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Your Official UFN 84 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 21, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 84 Risk: 1,913.43
    silva SPLIT: 12.50 for 128.13 / silva DEC: 30 for 104.10 / DEC: 25 parlays / O3.0: 110.43 for 100 / bisping SPLIT: 12.50 for 133.13
    leites +250: 50 for 125 - 15 parlays / leites SUB: 5 parlays / leites +3.5: 150 for 170 / mousasi
    nakamura SUB: 10 for 180.10 / RD 1: 56 for 50 - 15 parlays / breese
    pickett SUB: 5 parlays / pickett +3.5: 80 for 84 / RD 1: 15 parlays / U2.5: 98.50 for 80 / rivera ITD: 80 for 100
    amirkhani -165: 165 for 100 / RD 1: 40 parlays / wilkinson
    vera +155: 50 for 77.50 / vera SUB: 5 parlays / grant
    askham ITD: 195 for 150 / askham RD 1: 5 parlays / RD 1: 40 parlays / dempsey
    allen ITD: 50 for 79.50 - 25 parlays / allen SUB: 5 parlays / RD 1: 15 parlays / meza
    jotko -135: 202.50 for 150 / jotko DEC: 25 parlays / scott
    parke-khabilov: idk
    omielanczuk no scorecards: 65 for 50 / danho DEC: 30 for 150
    packalen +113: 100 for 112.50 / packalen SUB: 5 parlays / gouti
    teymur +108: 186 for 200 / teymur -3.5: 25 parlays / teymur DEC: 15 parlays / svensson
    props
    DEC O6.5: 42 for 60.06
    DEC O7.5: 11 for 39.05
    DEC O8.5: 4 for 37.72
    DEC O9.5: 2 for 55.50
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 118
    FOTN: rivera-pickett - 20 for 120
    parlays
    35 RR for 845.73: leites/ breesenakRD1/ rivpickRD1/ amirwilkRD1/ askdempRD1/ allenmezaRD1/ teymurDEC
    50 RR for 630.86: silvabispingDEC/ amirwilkRD1/ askhamITD/ allenITD/ jotkoDEC/ teymur-3.5
    15 RR for 608.46: leitesSUB/ pickettSUB/ veraSUB/ askhamRD1/ allenSUB/ packalenSUB
    ---

    prolly about set. if i do anything drastic before fights start i'll update.

    yea, dumb RR's (maybe i'll hit them big for once, tho!) and i keep doing event props even tho i say i need to stop forcing them.

    no BIG action fight anywhere. key plays are teymur, jotko, askham ITD, leites +3.5, mainly. but no fight is more than 2.5 units, really. no STRONG leans.
     
  2. FurioG White Belt

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    Gegard / Leites over 2.5 - 2unit
    Gegard / Leites over 2.5 + Parke/Khabilov over 2.5 - 1unit
    Pickett by KO 3unit
     
  3. letmebangbrah Green Belt

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    breese itd, parke/khabilov over 2.5, mousasi/leites over 2.5= +165 1 unit
     
  4. danareem Green Belt

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    UFC FN 84 (all single bets)
    anderson silva
    anderson silva itd
    norman parke
    mousasi
    daniel Omielanczuk
    jotko



    have so much $$$$ on this card it's not even funny, to lazy to post unit sizes atm.

    might throw in pickett and wilkinson


    GL!!
     
  5. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    mostly tailed Ez for this event + a couple of own plays

    Bisping $150 to win $375
    Leites $75 to win $283
    Rivera $250 to win $130
    Makwan $247 to win $136
    Vera $75 to win $116
    Jotko $300 to win $188
    Teymur $405 to win $279

    Breese/Nakamura u1.5 $200 to win $116
    Pickett/Rivera u2.5 $200 to win $162

    Jotko+Breese+Allen $200 to win $248
     
  6. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    1u Pickett +180
    0.5u Parke +200
    0.5u Leites +250
    0.5u Svensson +170
    2u Jotko -154
    0.5u Silva dec
    1u O1.5 Askham/Dempsey -151
    3u O2.5 Mousasi/Leites -175
    2.5u O2.5 Silva/Bisping -139

    3u Parke/Khabilov O2.5 + McGregor
     
  7. wack3d Silver Belt

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    Breese Sub +625 > 20$
    Jotko -110 > 200$
    Pickett KO +800 > 10$
    Vera +180 > 25$
    Vera no scorecards +150 > 25$
    Vera Sub +500 > 5$
    Parke Dec +300~+333 > 20$
    Omi -114 > 25$
    Omi no scorecards -121 > 60$
    Packalen Sub +550 > 10$

    Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Leitis/Mousasi ov 2,5 + Teymur +271 > 25$
    Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Breese itd -136 > 150$
    Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Breese -196 > 600$
    Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Leitis/Mousasi ov 1,5 -125 > 50$
    Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Leitis/Mousasi ov 1,5 + Breese itd +130 > 50$

    not really loving alot of bets on this card... thinking about just going huge on Breese + Parke/Khabilov ov

    edit: ye did it.. riding with my parlay man Sham tonight :)
     
    Last edited: Feb 27, 2016
  8. jwms Blue Belt

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    Parlay 1: Khabilov, Mousasi, Anderson (2u)
    Parlay 2: Khabilov, Mousasi, Anderson, Conor (2.5u)
    RR of above
    Mousasi (1.5u)
    Khabilov (1.5u)
    McGregor (8u)

    Parlay 3: Silva/Bisping o2.5, Parke/Khabilov o2.5, Conor, Tate/Holm o2.5 (0.4u)
    RR of above
    Silva/Bisping o2 rounds (5u)

    Teymur 1u (Svensson sub hedge)
    Amirkhani/Wilkinson u2.5 (0.5u)
    Pickett/Cisco u2.5 (0.5u)
    Omielanczuk/Danho o1.5 (0.7u)
    Khabilov by dec (1u)
    Jotko by dec (0.7u)
    Allen itd (0.7u)
    Leites/Mousasi o2.5 (1u)

    Not really drawn to any of the prelim fights, so betting small everywhere except the top of the card where I'm admittedly heavy on the favourites. But I'm pretty confident in these favourites, and my heavier Anderson bet is hedged by o2 bet.
     
  9. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    2u on Breese/Nakamura U 1½ @ -116

    All I've got pre-event tonight. Put it down months back when the line came out on Betfair.
     
  10. YuRikeyAmerican Orange Belt

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    3U Teymur
    0.5U Omi Dec
    2U Omi/Danho O 1.5
    3U Jotko
    3U Ashkam ITD
    1U Amirkhani by sub
    1U Amir/wilk U2.5
    0.5 Breese sub

    Parlay
    4U SIlva/mosse+leites O 2.5
    3U Jotko+Scott O 2.5/Park+Khab O 2.5
     
  11. null Gold Belt

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    UFN 84 Risk $3046.93

    Michael Bisping (+260) vs Anderson Silva $125.00 for $325.00
    Michael Bisping/Anderson Silva Over 2½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
    Michael Bisping/Anderson Silva starts round 4 (-113) $96.05 for $85.00
    Michael Bisping wins in round 4 (+4000) $10.00 for $400.00
    Michael Bisping wins in round 5 (+5000) $10.00 for $500.00
    Michael Bisping wins by 5 round decision (+370) $75.00 for $277.50
    Michael Bisping wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1125) $15.00 for $168.75
    Anderson Silva wins by 5 round decision (+290) $40.00 for $116.00
    Anderson Silva wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+911) $15.00 for $136.65

    Thales Leites (+260) vs Gegard Mousasi $100.00 for $260.00
    Thales Leites +3½ points (+120) vs Gegard Mousasi $83.33 for $100.00
    Thales Leites wins by submission (+1135) $10.00 for $113.50

    Tom Breese wins by TKO/KO (-135) $67.50 for $50.00
    Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura won’t start round 2 (-1310 $65.50 for $50.00
    Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura Under 1½ (-150) $75.00 for $50.00
    Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura won’t start round 3 (-276) $276.00 for $100.00

    Francisco Rivera (-190) vs Brad Pickett $95.00 for $50.00
    Brad Pickett +3½ points (+105) $100.00 for $105.00

    Makwan Amirkhani (-160) vs Mike Wilkinson $160.00 for $100.00
    Makwan Amirkhani wins inside distance (+113) $40.00 for $45.20
    Makwan Amirkhani /Mike Wilkinson won’t start round 3 (-126) $63.00 for $50.00
    Makwan Amirkhani/Mike Wilkinson Under 2½ (-145) $108.75 for $75.00
    Davey Grant (-175) vs Marlon Vera $87.50 for $50.00
    Krzysztof Jotko (-165) vs Brad Scott $200.00 for $121.21
    Yaotzin Meza (+295) vs Arnold Allen $75.00 for $221.25
    Scott Askham/Chris Dempsey Under 1½ (+130) $50.00 for $65.00
    Rustam Khabilov wins by 3 round decision (+100) vs Norman Parke $100.00 for $100.00
    Daniel Omielanczuk/Jarjis Danho Over 1½ (-142) $56.80 for $40.00
    Daniel Omielanczuk wins in round 3 (+1075) $10.00 for $107.50
    Teemu Packalen (+110) vs Thibault Gouti $50.00 for $55.00
    Teemu Packalen (-110) vs Thibault Gouti $110.00 for $100.00
    David Teymur (-145) vs Martin Svensson $72.50 for $50.00
    David Teymur wins by TKO/KO (+325) $35.00 for $113.75

    Fights to go distance over 6½ (+143) $40.00 for $57.20
    Fights to go distance over 7½ (+355) $25.00 for $88.75
    Fights to go distance over 8½ (+943) $15.00 for $141.45
    Fights to go distance over 9½ (+2775) $10.00 for $277.50
    Fights to go distance over 10½ (+11800) $5.00 for $590.00

    Francisco Rivera/Brad Pickett FOTN award winner (+500) $10.00 for $50.00

    Parlays:
    Norman Parke/Rustam Khabilov Over 2½ (-275) + Tom Breese (-1165) vs Keita Nakamura $300.00 for $144.21

    David Teymur/Martin Svensson Under 2½ (+135) + Norman Parke/Rustam Khabilov Over 2½ (-280) + Krzysztof Jotko wins by 3 round decision (+131) + Arnold Allen wins by 3 round decision (+127) + Scott Askham wins by 3 round decision (+257) + Makwan Amirkhani/Mike Wilkinson Under 2½ (-155) + Francisco Rivera/Brad Pickett Under 2½ (-130) + Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura Under 1½ (-185) + Gegard Mousasi wins by 3 round decision (+100) $25.00 for $13,360.53
     
  12. wigglestick pess de gward Platinum Member

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    My UFC FN 83 bets: 187.40 to win 158.06

    Singles:
    Silva O2.5 - 42 to win 30 (accidental double bet)
    Amirkhani - 65.20 to win 40
    Packalen - 11 to win 10
    Fights to end in TKO U4.5 - 12.20 to win 10
    Omielanczuk - 11.50 to win 10

    Parlays:
    Silva O1/ Leites O3 - 10 to win 10.05
    Silva/ Queiroz scorecards(cancelled) - 6 to win 8.65
    Silva/ Jotko - 17 to win 21.05
    Jotko/ Leites O2.5 - 7.50 to win 11.01
    Silva/ Teymur - 5 to win 7.30

    Lol posting my bets a bit late here. GL all
     
  13. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    feeling pickett a lil more as the week's gone on. adding a bit more on +3.5.
     
  14. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Gegard by dec
    Bisping
    Rivera
    Amirkhani
     
  15. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    halving my amirkhani -165 play now that wilkinson is +165. just uncomfortable w/this spot
     
  16. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Keeping it real small and conservative this weekend:

    Makwan/Wilkinson over 2.5 + Mousasi/Leites over 2.5: $ 12 to win $ 27,54
    Breese + Mousasi/Leites over 2.5: $ 20 to win $ 14,54
    Breese +Silva: $ 16 to win $ 7,76. Lost $ 16

    Risk: $ 48
    Result: $ 26,08
    Initial BR: $ 314,93
    New BR: $ 341,01

    Happy with the result.. could have been a lot better.

    See you all degens son of a bitches in UFC 196 thread. Good luck everybody!
     
    Last edited: Feb 27, 2016
  17. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    UFC Fight Night 84

    Michael Bisping
    +240 3u to win 7.2u W
    Brad Pickett
    +140 2u to win 2.8u W
    Makwan Amirkhani
    -165 3.3u to win 2u W
    Chris Dempsey
    +312 1u to win 3.12u L
    Norman Parke
    +210 1.5u to win 3.15u L
    Daniel Omielanczuk
    -115 2.88u to win 2.5u W
    Thibault Gouti
    -123 2.46u to win 2u L

    GL gents[/QUOTE]

    +9.54u

    Big night, hope everyone else did well.
     
  18. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Breese not winning ITD killed me but thank god he won to keep future parlays alive.

    Thank fuck for lb went big on Mous dec and Bisping SU so ended up winning £503 after being down £1200 odd at one point.
     
  19. jwms Blue Belt

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    Have to wait on closing the parlay next weekend, mostly on Conor. Anderson losing messed up two parlays, but the RR on that parlay will compensate (also hinges on Conor tho).

    Overall so far: up 3u. Will be up a lot more if Conor wins next weekend (closing out those parlays from this event). Can't complain, really.
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 84 Net: +1,010.37
    bisping +100: 100 for 100 / bisping SPLIT: 12.50 for 133.13 / DEC: 25 parlays / O3.0: 110.43 for 100 / O2.5: 66 for 50 / silva SPLIT: 12.50 for 128.13 / silva DEC: 30 for 104.10
    leites +323: 75 for 242.50 - 15 parlays / leites SUB: 5 parlays / leites +3.5: 150 for 170
    nakamura +321: 75 for 241 / nakamura SUB: 10 for 180.10 / RD 1: 56 for 50 - 15 parlays

    pickett +442: 125 for 552.50 / pickett SUB: 5 parlays / pickett +3.5: 134 for 129 / RD 1: 15 parlays / U2.5: 98.50 for 80 / rivera ITD: 80 for 100
    amirkhani -165: 82.50 for 50 / RD 1: 40 parlays
    vera +155: 50 for 77.50 / vera SUB: 5 parlays

    askham ITD: 195 for 150 / askham RD 1: 5 parlays / RD 1: 40 parlays
    allen ITD: 50 for 79.50 - 25 parlays / allen SUB: 5 parlays / RD 1: 15 parlays
    jotko -135: 202.50 for 150 / jotko DEC: 25 parlays
    omielanczuk no scorecards: 65 for 50 / danho DEC: 30 for 150
    packalen +113: 100 for 112.50 / packalen SUB: 5 parlays
    teymur +108: 186 for 200 / teymur -3.5: 25 parlays
    / teymur DEC: 15 parlays
    props
    DEC O6.5: 42 for 60.06
    DEC O7.5: 11 for 39.05
    DEC O8.5: 4 for 37.72

    DEC O9.5: 2 for 55.50
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 118
    FOTN: rivera-pickett - 20 for 120

    parlays
    35 RR for 845.73: leites/ breesenakRD1/ rivpickRD1/ amirwilkRD1/ askdempRD1/ allenmezaRD1/ teymurDEC
    50 RR for (paid +64.79) 630.86: silvabispingDEC/ amirwilkRD1/ askhamITD/ allenITD/ jotkoDEC/ teymur-3.5
    15 RR for (paid +2.25) 608.46: leitesSUB/ pickettSUB/ veraSUB/ askhamRD1/ allenSUB/ packalenSUB

    ---

    leites disappointed.

    allen not getting the tko at the final bell cost me a couple hundy, but oh well

    pickett was huge. aware it was lucky, but i think i made a good bet, win or lose.

    i'll take it. big hopes for next weekend
     

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