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Your Official UFN 86 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 6, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1.02u rothwell -102

    1u ngannou +100

    0.6u blachowicz-pokrajac o1.5 -120

    0 for 0.1u o1.5 perez-entwistle

    1.35u velickovic -135

    1u whiteford +110

    0.5u asker +140
    0.5u asker-cannonier O1.5 -125
     
  3. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    1.3u Lewis -154

    1u Blachowicz/Pokrajac O1.5 -139

    1u Blaydes +110
     
    Last edited: Apr 7, 2016
  4. TNT10 White Belt

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    I've only got 2 on so far:

    Gonzaga
    Rothwell

    There's so many guys on this card I'm still clueless about.
     
  5. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Location:
    Merica
    Singles
    Dos Santos: $7.50 to win $7.14 $14.64
    Araujo: $3.75 to win $3.26 $6.01
    Stanciu/Moroz under 1.5: $2.50 to win $3.88 Loss

    Schnell: $2.50 to win $3.63 $6.13
    Vitkay: $2.50 to win $2.88 $5.38
    Burrell: $2.50 to win $3.50 $6
    Lima: $2.50 to win $3.38 $5.88
    Connonier: $2.50 to win $1.72 $4.22
    Foster: $1.25 to win $4.06 Loss

    Heun: $1.25 to win $3.44 Loss
    Davis: $1.25 to win $3.74 Loss

    Risk of $30 $48.26

    Parlays
    Field over Gomez (Group 7 Dell) + Rothwell/Dos Santos doesn't start 5: $7.50 to win $3.50 Loss
    Field over Watson/Scott/Fowler (Masters) + Taisumov: $5 to win $3.08 $8.08
    Spieth makes cut (Masters) + Martin: $3.75 to win $3.29 $7.04
    Dos Santos/Rothwell ITD + Soriano: $3.75 to win $2.48 Loss

    Field over Spieth (Masters) + Pokrajac/Blachowicz: $3.75 to win $3.11 $6.86
    Field over Spieth (Houston) + Fitch + Branch: $3.75 to win $3.85 $7.60
    Field over Mcilroy (Masters) + Enwhstle: $3.75 to win $3.31 Loss

    Field over Day (Dell) + Rothwell/Dos Santos ITD: $3.75 to win $2.58 Loss
    Field over Day (Masters) + Cummings: $2.50 to win $4.64 $7.14
    Field over Johnson (Houston) + Gonzaga: $2.50 to win $5.70 Loss

    Mickelson makes cut (Masters) + Blaydes: $2.50 to win $3.64 Loss
    Stenson Makes Cut (Masters) + Velickovic: $2.50 to win $2.43 $4.93
    Nurmagomedov + Branch/Starks ITD: $2.50 to win $1.64 Loss

    Field over Spieth (Dell) + Dos Santos/Rothwell doesn't start 3: $2.50 to win $2.47 Loss
    Field over Day/Rose (Masters) + Tybura: $2.50 to win $2.39 Loss
    Spieth under 71.5 (Final Round) + Statsiak/Pejic starts 3 + Rothwell/JDS starts 2: $1.25 to win $3.10 Loss
    Field over Johnson (Houston) + Fitch/Zeferino ITD: $1.25 to win $1.57 Loss
    Field over Mcilroy/Spieth + Blaydes/Ngannou ITD: $1.25 to win $1.72 $2.97

    Risk of $56.25 $44.62

    TOTAL RISK OF $86.25 $92.88

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $202.06 Running Profit = $37.06 (Approximate ROI for year 4.554%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2751.24 Total Profit = $2732.25 (Approximate ROI: 12.4602%)
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2016
  6. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    JDS dec +600 £50

    Gonzaga sub +400 £50

    Thats all for me will be lb.
     
  7. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Degenerate time baby
    [​IMG] [​IMG] [​IMG]

    Rothwell
    Leaning Lewis, but nothing yet. Last min decision on this one.
    Blaydes
    Johnson by dec
    Jan
    Moroz by dec
    Dalby by dec
    Mairbek
    Perez by dec
    Pejic by dec
    Martins
    Asker
    Bojan
     
  8. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Skärmklipp.JPG I went aboard the JDS-train a while back which I regret a bit now, but hey, thats life. Avslut = ITD in Swedish :)



    UPDATE: WOW! I absolutly killed it and had an amazing event. I missjudged Blades and I didnt realize Entwistle was SUCH a one trick pony.

    Total up 26U. I still just play with pocket money to see if I am able to judge which bets to go heavy on and the overall feeling for betting, but so far I'm doing really well with a ROI of +21%. The parlays worked out fine here, a big difference to earlier events.
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2016
  9. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    $100 baby limit because Croatia.

    Blaydes ML - $25 to win $26.25
    Velikovic ML - $35 to win $20.00
    Velikovic + Moroz - $25 to win $34.95
    T. Johnson + Rothwell - $7.50 to win $27.00
    Blachowicz + Rothwell - $7.50 to win $11.61

    Kind of wish I just put my full $100 on Blaydes when I had him at 2.05 but oh well. Good luck all and thanks for the info/help/banter in the other thread.
     
    Last edited: Apr 8, 2016
  10. piglord Black Belt

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    Taisumov, Mairbeck @1/3

    Mairbek.Taisumov v Damir.Hadzovic

    To Win Fight

    Blachowicz, Jan @2/7

    Igor.Pokrajac v Jan.Blachowicz

    To Win Fight

    Dos Santos, Junior @5/6

    Ben Rothwell v Junior Dos Santos

    To Win Fight

    Total Stake £100.00
    Potential Return £314.29
     
  11. themmagambler White Belt

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    Bet 1 : 3 Units Ben Rothwell 2.10 (+110)

    Bet 2: 2.5 Units Derrick Lewis 1.73 (-136)

    Bet 3: 2 Units Velickovic + Blahcowicz 2.08 (+108)

    Bet 4: 2.5 Units Blaydes 1.70 (-141)

    Total units risked: 10 Units

    Potential Return: 19.03 Units

    Potential Profit:
    9.03 Units
     
  12. fluskacio White Belt

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    Di chirico
    Asker
    Whiteford
    Pejic
    Entwistle
    Taisumov
    Dalby
    Derrik lewis
    Nganou
    Rothwelll
    jan blanchovik
     
    Last edited: Apr 9, 2016
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Cannot watch any of this one. Leaving town for one night and driving back tomorrow so will be on the road. If there was a card I'm gonna miss, glad it's this one. So small action.

    Rothwell +110
    Rothwell/JDS over 1.5
    Rothwell rds 3 and 4
    Rothwell/JDS does not go distance
    Rothwell KO/TKO
    Rothwell itd
    Jan -315
    Jan/Igor o1.5


    That's it. I would have hit Blaydes at opener but now just passing at these odds. Not much time to research the other fighters and no need to degen since can't watch anyway.
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 86 Risk: 1,497
    Rothwell -102: 102 for 100 / DEC: 25 for 100 / JDS
    lewis RD3: 10 for 100 / DEC: 25 for 81.25 / GG
    ngannou +100: 100 for 100 / blaydes
    johnson +3.5: 140 for 100 / tybura DEC: 25 for 78.75
    blachowicz -3.5: 185 for 100 / O1.5: 0 for 6.20 / pokrajac
    moroz-stanciu DEC: 50 for 57.50
    dalby-cummings: idk
    perez DEC: 35 for 148.75 / O1.5: 0 for 10 / entwistle
    hadzovic +315: 50 for 157.50 / hadzovic DEC: 40 for 182 / hadzovic +3.5: 190 for 298 / taisumov
    pejic +113: 100 for 112.50 / stasiak
    whiteford +110: 100 for 110 / martins DEC: 25 for 97.50
    asker +140: 25 for 35 / asker DEC: 20 for 125 / O1.5: 50 for 40 / cannonier
    velickovic -135: 135 for 100 / velickovic SUB: 40 for 182 / dichirico DEC: 25 for 66.25
    props
    parlays
    ---

    this isn't gonna be a big ufc for me, prolly about set (unless i add some stupid props etc... besides the dumb HW dec props i stabbed already)
     
  15. TNT10 White Belt

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    I think I'm done:

    Rothwell
    Gonzaga
    Entwistle R1
    Blaydes
    Pejic
    Johnson
    Cummings Dec
    Martins

    And a couple of small silly parlays.
     
  16. AmazingGebi Banned Banned

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    I'm done also:

    Big Ben
    Gonzaga
    Ant Whistle
    Bosnian Rocky (Damir)

    I hope I wake up tomorrow and broke even at least.
     
  17. piglord Black Belt

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    UFC Matches Junior Dos Santos v Ben Rothwell
    10-04-2016 21:30
    Match Betting
    Junior Dos Santos @ 4/5

    UFC Matches Gabriel Gonzaga v Derrick Lewis
    10-04-2016 21:00
    Match Betting
    Gabriel Gonzaga @ 5/4

    UFC Matches Francis Ngannou v Curtis Blaydes
    10-04-2016 20:30
    Match Betting
    Francis Ngannou @ 11/10

    UFC Matches Timothy Johnson v Marcin Tybura
    10-04-2016 20:00
    Match Betting
    Timothy Johnson @ 5/4

    UFC Matches Igor Pokrajac v Jan Blachowicz
    10-04-2016 19:30
    Match Betting
    Jan Blachowicz @ 3/10

    UFC Matches Maryna Moroz v Cristina Stanciu
    10-04-2016 19:00
    Match Betting
    Maryna Moroz @ 1/2

    UFC Matches Nicolas Dalby v Zak Cummings
    10-04-2016 18:30
    Match Betting
    Zak Cummings @ 11/10

    UFC Matches Ian Entwistle v Alejandro Perez
    10-04-2016 18:00
    Match Betting
    Alejandro Perez @ 11/10

    UFC Matches Mairbek Taisumov v Damir Hadzovic
    10-04-2016 17:30
    Match Betting
    Mairbek Taisumov @ 3/10

    UFC Matches Filip Pejic v Damian Stasiak
    10-04-2016 17:00
    Match Betting
    Filip Pejic @ 11/10

    UFC Matches Robert Whiteford v Lucas Martins
    10-04-2016 16:30
    Match Betting
    Robert Whiteford @ evens

    UFC Matches Jared Cannonier v Cyril Asker
    10-04-2016 16:00
    Match Betting
    Jared Cannonier @ 4/7

    UFC Matches Alessio Di Chirico v Bojan Velickovic
    10-04-2016 15:30
    Match Betting
    Bojan Velickovic @ 8/13

    Your Bets
    Accumulator (13)
    1 line at £5.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: £5.00
    Potential returns: £11,404.16
     
  18. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    1.5u JDS
    2u Martins
    2u Blachowicz itd
    1u Lewis
    1.5u Dalby

    Keeping it small didn't do my due diligence in studying up on some of the guys I don't know and trying to stay a bit more conservative than usual anyway so that's it, at least for now. GL boys.
     
  19. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    ufn 86 Risk: 2,047.80
    Rothwell +104: 200 for 207.80 / roth RD2: 7.50 parlays / DEC: 25 for 100 / O3.0: 15 parlays / O2.0: 20 parlays / JDS
    lewis RD3: 15 for 150 / DEC: 25 for 81.25 / GG
    ngannou +100: 100 for 100 / ngannou KO: 7.50 parlays / ngannou NSC: 20 parlays / blaydes
    johnson +3.5: 140 for 100 / johnson NSC: 20 parlays / DEC: 15 parlays / tybura DEC: 25 for 78.75
    blachowicz -3.5: 185 for 100 / O1.5: 0 for 6.20 / pokrajac
    moroz SUB: 15 parlays / moroz RD2: 7.50 parlays / DEC: 50 for 57.50 / stanciu
    dalby -115: 115 for 100 / dalby DEC: 15 parlays / cummings NSC: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays
    perez DEC: 35 for 148.75 / O1.5: 0 for 10 / entwistle RD1: 15 parlays
    hadzovic +315: 50 for 157.50 / hadzovic DEC: 40 for 182 - 7.50 parlays / hadzovic +3.5: 190 for 298 / O2.5: 20 parlays / taisumov
    pejic +113: 100 for 112.50 / pejic RD3: 10 for 122.50 / pejic ITD: 15 parlays / stasiak
    whiteford +110: 100 for 110 / whiteford ITD: 7.50 parlays / martins DEC: 25 for 97.50
    asker +140: 25 for 35 / asker DEC: 20 for 125 - 7.50 parlays / DEC: 15 parlays / O1.5: 62.80 for 50 / cannonier
    velickovic -135: 135 for 100 / velickovic RD3: 10 for 147.50 / velickovic SUB: 40 for 182 / velickovic ITD: 7.50 parlays / velickovic NSC: 20 parlays / dichirico DEC: 25 for 66.25
    props
    DEC O5.5: 50 for 61
    DEC O6.5: 12 for 37.92
    DEC O7.5: 5 for 40.15
    DEC O8.5: 2 for 49.48
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 93.75
    FOTN: stanciu-moroz: 15 for 120
    FOTN: whiteford-martins: 10 for 100
    parlays
    100 RR for 599.53: rothJDS O2.0/ ngannou NSC/ johnson NSC/ cummings NSC/ hadztais O2.5/ velickovic NSC
    35 RR for 885.25: rothJDS O3.0/ johntybura DEC/ moroz SUB/ dalby DEC/ entwistle RD1/ pejic ITD/ askercannon DEC
    17.50 RR for 2,625.95 RR: rothRD2/ ngannouKO/ morozRD2/ hadzDEC/ whiteITD/ askerDEC/ velickITD
    ---

    someone must've hacked my account, cause apparently there are some RETARDED parlays mucking up any semblance of strategy on this card!
     
  20. KT4 White Belt

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    $5.00 $8.25 Pending 4/10/16 10:30am MMA Props Fighting 2242 Velickovic points handicap -3½ +165* vs Chirico points handicap
    $5.00 $6.50 Pending 4/10/16 4:00pm UFC Fighting 1101 Gabriel Gonzaga +130* vs Derrick Lewis
    $5.00 $6.75 Pending 4/10/16 4:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Rothwell wins inside distance +135* vs Not Rothwell inside distance
    $6.00 $15.90 Pending 4/10/16 3:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1233 Ngannou wins by TKO/KO +265* vs Any other result
    $6.00 $6.60 Pending 4/10/16 3:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1241 Blaydes points handicap -3½ +110* vs Ngannou points handicap
    $2.00 $5.70 Pending 4/10/16 3:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1331 Tybura wins by submission +285* vs Any other result
    $2.00 $2.50 Pending 4/10/16 3:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1342 Tybura points handicap -3½ +125* vs Johnson points handicap
    $5.00 $4.55 Pending 4/10/16 1:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1639 Cummings (scorecards = no action) -110* vs Dalby (scorecards = no action)
    $30.00 $26.09 Pending 4/10/16 11:00am MMA Props Fighting 2142 Cannonier points handicap -3½ -115* vs Asker points handicap
    Totals: $66.00 $82.84
     

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