasaki U2.5 +125 1u

Lentz +265 1.5u
Lentz SUB +1350 1u

Brooks ITD +350 .5u
Brooks KO +540 .5u

Laflare DEC +103 1u

Nover +175 2u


Tybura + LaFlare 2u for 2.1u (Tybura out)

Reis + Laflare + Nover/Glenn O2.5 2u for 2.6u

Muhammad/Brown O2.5 + Carneiro/Laflare O2.5 + Nover/Glenn O2.5 1u for 2.8u

Souza SUB + Glover SUB + Reis SUB + Laflare DEC .1u for 5.6u


Not feeling great about any of these, should've passed on most but that wouldn't be any fun. Will probably add Brooks ML if it evens out.

+5u, better than expected. Shouldn't have gone as big on props

 

[Shoulder]

Silva Dec screwed me out of a few units, but I still got plus 4 or so thanks to that sweet sweet parlay @35.00

Glover dec
Poirer dec
Silva brunson over 2.5.

 

[Monster Meat]

didn't get a chance to post but these were my bets for 208

+$250

glover + souza parlay $152/$100 win
silva Brunson over 1.5 $77/$50 win
holm derandamie over 4.5 $55/$50 win
de randamie -120 $60/$50 win

 

[daggen]

Great night, much needed.

Whats a big night for me without a parlay that misses by one pick though, right?

I'm a jackass for not just playing it 'safe' with Glover moneyline, but oh well. I WILL!!!! hit a hail mary parlay this year, I still stand by that

Holy shit! So close! next time.

 

[Agent Mulder]

4.15u Glover -154
3.33u Tybura +124
3u Muhammad (2u +123, 1u +100)
2u Poirier -200
1.5u Nover +175
1.33u Laflare -167
1u Lentz +250
1u Brunson -125
1u McCall -143 (plz hold me)
0.66u Boetsch +445

1u Cannonier DEC +800
0.5u Glover SUB +400

2u Poirier ML + Gastelum ML -105
2u Lentz/Islam O2.5 + Laflare/Carneiro O2.5 +105

Added:
1.33u Nover/Glenn O2.5 + Hendricks/Lombard O1.5 +121
1u Muhammad/Brown GTD -110

+12.40u. I was at a friends house so I didn't read the PBP thread very much but I actually switched sides to Silva at the end of r1 and kept adding at dog odds later on. I thought he won both round 1 and 2, was surprised to see so many people call it a robbery. Thought it was a close fight with Silva doing a bit more damage.