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Your Official UFC Fox 20 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 19, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC Fox 20 Risk: 747.22
    shevchenko: 0 for 40 / O4.5: 50 parlays / holm
    barboza DEC: 45 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / melendez
    ngannou-mihajlovic: idk
    herrig DEC: 20 for 51 / O2.5: 175 for 100 - 50 parlays / curran
    saenz -160: 80 for 50 / saenz DEC: 45 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / wineland
    elkins DEC: 45 parlays / elkins RD3: 20 for 230 / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays / pepey RD1: 22.22 for 99.99
    usman DEC: 45 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / yakovlev DEC: 25 for 176
    prazeres-cottrell: idk
    oliveira-moontasri: idk
    alers-knight: idk
    smolyakov-henrique: idk
    props
    DEC O6.5: 26 for 50.96
    DEC O7.5: 10 for 55.20
    DEC O8.5: 3 for 55.80
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 95.50
    parlays
    50 for 61.81: barb-gil O2.5 -190 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -215 (bella 159)
    50 for 54.32: usman-yakovlev O2.5 -225 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -225 (bella 159)
    100 RR for 278.58: shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
    90 RR for 398.80: barbDEC/ saenzDEC/ elkinsDEC/ usmanDEC
    ---

    ...that's all i've got

    i'll add some plays, i'm sure, but i'm not a fan of this card. i think most of the favorites win and don't see an angle i like (i.e. usman, elkins, ngannou, alers, oliveira, prazeres, smolyakov...) don't wanna lay the money on their current prices.

    will update it before the fights tomorrow, but expecting a small ufc for me, pre-event.
     
  2. Hodge23 White Belt

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    SU

    1U Felice Herrig @ +100
    1U Eddie Wineland @ +140
    3U Edson Barboza @ -162
    7U Holly Holm @ -155

    Props
    0.25U Herrig UD @ +400
    0.5U Barboza UD @ +220
    1U Holm UD @ +187
    0.25U Holm & Barboza UD @ +800

    Monthly Total: - 3.25U
    Yearly Total: + 12.75U

    Trying out a few Unanimous Decision Props as i think they can hold some value vs straight up decision. Watch them Splits come in now!

    Edit:
    Adding 3U More to Holm to make odds of just over -155
    I think thats a crazy price, especially after the weigh ins last night, i expected holly to shorten maybe to -250 / -300 due to the size difference and how good she looked but its gone the other way!
    Haven't bet 7U for a while, 5 is normally my limit so i hope it pays off!

    Also adding 0.25U on the Holm Barboza UD Double @ +800
     
    Last edited: Jul 23, 2016
  3. wack3d Silver Belt

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    Valentina +300
    Valentina dec +695
    Wineland dec +500
    Prazeres sub +500
    Knight +180
    Ngannou + Barboza -135

    looking to add a few more later. cant wait for this card.. think there could be alot of juicy livebet options tonight.
     
  4. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Added holm barboza usman by dec £25 @ +900, and herrig pepey cowboy by sub £10 @ +10000.

    Now added...

    Barb unan + Shevchenko unan £20 @ +2300

    Smolyakov sub £20 @ +1200

    Gone prop crazy very unlike me!

    Ps forgot about herrig dec £100 @ +275
     
    Last edited: Jul 23, 2016
  5. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Holm dec +130 1u
    Holm UD +180 .5u
    Holm/Schev 04.5 -175 2u
    Barboza -200 2u
    Barboza dec +140 1u
    Still trying to figure out play on Ngannau/Bojan. Might just go square and play Ngannau rd1 or KO prop.
    Herrig +100 2u
    Herrig dec +241 2u
    Wineland/Saenz o 2.5 -220 2u
    Wineland +140 1u
    Wineland dec +312 .5u
    Pepey nsc -150 3u
    Pepey/Elkins o2.5 -160 1u
    Yakolev dec +704 .5u
    Cottrell +190 .75u
    Put Brazilian Cowboy in some parlays, I think about 1.5u total at -210ish
    Knight dec +405 1u
    Smolyakov itd -121 1u

    Some random parlays and hail mary's.

    Went along with EZ on the decision over props too for small. Hit Herrig/Curran FOTN +600. Smolyakov fastest KO +600.
     
  6. michi972 Purple Belt

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    Ngannou itd+Prazeres+Herrig+Barboza
     
  7. FimbulFightPicks Purple Belt

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    2u straight Holm -220
    1u straight Kamura -250
    2u FDGTD Oliveira V Moontasri -175

    Small plays, small losses..right? right?...yeah...lets hope not to go into a fury of chasing losses...once i lost 2u i betted 10u to win 2u and ended up losing 12u..story of my betting life..this can only be 5u loss, thats a huuge win for me to only lose 5u! so lets do it! anything better than that and i appreciate it.
     
  8. 2bet Green Belt

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    2-TEAM PARLAY: Prazeres over Cottrell + Ngannou/Mihajlovic U1.5 +126 2.5u
    2-TEAM PARLAY: Wineland/Saenz O2.5 + Curran/Herrig O2.5 +118 2.5u
    4-TEAM PARLAY: Prazeres over Cottrell + Ngannou/Mihajlovic U1.5 + Wineland/Saenz O2.5 + Curran/Herrig O2.5 +395 1u
     
    Last edited: Jul 23, 2016
  9. t6p Brown Belt

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    1.5u Holm (-197)
    1.5u Holm DEC (+120)

    1.5u Barboza (-180)
    0.5u Barboza KO (+305)

    0.5u Wineland DEC (+312)

    0.25u Pepey SUB (+350)

    0.25u Yakovlev DEC (+704)

    0.25u Knight SUB (+420)

    2u Barboza/Holm-Shevchenko o3.0 (+103)
    2u Barboza/Holm (+106)
    1u Holm DEC/Barboza ITD (+543)
    1u Ngannou KO/Wineland-Saenz o2.5/Pepey NSC/Knight NSC (+457)
    0.5u Wineland DEC/Pepey SUB (+1754)
    0.25u Knight/Prazeres/Elkins/Wineland/Ngannou/Barboza/Holm (+2580)

    1u RR Yakovlev (+190)/Herrig DEC (+210)/Elkins DEC (+100)
     
  10. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    UFC on FOX 20


    Holly Holm -192 9.6 to win 5u

    Gilbert Melendez 5u to win 8.35u
    Frankie Saenz 7.25 to win 5u
    Godofredo Pepey 2u to win 4.2u
    Jim Alers 9.1 to win 7u
    Moontasri points handicap +3½ 5.25 to win 5u
    Smolyakov 3.25 to win 2.5u


    GL fellas
     
  11. null Gold Belt

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    UFC on Fox 20 Risk $3597.50

    Holly Holm (-300) vs Valentina Shevchenko $600.00 for $200.00
    Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
    Holly Holm wins by 5 round decision (+120) $200.00 for $240.00
    Valentina Shevchenko wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00

    Edson Barboza (-225) vs Gilbert Melendez $225.00 for $100.00
    Edson Barboza wins inside distance (+245) $50.00 for $122.50

    Francis Ngannou wins in round 2 (+400) vs Bojan Mihajlovic $25.00 for $100.00
    Francis Ngannou wins by submission (+751) $15.00 for $112.65

    Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-175) $175.00 for $100.00
    Kailin Curran wins by 3 round decision (+190) $100.00 for $190.00

    Frankie Saenz (-160) vs Eddie Wineland $160.00 for $100.00
    Frankie Saenz/Eddie Wineland Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
    Frankie Saenz wins by 3 round decision (+120) $100.00 for $120.00

    Godofredo Pepey (+210) vs Darren Elkins $100.00 for $210.00
    Godofredo Pepey wins in round 1 (+450) $20.00 for $90.00
    Godofredo Pepey wins by submission (+410) $25.00 for $102.50
    Darren Elkins wins in round 3 (+1150) $20.00 for $230.00

    Alexander Yakovlev (+210) vs Kamaru Usman $200.00 for $420.00
    Kamaru Usman wins by 3 round decision (+119) $100.00 for $119.00

    Michel Prazeres (-220) vs J.C. Cottrell $110.00 for $50.00
    Michel Prazeres wins inside distance (+223) $45.00 for $100.35

    Alex Oliveira (-215) vs James Moontasri $215.00 for $100.00

    Jason Knight (+170) vs Jim Alers $150.00 for $255.00
    Jason Knight wins by 3 round decision (+405) $50.00 for $202.50

    Dmitry Smolyakov (-135) vs Luis Henrique $67.50 for $50.00
    Dmitry Smolyakov wins by submission (+800) $25.00 for $200.00

    Fights to go distance over 6½ (+170) $40.00 for $68.00
    Fights to go distance over 7½ (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
    Fights to go distance over 8½ (+1500) $15.00 for $225.00
    Fights to go distance over 9½ (+7500) $10.00 for $750.00

    Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig FOTN award winner (+600) $15.00 for $90.00
    Michel Prazeres wins Fastest KO (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00
    Dmitry Smolyakov wins Fastest SUB (+2750) $10.00 for $275.00

    Parlay:
    Alex Oliveira (-225) vs James Moontasri + Francis Ngannou (-700) vs Bojan Mihajlovic $155.00 for $100.87

    Round Robin of six two-team parlays at $25.00 each risking $150.00 for $200.20:
    Frankie Saenz/Eddie Wineland Over 2½ (-220) + Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-190) + Edson Barboza/Gilbert Melendez Over 2½ (-190) + Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165)
     
  12. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Holly
    Oliveira/Prazeres parlay
    Barboza/Usman parlay
    Elkins by dec
    Eddie Wineland
    Herrig
    Ngannou itd
     
  13. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    1u Pepey
    .5 Pepey itd
    .5u Knight itd
    1u Moontasri
    .25u Moontasri sub
    1.5u Wineland
    .5u Cottrell


    Got a terrible price on Pepey, pretty pissed at myself about that. Will add more during the card but mostly dog hunting beforehand. GL boys
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Location:
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    UFC Fox 20 Risk: 1,358.72
    holm -120: 120 for 100 / holm -5.5: 20 parlays / O4.5: 50 parlays / shevchenko
    barboza DEC: 45 parlays / barboza -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / melendez
    ngannou RD2: 12 for 51 / mihajlovic
    herrig DEC: 20 for 51 / O2.5: 175 for 100 - 50 parlays / curran
    saenz -149: 297.50 for 200 / saenz DEC: 45 parlays / saenz -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / wineland
    elkins DEC: 45 parlays / elkins -3.5: 20 parlays / elkins RD3: 20 for 230 / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays / pepey RD1: 22.22 for 99.99
    usman DEC: 45 parlays / usman -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / yakovlev DEC: 25 for 176
    prazeres-cottrell: idk
    oliveira -200: 100 for 50 / oliveira -3.5: 20 parlays / moontasri
    alers -130: 65 for 50 / knight RD3: 7 for 98
    smolyakov SUB: 7 for 63.91 / henrique
    props
    DEC O6.5: 26 for 50.96
    DEC O7.5: 10 for 55.20
    DEC O8.5: 3 for 55.80
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 95.50
    SUB U0.5: 10 for 60.30
    Fastest SUB: smolyakov: 3 for 105
    FOTN: herrig-curran: 30 for 195
    parlays
    50 for 61.81: barb-gil O2.5 -190 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -215 (bella 159)
    50 for 54.32: usman-yakovlev O2.5 -225 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -225 (bella 159)
    100 RR for 278.58: shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
    90 RR for 398.80: barbDEC/ saenzDEC/ elkinsDEC/ usmanDEC
    40 RR for 524.62: holm-5.5/ barb-3.5/ saenz-3.5/ elkins-3.5/ usman-3.5/ oliveira-3.5
    ---

    i got stupid with a couple RR's. and even stupider laying -200 on oliveira.
     
  15. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    1u on Jason Knight @ +120
    2u on Oliveira + Usman @ +110
    1u on Smolyakov + Saenz + Ngannou/Mihaljovic U 1.5 @ +343
    1u on Godofredo Pepey @ +200
    3u on Edson Barboza @ -161

    Good luck guys!
     
  16. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    ngannou + barboza: 50 to win 34

    br: $410
     
  17. kenCs Couches, couches, couches which one should I pick? Banned

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    1u on Pepey ITD at +300
    6u on Barboza + Ngannou at -136
    0.5u Henrique R2 at +1000

    1u Prazares ITD at +225
    1u Herrig Dec
    10u Holm at -175


    = -7.5u Horrible night.


    Could of been up 20u if Holm had won a robbery lol. Gonna play small next week, regroup and play smart.
     
  18. robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    Sorry to those that didn't tail but I gave you plenty of time

    +9.5 units on the night, +17 if you tailed both of my bets I've posted so far (Cortney Casey last week)

    Good night and a lot of my personal bets won but they don't matter since I didn't mention them. Hope you lot did well too.

    Also, Knight won FOTN but don't forget that he does nothing but pull guard and use rubber guard guys because he did it in one fight against a vet. I told you he has superior everything over Alers except wrestling.
     
  19. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFC Fox 20 Net: -647.53
    holm +164: 370.50 for 607 / holm -5.5: 29 parlays / O4.5: 50 parlays / draw: 2 for 310
    barboza DEC: 45 parlays / barboza -3.5: 29 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / draw: 1 for 145
    ngannou RD2: 12 for 51 - 9 parlays
    herrig DEC: 20 for 51 - 9 parlays / O2.5: 175 for 100 - 50 parlays / draw: 2 for 290
    saenz -149: 252.50 for 170 / saenz DEC: 45 parlays / saenz -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / draw: 2 for 290

    elkins DEC: 45 parlays / elkins -3.5: 20 parlays / elkins RD3: 20 for 230 / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays / draw: 1 for 145 / pepey +1100: 11 for 121 / pepey RD1: 22.22 for 99.99
    usman DEC: 45 parlays / usman -3.5: 55 for 99 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / yakovlev DEC: 25 for 176
    oliveira -200: 100 for 50 / oliveira -3.5: 20 parlays / oliveira RD3: 5 for 50 / ITD: 100 parlays
    alers -129: 90 for 70 / knight RD3: 7 for 98
    smolyakov SUB: 7 for 63.91

    props
    DEC O6.5: 26 for 50.96
    DEC O7.5: 10 for 55.20
    DEC O8.5: 3 for 55.80
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 95.50
    SUB U0.5: 10 for 60.30
    Fastest SUB: smolyakov: 3 for 105
    FOTN: herrig-curran: 30 for 195

    parlays
    50 for 61.81: barb-gil O2.5 -190 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -215 (bella 159)
    50 for 54.32: usman-yakovlev O2.5 -225 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -225 (bella 159)

    100 RR for (paid -22.16) 278.58: shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
    90 RR for (paid +147.29) 398.80: barbDEC/ saenzDEC/ elkinsDEC/ usmanDEC
    40 RR for (paid +55.47) 524.62: holm-5.5/ barb-3.5/ saenz-3.5/ elkins-3.5/ usman-3.5/ oliveira-3.5

    50 for xx oliveira-moontasri ITD -165 & TBD
    50 for xx oliveira-moontasri ITD -165 & TBD
    12 RR for 410.34: holm-5.5/ barb-3.5/ ngannouRD2/ herrigDEC

    ---

    yea, that's about right.
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    [​IMG]
     

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