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Your Official UFN 88 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 14, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    2.27u miranda -152

    2.88u larkin -115
     
  3. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    added:

    2.88u campbell -115

    0.5u eye +135

    0.25u almeida-garbrandt DEC +400

    0.15u felder RD 3 +1275
     
  4. AgentSmecker Black Belt

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    Fourfold
    [​IMG]Details

    24/05/2016 12:58
    You bet on 1 @ 1.7
    Open
    Thomas Almeida - Cody Garbrandt
    • Match Winner
    You bet on Over 2.5 @ 1.8
    Open
    Renan Barão - Jeremy Stephens
    • Number of rounds
    You bet on 2 @ 1.75
    Open
    Jorge Masvidal - Lorenz Larkin
    • Match Winner
    You bet on 1 @ 1.63
    Open
    Sara McMann - Jessica Eye
    • Match Winner
    Stake: 10.00
    Pot.Return: 87.29

    [​IMG]

    Fourfold
    [​IMG]Details

    24/05/2016 13:02
    You bet on 2 @ 2.5
    Open
    Renan Barão - Jeremy Stephens
    • Match Winner
    You bet on 2 @ 2.04
    Open
    Tarec Saffiedine - Rick Story
    • Match Winner
    You bet on 1 @ 2.95
    Open
    Josh Burkman - Paul Felder
    • Match Winner
    You bet on 2 @ 4.5
    Open
    Aljamain Sterling - Bryan Caraway
    • Match Winner
    Stake: 10.00
    Pot.Return: 677.03

    That'll do me for this card.
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2016
  5. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    1.5u Masvidal +140
    1u Masvidal +125
    1.5u Caraway +300
    1u Eye +137
     
  6. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I had to add in my $15 loss to Bellator to my totals. I'm in the negative for the year!

    Singles
    Story: $7.50 to win $8.63 $16.63
    Koch: $6.25 to win $7.81 $14.06
    Eye: $6.25 to win $7.81 Loss

    Trujillo ITD: $5 to win $4 Loss
    Caraway: $3.75 to win $12.19 $15.94
    Collier: $3.75 to win $4.13 $7.88


    Risk of $32.50 $54.51

    Parlays
    Felder + Garbrandt/Almeida ITD: $7.50 to win $4.84 $12.34
    Field over Spieth (Dean + Deluca) + DeLaRocha/Milstead ITD + Garbrandt/Almeida ITD: $5 to win $2.99 Loss

    DeLaRocha/Milstead doesn't start 3 + Almeida/Garbrandt doesn't start 5: $5 to win $3.41 $8.41
    Field over Reed (Dean + Deluca) + Stephens (+3.5): $3.75 to win $4.01 $7.76
    Field over Spieth (Byron Nelson) + Larkin/Masvidal over 2.5: $2.50 to win $2.51 $5.01
    Field over Reed (Dean + Deluca) + Masvidal (+3.5) + Not Miranda Dec: $2.50 to win $2.96 $5.46

    Field over Palmer (Dean + Deluca) + Not Larkin ITD + Garb/Alm starts 2 + Story/Saff starts 2: $1.25 to win $1.43 Loss

    Risk of $32.50 $38.98

    TOTAL RISK OF $60 $93.49


    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $182.22 Running Profit = $17.12 (Approximate ROI for year 1.408%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2731.40 Total Profit = $2712.41 (Approximate ROI: 12.162%)
     
    Last edited: Jun 1, 2016
  7. lefontes Purple Belt

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    2,5units on Koch
    2units on Collier
    2units on Story
    1unit on Over 1,5 Almeida/Garbrandt


    Very confident on dogs: Koch, Story and Collier.
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2016
  8. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Story DEC
    Eye DEC
    Campbell DEC
    Camozzi DEC
    Warriors win Series against Thunder

    $20 for $9879
     
  9. AgentSmecker Black Belt

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    I couldn't leave it. Here's my final hail mary on this card 1000 to 1 shot

    30 May 2016 - Rick Story v Tarec Saffiedine - Method of Result

    Rick Story By Decision @ 11/5

    30 May 2016 - Chris Camozzi v Vitor Miranda - Method of Result

    Chris Camozzi By Decision @ 12/5

    30 May 2016 - Jorge Masvidal v Lorenz Larkin - Method of Result

    Lorenz Larkin By Decision @ 11/8

    30 May 2016 - Josh Burkman v Paul Felder - Method of Result

    Josh Burkman By Submission @ 9/1

    30 May 2016 - Jeremy Stephens v Renan Barao - Method of Result

    Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO @ 3/1

    Stake : £3.00

    Estimated Returns : £3100.80
     
  10. piglord Black Belt

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    so it's hail mary time. here's mine.

    Adam Milstead @ 2/5 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Erik Koch @ 6/4 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Jake Collier @ 11/10 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Abel Trujillo @ 1/3 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Jessica Eye @ 11/8 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Paul Felder @ 2/5 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Lorenz Larkin @ 4/6 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Chris Camozzi @ 21/10 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Jeremy Stephens @ 11/8 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Cody Garbrandt @ 11/8 (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Multiple Type: 10 fold Stake: 10.00 Possible Return: 9496.32
     
  11. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    My RR is a hail mary for this event. Barao dec, Larkin dec, Story dec, Camozzi dec, Eye KO, Caraway dec in a single, 2's and 3's at $2 bucks a pop. Think its $72 to win like $14,000? lol

    Other bets:

    Barao/Stephens o2.5 -- $86.25 to win $75
    Rick Story -- $45 to win $47
    Story No SC -- $160 to win $100
    Story/Tarec o2.5 + Kampbell/Koch o1.5 -- $92 to win $100
    Larkin/Masvidal o2.5 -- $165 to win $100
    Camozzi by dec -- $29.85 to win $100
    Camozzi in round 3 -- $10 to win $237.50
    Felder + WWE Dean Ambrose (won) -- $105 to win $97.50
    Felder in round 3 -- $20 to win $255
    Jessica Eye -- $92.59 to win $125
    Eye KO -- $11.70 to win $100
    Eye No SC -- $$130 to win $200
    Caraway/Sterling o2.5 -- $180 to win $100
    Caraway by dec -- $$16.26 to win $100

    Have a few parlays as well but the one I like the most

    $19.77 to win $364.61
    Stephens No SC
    Larkin No SC
    Felder No SC
    Eye No SC
    Sterling No SC

    Would've added Story No SC but was dumb and made this when the line was down. OK looking through bets also really like:

    $52 to to win $100
    Not Barao itd
    Not Miranda itd
    Not Sterling itd

    Eyeing Almeida if the night is going well. Otherwise will lb. Will also bet Collier and Millstead in round 1 by fight time.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 88 Risk: 1,599.95
    almeida-garbrandt O1.5: 87.50 for 50 / DEC: 25 for 100
    barao-stephens: idk
    story-saffiedine: idk
    miranda -127: 127.45 for 100 / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
    larkin -117: 350 for 300 / O2.5: 100 parlays / masvidal
    felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 / felder NSC: 100 parlays / burkman
    eye +135: 100 for 135 / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye NSC: 100 for 165 / mcmann
    trujillo ITD: 62 for 50 / rinaldi
    collier +120: 50 for 60 / uda
    campbell -115: 287.50 for 250 - 50 parlay / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / koch
    caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15 / sterling
    de la rocha-milstead: idk
    props
    parlays
    50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for xx felder NSC -205 & TBD
    50 for 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
    ---

    might be about set until the weigh-ins.
     
  13. mmaday4day Green Belt

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    I stole your parlay, but I changed Eye with McMann DEC :p
     
  14. edole Brown Belt

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    two parlays, currently

    Garbrandt, Stephens/Barao U2.5, Larkin, Burkman

    150 pays 3614

    and

    Caraway/Sterlin O2.5, Larkin, Garbrandt/Almeida O1.5

    158 pays 515

    220 on Larkin to win 200

    Parlay

    Caraway/aljo o2.5 , story, stephens, garbrandt/almeida o1.5

    100 to win 974

    Parlay

    Koch, rinaldi, burkman, stephens, garbrandt

    50 pays 7872
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2016
  15. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Got some crazy parlays and these plays. Got a bit heavy on Caraway and Stephens, but I really like the dogs this card.

    edit: Added some on Eye, Uda and Almeida.
    Skärmklipp.JPG
    View attachment 101207
     
    Last edited: May 27, 2016
  16. chemmy Green Belt

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    Almeida 1 unit
    Larkin 2 units
    Saffiedine 1 unit
    Campbell 1 unit
    O 2.5 Larkin / Masvidal 1 unit
    O 2.5 Saffiedine / Story 1 unit
    O 2.5 Stephens/Barao 1 unit
    Collier 0.25 units
    Camozzi 0.25 units

    0.1 unit prop plays: Camozzi round 3 (+2725), Felder round 3 (+1150), Garbrandt by decision (+1175), Caraway by decision(+615), Eye no scorecards, Masvidal no scorecards, plus a few small super long-shot parlays that are very likely to lose.
     
  17. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Milstead Sterling Koch Collier Trujillo Eye Felder Larkin Camozzi Tarec Stephens £30 for £28978

    Felder dec Larkin dec Sterling dec Tarec dec £50 for £1105

    Koch dec Collier dec Camozzi dec £20 for £1750

    Story split £25 +900

    Tarec split £45 +550
     
    Last edited: May 27, 2016
  18. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Finally have time to post my picks:

    Caraway +325 for 0.31u
    -Caraway by DEC +610 for 0.16u

    Rinaldi/Trujillo o1.5 -125 for 1.25u
    -Rinaldi by SUB +600 for 0.5u (YOLO)

    Larkin by DEC +150 for 2u

    Camozzi +3.5 -145 for 1.45u

    Story by DEC +195 for 2u

    Barao by SUB +320 for 0.5u

    Garbrandt +145 for 1u
    -Garbrandt by TKO +247 for 0.4u

    EDIT: POST WEIGH IN ADDITIONS

    UDA by SUB +1780 for 0.5u

    McMann by DEC +106 for 1.5u
     
    Last edited: May 28, 2016
  19. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Milstead + Larkin - $67.71 to win $100
    Milstead + Larkin + Felder - $20.00 to win $45.78
    Larkin - $65.00 to win $50.00
    Felder + Campbell - $26.49 to win $30.00
    Camozzi - $20.00 to win $31.00
    Stephens - $20.00 to win $31.00
    Caraway - $5.00 to win $15.00

    Heavy on Larkin (obviously didn't learn my lesson with Warley) and a bit on Felder. Both should win, or maybe better put is: both shouldn't lose.

    I have too much on Collier that I now regret and will buyout of when/if his line catches up to the 1.7 I'm seeing out there. Might puss out on Camozzi and get out of that too; that bet was more against Miranda than for Camo.

    Anyways, GL all.
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 88 Risk: 1,759.95
    garbrandt DEC: 25 for 216.25 / O1.5: 87.50 for 50 / DEC: 25 for 100 / NOT almeida ITD: 100 for 80
    barao-stephens O2.5: 100 for 80
    story-saffiedine: idk
    miranda -127: 127.45 for 100 / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
    larkin -117: 350 for 300 / O2.5: 100 parlays / masvidal
    felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 / felder NSC: 50 parlay / burkman
    eye +135: 150 for 202.50 / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye NSC: 100 for 165 / mcmann
    trujillo ITD: 32 for 19.10 / rinaldi
    uda: 0 for 2.50 / uda SUB: 15 for 267 / collier: 0 for 10
    campbell -115: 287.50 for 250 - 50 parlay / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / koch
    caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15 / sterling
    de la rocha-milstead: idk
    props
    parlays
    50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
    ---

    post weigh-in.

    not finalized, but getting there.
     

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