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Your Official UFN 88 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, May 14, 2016.

  1. mma sharingan Brown Belt

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    $20 parlay on miranda/story/barao to win $85
     
  2. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    1.5u Masvidal +140
    1u Masvidal +125
    1.5u Garbrandt +130
    1.5u Caraway +300
    1u Eye +137
    1u Story +110
    2.5u Almeida/Garbrandt O2.5 -166
    2.5u Masvidal/Larkin O2.5 + Eye/McMann O2.5 -105

    1u Barao dec +225
    0.5u Garbrandt dec +800
    0.15u Caraway KO/TKO +1400
    0.1u Eye KO/TKO +550
    0.25u Felder r3 +1400
    0.1u Camozzi r4 +3300
    0.1u Caraway r3 +3300

    0.1u Masvidal dec + Barao dec + Felder r3 +14500
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2016
  3. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    UFC Fight Night 73 +5.2
    UFC190/WSOF22 +.26u
    UFC on Fox 16 -0.80u
    UFC Fight Night 74 -5.25u
    UFC Fight Night 81 -0.25
    Bellator 148 +1.95u
    UFC on Fox 18 +4.2u
    UFC Fight Night 82 +0.82u
    UFC Fight Night 83 -12.87u
    UFC Fight Night 84 +9.54u
    UFC 196 -1.18u

    2016 posted MMA +1.62


    UFC Fight Night 88


    Jeremy Stephens +140 2u to win 2.8u
    Rick Story -120 6u to win 5u
    Lorenz Larkin
    -105 1.58u to win 1.5u
    Paul Felder -295 8.85u to win 3u
    Jordan Rinaldi +260 1u to win 2.6u
    Erik Koch +135 3u to win 4.05u
    Bryan Caraway
    +285 1.5u to win 4.28u


    Good luck guys
     
  4. Dooze Purple Belt

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    Not too many things I like for betting this. Should be a sick card to watch but struggled to find bets I like. Good luck all.

    Almeida + Barao + Felder + Eye + Larkin + Milstead = £2.50 returns £74.52
    Felder + McMann/Eye o2.5 + Milstead/DLR u1.5 @ 2.37 = £10 returns £23.70
    Barao by decision @ 3.25 = £2.50 returns £8.13
    Camozzi by decision @ 3.75 = £2.50 returns £9.38
    Story r3 @ 23.00 = £1 returns £23

    Then the hail mary:

    Felder ITD + Campbell decision + Barao decision + Milstead ITD + Larkin decision + Uda ITD + Story decision = £1 returns £1062
     
  5. null Gold Belt

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    UFN 88 Risk $3769.04

    Thomas Almeida (-150) vs Cody Garbrandt $150.00 for $100.00
    Thomas Almeida wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00
    Thomas Almeida wins by TKO/KO (+125) $100.00 for $125.00

    Jeremy Stephens (+140) vs Renan Barao $150.00 for $210.00
    Jeremy Stephens (+165) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $165.00
    Jeremy Stephens +3½ points (-155) $155.00 for $100.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+385) $100.00 for $385.00

    Rick Story (+110) vs Tarec Saffiedine $0.00 for $10.00

    Chris Camozzi (+195) vs Vitor Miranda $100.00 for $195.00
    Chris Camozzi wins by TKO/KO (+1385) $20.00 for $277.00
    Chris Camozzi wins in round 3 (+2725) $20.00 for $545.00
    Chris Camozzi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $75.00 for $195.00

    Lorenz Larkin (-135) vs Jorge Masvidal $270.00 for $200.00
    Lorenz Larkin scorecards = no action (-147) $147.00 for $100.00
    Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+150) $75.00 for $112.50

    Josh Burkman (+260) vs Paul Felder $75.00 for $195.00
    Josh Burkman wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25

    Jessica Eye (+135) vs Sara McMann $100.00 for $135.00
    Jessica Eye wins by TKO/KO (+855) $20.00 for $171.00
    Jessica Eye scorecards = no action (+165) $100.00 for $165.00
    Jessica Eye wins by 3 round decision (+302) $35.00 for $105.70

    Abel Trujillo wins in round 1 (+170) $30.00 for $51.00
    Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi Under 1½ (+120) $100.00 for $120.00
    Jordan Rinaldi (+260) vs Abel Trujillo $150.00 for $390.00

    Jake Collier (+105) vs Alberto Pereira Uda $100.00 for $105.00
    Alberto Pereira Uda wins inside distance (+242) $35.00 for $84.70

    Shane Campbell (-160) vs Erik Koch $160.00 for $100.00
    Erik Koch wins by 3 round decision (+428) $25.00 for $107.00

    Bryan Caraway (+350) vs Aljamain Sterling $100.00 for $350.00
    Bryan Caraway +3½ points (+165) $100.00 for $165.00
    Bryan Caraway wins by 3 round decision (+755) $100.00 for $755.00

    Adam Milstead wins in round 1 (+115) vs Chris De La Rocha $35.00 for $40.25

    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (-104)$41.60 for $40.00
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+267) $25.00 for $66.75
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+712) $15.00 for $106.80
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+2278) $10.00 for $227.80
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+9100)$5.00 for $455.00

    Fights to end in submission under 1½ (+101) $25.00 for $25.25
    No fights end in submission (+463) $10.00 for $46.30

    Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling FOTN award winner (+700) $10.00 for $70.00

    Parlay:
    Jessica Eye/Sara McMann Over 2½ (-250) + Thomas Almeida/Cody Garbrandt won’t start round 4 (-183) $100.00 for $116.50
    Not Sara McMann inside distance (-426) + Josh Burkman/Paul Felder starts round 3 (-253) $138.35 for $100.00
    Not Aljamain Sterling inside distance (-264) + Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi won’t go 3 round distance (-195) $92.09 for $100.00

    Round Robin- 21 two-team parlays of $25.00 each or $525.00 for $1102.96:
    Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling Over 2½ (-190) + Shane Campbell (-165) + Jake Collier (+105) + Lorenz Larkin (-120) + Chris Camozzi/Vitor Miranda Over 2½ (-165) + Tarec Saffiedine (+105) + Jeremy Stephens/Renan Barao starts round 3 (-150)
     
  6. t6p Brown Belt

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    Like some others I'm pumped about the card but not feeling confident in my bets.

    0.5u Garbrandt DEC (+800)

    1u Miranda (-125)
    0.50u Miranda KO (+271)

    1.5u Larkin (-125)

    0.25u Felder RD3 (+1275)
    0.25u Felder SUB (+1205)

    1u Eye (+140)

    0.25u Rinaldi SUB (+600)
    0.25u Rinaldi RD3 (+2225)

    1u Collier (+105)
    0.25u Uda SUB (+625)

    1u Caraway (+270)
    0.5u Caraway DEC (+755)
    1u Caraway-Sterling o2½ (-200)

    1u Milstead RD1 (+120)

    Parlays:
    1u Milstead KO/Trujillo ITD (+198)
     
  7. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Miranda: $ 30 to win $ 21
    Saff/Story over 2.5 + Felder: $ 30 to win $ 25,08
    Larkin: $ 30 to win $ 24

    BR approx $ 460.
    Result $ 19
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2016
  8. Gambling Man Orange Belt

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    Barao + Miranda - 2.5 u
    Eye - 1 u
    Felder Rd 3 - 0.33 u
    Story- 1 u
    Carraway Sub - 0.66 u
    Milstead Rd 1 - 1 u
    Rinaldi Sub - 0.5 u
    Uda/Collier u2.5 - 1.5 u
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 88 Risk: 2,129.95
    garbrandt DEC: 25 for 216.25 / O1.5: 87.50 for 50 - 20 parlays / DEC: 25 for 100 - 15 parlays / NOT almeida ITD: 100 for 80
    barao ITD: 15 parlays / O2.5: 100 for 80 / stephens
    story ITD: 15 parlays / saffiedine
    miranda -125: 187.45 for 150 - 20 parlays / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
    larkin -117: 350 for 300 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 150 parlays / masvidal
    felder: 50 parlay / felder ITD: 15 parlays / felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 / felder NSC: 50 parlay / burkman
    eye +135: 150 for 202.50 - 20 parlays / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye ITD: 15 parlays / eye NSC: 100 for 165 / mcmann
    trujillo ITD: 32 for 19.10 / trujillo RD1: 15 parlays / rinaldi
    uda: 0 for 2.50 / collier: 0 for 10
    campbell -118: 352.50 for 300 - 70 parlays / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / campbell RD3: 10 for 107.50 / koch
    sterling: 100 parlays / sterling DEC: 20 parlays / RD3: 10 for 87.50 / caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15
    milstead RD1: 15 parlays / U1.5: 20 parlays / de la rocha
    props
    DEC O6.5: 33 for 58.74
    DEC O7.5: 11 for 52.80
    DEC O8.5: 4 for 57.04
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 58.75
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 427
    FOTN: stephens-barao: 10 for 38.50
    FOTN: almeida-garbrandt: 10 for 36.50
    parlays
    50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
    50 for 37.46 sterling -310 & felder -310
    50 for 40.62 sterling -310 & larking-masvidal O2.5 -270
    35 RR for 314.05 CGTAO1.5/ miranda/ larkin/ eye/ campbell/ sterlingDEC/ DLRCM U1.5
    35 RR for 1,257.75: CGTADEC/ baraoITD/ storyITD/ felderITD/ eyeITD/ trujilloRD1/ milsteadRD1
    ---

    all set
     
  10. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    1u on Brian Caraway @ +290
    3u on Lorenz Larkin @ +100
    1.5u on Thomas Almeida ITD -115

    Best of luck to you all!
     
  11. FimbulFightPicks Purple Belt

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    Great bets! Goodluck! Always fun seeing your bets sir!

    Also I gotta say you got the best bet I´ve ever seen!
    Rick Story (+110) vs Tarec Saffiedine $0.00 for $10.00
    I mean come on! You got zero risk, and a potential of infinite % returns. NOONE can beat that! You gotta tell me your bookmaker so I can get that bet aswell! ;)
     
  12. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Masvidal
    Eye
    Felder/Aljamain parlay
    Story
    Almeida
    Miranda
    Barao/Trujillo parlay
     
  13. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Added Felder by decision
     
  14. Dusty Trunks Green Belt

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    UFC Fight Night 88



    Jeremy Stephens +140 2u to win 2.8u W
    Rick Story -120 6u to win 5u W
    Lorenz Larkin
    -105 1.58u to win 1.5u W
    Paul Felder -295 8.85u to win 3u W
    Jordan Rinaldi +260 1u to win 2.6u L
    Erik Koch +135 3u to win 4.05u W
    Bryan Caraway
    +285 1.5u to win 4.28u W

    Live plays

    Josh Burkman
    +320 2.5u to win 8u(Felder buy-out end of round 2) L


    +17.3u


    Unbelievable night, hope everyone else made out alright.
     
  15. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Total Risk: 11.07u
    Total Profit: +13.95u

    I went smaller than I normally do because this card didn't seem too great betting wise to me. Wish I had more convinction is some of these fights but they pretty much went how I expected them to go
     
  16. Soccer Steve Purple Belt

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    Thrilled to be up $160 (pales to some of you - congrats - but still). Larkin and the Dogs made my night. Gotta say this card was pretty easy to think out. It was a lot of warthogs versus technical, savvy fighters. Always go with the warthog.
    Gotta knock it off with my live betting though. Way more often than not I just chisel my researched winnings. The Eye fight got me; pathetic that one.
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2016
  17. null Gold Belt

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    I bet a lot of underdogs on this card, and they didn't all win, but the ones that did won big for me, especially Bryan Caraway, Chris Camozzi & Jeremy Stephens. I only wish I had left my big bets on Rick Story instead of buying out of them and switched completely from Shane Campbell to Erik Koch after the weigh-ins like I was inclined to. Most of my parlays hit too with five out of seven of my round robin legs winning to top it off. One of my best cards ever with 15.62 units profit.

    UFN 88
    Results

    Thomas Almeida (-150) vs Cody Garbrandt $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
    Thomas Almeida wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
    Thomas Almeida wins by TKO/KO (+125) $100.00 for $125.00= -$100.00

    Jeremy Stephens (+140) vs Renan Barao $150.00 for $210.00= $210.00
    Jeremy Stephens (+165) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $165.00= $165.00
    Jeremy Stephens +3½ points (-155) $155.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+385) $100.00 for $385.00= -$100.00

    Rick Story (+110) vs Tarec Saffiedine $0.00 for $10.00= $10.00

    Chris Camozzi (+195) vs Vitor Miranda $100.00 for $195.00= $195.00
    Chris Camozzi wins by TKO/KO (+1385) $20.00 for $277.00= -$20.00
    Chris Camozzi wins in round 3 (+2725) $20.00 for $545.00= -$20.00
    Chris Camozzi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $75.00 for $195.00= $195.00

    Lorenz Larkin (-135) vs Jorge Masvidal $270.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Lorenz Larkin scorecards = no action (-147) $147.00 for $100.00= Cancelled
    Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+150) $75.00 for $112.50= $112.50

    Josh Burkman (+260) vs Paul Felder $75.00 for $195.00= -$75.00
    Josh Burkman wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25= -$25.00
    Live In-Play Josh Burkman (+320) vs Paul Felder $50.00 for $160.00= -$50.00

    Jessica Eye (+135) vs Sara McMann $100.00 for $135.00= -$100.00
    Jessica Eye wins by TKO/KO (+855) $20.00 for $171.00= -$20.00
    Jessica Eye scorecards = no action (+165) $100.00 for $165.00= Cancelled
    Jessica Eye wins by 3 round decision (+302) $35.00 for $105.70= -$35.00

    Abel Trujillo wins in round 1 (+170) $30.00 for $51.00= -$30.00
    Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi Under 1½ (+120) $100.00 for $120.00= -$100.00
    Jordan Rinaldi (+260) vs Abel Trujillo $150.00 for $390.00= -$150.00

    Jake Collier (+105) vs Alberto Pereira Uda $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00
    Alberto Pereira Uda wins inside distance (+242) $35.00 for $84.70= -$35.00

    Shane Campbell (-160) vs Erik Koch $160.00 for $100.00= -$160.00
    Erik Koch wins by 3 round decision (+428) $25.00 for $107.00= -$25.00

    Bryan Caraway (+350) vs Aljamain Sterling $100.00 for $350.00= $350.00
    Bryan Caraway +3½ points (+165) $100.00 for $165.00= $165.00
    Bryan Caraway wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00= -$10.00
    Bryan Caraway wins by 3 round decision (+755) $100.00 for $755.00= $755.00

    Adam Milstead wins in round 1 (+115) vs Chris De La Rocha $35.00 for $40.25= -$35.00

    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (-104)$41.60 for $40.00= -$41.60
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+267) $25.00 for $66.75= -$25.00
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+712) $15.00 for $106.80= -$15.00
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+2278) $10.00 for $227.80= -$10.00
    Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+9100)$5.00 for $455.00= -$5.00

    Fights to end in submission under 1½ (+101) $25.00 for $25.25= $25.25
    No fights end in submission (+463) $10.00 for $46.30= -$10.00

    Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling FOTN award winner (+700) $10.00 for $70.00= -$10.00

    Parlays:
    Jessica Eye/Sara McMann Over 2½ (-250) + Thomas Almeida/Cody Garbrandt won’t start round 4 (-183) $100.00 for $116.50= $116.50
    Not Sara McMann inside distance (-426) + Josh Burkman/Paul Felder starts round 3 (-253) $138.35 for $100.00= $100.00
    Not Aljamain Sterling inside distance (-264) + Abel Trujillo/Jordan Rinaldi won’t go 3 round distance (-195) $92.09 for $100.00= -$92.09

    Round Robin- 21 two-team parlays of $25.00 each or $525.00 for $1102.96= $226.67
    Bryan Caraway/Aljamain Sterling Over 2½ (-190) + Shane Campbell (-165) + Jake Collier (+105) + Lorenz Larkin (-120) + Chris Camozzi/Vitor Miranda Over 2½ (-165) + Tarec Saffiedine (+105) + Jeremy Stephens/Renan Barao starts round 3 (-150)
    -----
    Total Profit= $1562.23
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 88 Net: -859.37
    garbrandt +171: 100 for 171 / garbrandt DEC: 25 for 216.25 / O3.0: 15 parlays / O1.5: 87.50 for 50 - 20 parlays / DEC: 25 for 100 - 15 parlays / NOT almeida ITD: 100 for 80
    barao -147: 289.79 for 652.17 / barao ITD: 30 parlays / barao SUB: 10 parlays / O2.5: 100 for 80
    saffiedine: 80 for 220 / ITD: 10 parlays / story ITD: 30 parlays
    miranda +204: 395.45 for 807 - 20 parlays / miranda DEC: 25 parlays
    / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
    larkin: 86.79 for 328.97 - 20 parlays / larkin DEC: 15 parlays / O2.5: 260 for 100 - 150 parlays
    felder: 50 parlay
    / felder ITD: 30 parlays / felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 - 10 parlays / felder NSC: 50 parlay / U2.5: 50 for 130 / ITD: 71.79 for 143.58
    eye +233: 172 for 400.50 - 20 parlays / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye ITD: 30 parlays / eye RD2: 10 parlays
    / eye NSC: 100 for 165
    rinaldi +150: 71.79 for 107.68 / U1.5: 50 for 50 / trujillo ITD: 32 for 19.10 / trujillo RD1: 15 parlays
    collier: 0 for 10 / uda: 0 for 2.50
    campbell -118: 352.50 for 300 - 70 parlays / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / campbell RD3: 10 for 107.50
    sterling: 100 parlays / sterling DEC: 20 parlays / RD3: 10 for 87.50
    / caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15
    milstead RD1: 15 parlays / U1.5: 20 parlays
    props
    DEC O6.5: 33 for 58.74
    DEC O7.5: 11 for 52.80

    DEC O8.5: 4 for 57.04
    DEC O9.5: 1 for 58.75
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 427

    FOTN: stephens-barao: 10 for 38.50
    FOTN: almeida-garbrandt: 10 for 36.50
    parlays
    50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
    50 for (paid +18.87) 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
    50 for 37.46 sterling -310 & felder -310
    50 for 40.62 sterling -310 & larking-masvidal O2.5 -270
    35 RR for 314.05 CGTAO1.5/ miranda/ larkin/ eye/ campbell/ sterlingDEC/ DLRCM U1.5
    35 RR for 1,257.75: CGTADEC/ baraoITD/ storyITD/ felderITD/ eyeITD/ trujilloRD1/ milsteadRD1
    35 RR for 1,210.13: CGTAO3.0/ baraoITD/ storyITD/ mirandaDEC/ larkinDEC/ felderITD/ eyeITD
    25 RR for 767.02 baraoSUB/ storysaffITD/ mirandaDEC/ felderRD3/ eyeRD2

    ---

    -underestimated camozzi
    -overestimated eye
    -overestimated campbell
    -stupid round robins.

    my first 3-ufc losing streak in YEARS is now a FOUR ufc losing streak (i lost like 3u on the last ufc in april.)

    and i'm f'ing sick of it.

    terrible capping begets terrible results. i suck and deserve to lose.

    i am truly considering taking a 100% pass next week at ufc 199. it would be the first ufc i wouldn't bet since 2006. i just have no confidence in my ability. i'm sick of losing. i'm all about the long term. i preach that to others. but the last 3 ufc's have kind of broken me. doing well outside of them, but just tanking about 25u on 3 equally terrible ufc's in may has broken my spirit. i'll sleep on it, etc. and no one should care, just whining.

    grats winners.
     
  19. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Skärmklipp.JPG

    I had a really really good event and turned around a losing streak into a really sweet night. By far made up what UFC 198 and Rotterdam costed me

    A few lessons:
    I should have trusted Garbrandt more than just 1U and not hedged him with Almeida.
    I knew Eye have problems against wrestlers but thought she could pull through.

    23,6U+

    edit: Domslut is Fight goes to decision in Swedish.
     
  20. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Had a few small hail mary pre bets which all crashed. But win £2236 on lb. Collier @ +400 after having his nose broke and +275 end of r1 were outrageous lines. So too was Larkin dec around +250 end of r1 and r2. Those two lines really set my night up.

    Ez j had my first 3 show skid earlier in the year now im flying. You will do the same.
     

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