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Your Official UFN 87 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 30, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    first run:

    0.5u AA-reem O1.5 +100

    0.2u bigfoot DEC +1400

    3.5u tumenov -140

    3u barroso +145

    1u wade +175

    1u wade-khabilov O2.5 + hein-tuck O2.5 +113
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £222 Struve @ +175

    £200 Struve @ +124

    £260 Silva @ +162

    £422 Tumenov @ -110
     
  4. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Finally got on some money on 5D via Bitcoin so I'm going the slow and steady approach to build something hopefully.

    Arlovski/Overeem O1 - $5.00 for $3.11
    Arlovski/Overeem O1½ - $5.00 for $5.00
    Silva/Struve O1 - $7.50 for $7.01
    Silva/Struve O1½ - $5.00 for $7.25
    Struve & Tumenov - $15.00 for $21.36
    Tumenov - $20.00 for $11.76
    Nelson/Tumenov O1½ - $20.67 for $10.34
    Wade/Khabilov O2½ & Tuck/Hein O2½ - $10.00 for $11.18
    Barroso - $5.00 for $6.75
    KK & Horiguchi - $38.47 for $25.00

    "A lot" on some chinny HWs so I'm not feeling so confident but I never do anyways!
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2016
  5. danareem Green Belt

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    UFC FN 97
    (so far)
    Overrem: 3u
    Struve: 2u
    Tumenov: 5u
    Germaine de Randamie: 1.6u

    Waiting to add on Horiguchi, Rustam and Kowalkiewicz
     
  6. AgentSmecker Black Belt

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    Just a speck of sand in an endless desert of agony
    I'm not clued up on all your curious terminology yet but in layman's terms I just put a tenner on a treble for Bigfoot via ko, ubereem r2 ko and nelson via decision. Potential return of 1289.
     
  7. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Location:
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    Singles
    Cabral: $7.50 to win $4.29 Loss
    Bigfoot: $5 to win $8.50 Loss
    Wade: $5 to win $8.25 Loss
    Sasaki: $5 to win $6.50 $11.50
    Barrosso: $3.75 to win $6 Loss
    Tumenov (-3.5): $3.75 to win $4.31 Loss
    Anderson: $3.75 to win $2.27 $6.02
    Hill: $2.50 to win $3.75 $6.25
    Sherman: $2.50 to win $3.38 $5.88
    Tweet: $2.50 to win $2.88 $5.38
    Cedeno: $2.50 to win $2.75 $2.50

    Rocha: $2.50 to win $2.17 $4.67
    Nobre: $2.50 to win $1.92 $4.42

    Belal/Carl under 3.5: $1.25 to win $1.98 Loss

    Risk of $50 $46.62

    Parlays
    Field over Barnes (Texas) + Reem/AA ITD + Silva/Struve ITD: $7.50 to win $4.31 $11.81
    Field over Rory (Wells Fargo) + Leon Edwards: $3.75 to win $2.53 $6.28
    Field over Day (Zurich) + Reem: $3.75 to win $2.58 $6.33
    Field over Vegas (Zurich) + Cedenblad: $3.75 to win $3.41 $7.16
    Field over Fowler (Wells Fargo) + Evinger + AA/Reem ITD: $3.75 to win $2.19 $5.94
    Field over Fowler (Wells Fargo) + Medeiros: $2.50 to win $2.03 $4.53
    Field over Fowler (Wells Fargo) + Not Horiguchi Sub + Not Randamie ITD: $2.50 to win $3.71 Loss
    Field over Rose (Wells Fargo) + Clark (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.26 Loss
    Field over Rose (Wells Fargo) + Tuck/Emmett ITD: $1.25 to win $2.01 Loss

    Risk of $31.25 $42.05

    RISK OF $81.25 $88.67

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $187.95 Running Profit = $22.95 (Approximate ROI for year 2.29%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2737.13 Total Profit = $2718.14 (Approximate ROI: 12.29%)
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2016
  8. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Krylov -150 2u

    Wade +175 1u
    Wade/Khabilov o2.5 rounds -210 1.5u

    Gates -150 1u
    Gates/Sasaki u1.5 rounds + 130 .5u

    And I've added these to parlays as the odds are too high to play straight:

    Randamie, Kowalkiewicz, Cedenblad, Horiguchi
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    added:

    0.5u wade ML +170
    0.2u wade SUB +1250

    1u parlays:
    KK+edwards +102
    wade-khab O2.5 + maia -102
    KK + maia -107
    edwards + maia -103

    (maia fighting 5/14, obv)
     
  10. weedreference Green Belt

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    Everyone can cringe at the amount of juice I'm paying. It's the most since the very beginning of when I started betting and thought favorites were bigger locks than they actually were. (These ones are locks, though).

    Edwards -230 to win 4u
    Medadi/Cabral o2.5 -200 to win 1u
    KK -240 to win 1u
    Wade +170 2u -- O2.5 -220 to win 1u
    Gunnar +160 2u
     
  11. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £222 Struve @ +175

    £200 Struve @ +124

    £260 Silva @ +162

    £422 Tumenov @ -110

    £800 Gucci + Cedenblad + KK Heather o 1.5 @ -107
     
  12. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    I'm heavy on Tumenov, Overeem and Struve, but I am very confident (as confident you can be in s guy like Struve) that they are all good bets (famous last words). The last bet on the parlay is that one of them wins on KO/TKO. I really cant see Arlovski last for 25 minutes against Overeem, but he might, just might, win early.
    Skärmklipp.JPG
     
  13. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Willie Gates: $ 20 to win $ 13. Lost $ 20
    Khabilov/Wade over 2.5 + Nelson/Tumenov over 1.5: $ 30 to win $ 30,90
    Silva/Struve over 1.5: $ 20 to win $ 28. Lost $ 20
    Antonio Silva: $ 10 to win $ 16. Lost $ 10
    Canelo(boxing)+Cedenblad+Horiguchi+Randamie: $ 30 to win $ 45,30
    Edwars
    +Horiguchi+Cedenblad+Wade/Rustam over 2.5+Tumenov+Overeeem: $ 10 to win $ 55,33. Lost $ 10
    Overeem-AA over 1.5: $ 8 to win $ 8,16. Lost $ 8

    BR: Approx $ 500
    Total risk: $ 128
    Result: $ 8,20
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2016
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 87 Risk: 1,753.68
    Reem-AA O1.5: 50 for 50
    Bigfoot +187: 80 for 149.50 / bigfoot DEC: 20 for 280 / Struve
    Tumenov -140: 350 for 250 / Nelson
    de Randamie-elmose: idk
    barroso +138: 200 for 275 / barroso RD 3: 10 for 200 / krylov
    KK: 200 parlays / clark
    Wade +173: 150 for 260 / wade RD 3: 5 for 145 / wade SUB: 20 for 250 / O2.5: 100 for 44.44 - 100 parlay / khabilov
    mclellan RD 3: 5 for 130 / cedenblad
    tuck -139: 138.68 for 100 / tuck ITD: 40 for 100.40 / emmett
    madadi RD 3: 5 for 123.75 / Cabral
    seery-horiguchi: idk
    edwards: 200 parlays / waters
    sasaki +135: 50 for 67.50 / sasaki SUB: 40 for 100 / gates
    props
    DEC O6.5: 30 for 48.90
    DEC O7.5: 12 for 50.52
    DEC O8.5: 5 for 59.20
    DEC O9.5: 2 for 74.50
    DEC O10.5 1 for 192
    FOTN: de rand-elmose: 18 for 153
    FOTN: KK-HJC: 10 for 120
    FOTN: guchi-seery: 12 for 108
    parlays
    100 for 102.04 kowalkiewicz -245 & edwards -230
    100 for 97.94 wade-khabilov O2.5 -225 & maia -270 (ufc 198)
    100 for 93.85 Kowalkiewicz -250 & maia -260 (ufc 198)
    100 for 96.62 edwards -230 & maia -270 (ufc 198)
    ---

    not finalized, but prolly close.

    yea, my barroso price sucks. glad i got at least 1u hedge in.

    i wanna bet reem, but maybe over 2:1 is better off passing.

    seery +3.5 is tempting but prolly gonna lose ><

    second-guessing value on KK -250 etc. but nothing i can do about it. not hating the two parlays with her.

    trying not to force stuff on fights i have little-to-no action.
     
  15. edole Brown Belt

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    Ive been doing pretty well with parlays recently...this is a tough card for betting in that I like mostly favorites/

    All Ive got so far

    Gates, Cedenblad, HJC/KK O2.5, Randamie, Nelson/Tumenov O1.5 Parlay 200 for 1002 - losssss



    Edit: Added

    Gates/Sasaki O1.5, Cedenblad, HJC/KK O2.5, Randamie, Nelson/Tumenov O1.5 Parlay 200 for 1029 --- win


    only differentiation is the over 1.5 in first fight as opposed to picking Gates


    Edit: added

    Gunner/tum o1.5, aa/reem o1.5, tuck/Emmett o2.5, kk, andramaine, wade
    Parlay 200 for 4065 --- loosssssss

    Edit: added : Gunner/tum o1.5 , aa/reem o1.5 , kk/hjc o2.5 , andramaine, struve

    Parlay 200 for 1337


    ...oh boy

    Edit: hedged my last parlay with 500 on main event o1.5. I hate hedging.
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2016
  16. Xuh Silver Belt

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    I'm lazy and think favs are gonna clean up so just did trebles and stuff with:
    Tumenov - Overeem - Struve - Khaboliv/Wade o2.5 - Kowalkiewicz - Cedenblad - Horoguchi - De Randamie.

    Also put extra money on KK/Cedenblad/Horoguchi because they're really, really likely to win IMO.
    I did manage to get Tumenov (3u) and Struve (2u) on the good Betsafe prices too ages ago.

    otherwise the only +odds thing I've done is De Randamie by KO because pandas are cute, cuddly and going extinct - in the ring as well as real life. The size difference is completely ridiculous. WWF should be cracking down on the UFC for this matchup. 0.5u on it but might go up to £75 (1.5u)
     
  17. ClosetVitorFan Gold Belt

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    I really want to hit the over 1.5 at +110 AA/Reem. I think it will go the first round for sure. A big feeling out round. Then. They will both open up more in the 2nd. If they can just hold on for those 2 and a half minutes. Lol.
    Since they both trained together. The respect will be there. I think they will do a lot of feeling out. I also Think AA isn't taking any unnecessary risks. He's pretty quick and can avoid a Reem onslaught. I think first round is going to go to Reem because Reem will be moving forward in this fight. But not a lot of action as far as exchanges. AA is not going to take any risks in this fight. Neither is Reem. Too much on the LINE! This fight guarantees Reem a title shot. He needs the W. But how long will AAs chin hold up for? Also how long will Reem chin hold up for? This is a fight of two guys with dynamite in their fights. But a wine glass for a chin. (Well ubereem had a chin thanks to horse meat)

    Decisions decisions. I kinda want to go large on this. Definitely want to do the over on Tumenov vs Gunnar.
     
  18. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    5u Tumenov -110
    3u Struve +175
    3u Struve +124
    2u Madadi +150
    1u Wade +170

    2u Reem ITD -149
    0.5u Madadi dec +240

    3u KK/Clark + Jacare -129
    2u Wade/Khabilov O2.5 + Benson/Koreshkov O3.5 +113
    1u Horiguchi + Wade/Khabilov O2.5 -125
    1u Horiguchi + Jacare -169
    1u Horiguchi + NiP -110

    EDIT: Added 1u Horiguchi + Cedenblad -172
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2016
  19. themmagambler White Belt

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    All bets 1 unit

    1. Silva +170

    2. Horiguchi by Decision -128

    3. Jo Clarke/Kowalkiewicz O2.5+ Wade/Khabilov O2.5 -106

    4. Tumenov by dec. +191

    5. Madadi +150


    Flier on Overeem by decision +700 as well
     
  20. piglord Black Belt

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    UFC Matches Magnus Cedenblad v Garreth McLellan
    08-05-2016 18:00
    Match Betting
    Magnus Cedenblad @ 1/3

    UFC Matches Germaine de Randamie v Anna Elmose
    08-05-2016 20:00
    Match Betting
    Germaine de Randamie @ 2/7

    UFC Matches Alistair Overeem v Andrei Arlovski
    08-05-2016 21:30
    Match Betting
    Alistair Overeem @ 4/9

    UFC Matches Antonio Silva v Stefan Struve
    08-05-2016 21:00
    Match Betting
    Stefan Struve @ 8/15

    UFC Matches Albert Tumenov v Gunnar Nelson
    08-05-2016 20:30
    Match Betting
    Albert Tumenov @ 8/13

    UFC Matches Nikita Krylov v Francimar Barroso
    08-05-2016 19:30
    Match Betting
    Nikita Krylov @ 4/9

    UFC Matches Karolina Kowalkiewicz v Heather Jo Clark
    08-05-2016 19:00
    Match Betting
    Karolina Kowalkiewicz @ 4/11

    UFC Matches Rustam Khabilov v Chris Wade
    08-05-2016 18:30
    Match Betting
    Rustam Khabilov @ 1/2

    UFC Matches Jon Tuck v Josh Emmett
    08-05-2016 17:30
    Match Betting
    Jon Tuck @ 8/11

    UFC Matches Yan Cabral v Reza Madadi
    08-05-2016 17:00
    Match Betting
    Reza Madadi @ 6/4

    UFC Matches Kyoji Horiguchi v Neil Seery
    08-05-2016 16:30
    Match Betting
    Kyoji Horiguchi @ 1/6

    UFC Matches Leon Edwards v Dominic Waters
    08-05-2016 16:00
    Match Betting
    Leon Edwards @ 4/11

    UFC Matches Willie Gates v Ulka Sasaki
    08-05-2016 15:30
    Match Betting
    Willie Gates @ 4/6

    Your Bets
    Accumulator (13)
    1 line at £9.71 per line
    Total stake for this bet: £9.71
    Potential returns: £2,014.66
     

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