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Your Official UFN 89 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jun 13, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    1.49u wonderboy +150 (might hedge this or switch, TBD)

    1u cote +148
    0.65u cote-cowboy O2.5 -130

    0.5u o'connell +120

    1.4u saggo -140

    4.13u markos -165
     
  3. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £795 WB @ +130

    £50 WB to close an 8 man parlay for approx £1200 (one fight was voided so unsure of exact payout)
     
  4. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Singles
    Rory: $7.50 to win $7.14 Loss
    Colvington/Meunier ITD: $5 to win $5.75 $10.75
    Alvey: $3.75 to win $8.25 Loss

    Saggo: $3.75 to win $2.78 $6.53
    Herrera (+3.5): $3.75 to win $2.68 Loss

    Markos: $3.75 to win $2.50 $6.25
    Michaud: $3.75 to win $2.50 Loss

    Holobaugh ITD: $2.50 to win $4.45 $6.95
    Cavalcante/Healy under 3.5: $2.50 to win $4 $6.50
    Soto/Beal ITD: $2.50 to win $3.95 $6.45
    Vila: $2.50 to win $3.35 Loss

    Palomino: $2.50 to win $2.50 Loss
    Andrews: $2.50 to win $1.35: $3.85
    Salter: $1.25 to win $3.50 $4.75
    Damm ITD: $1.25 to win $3.19 Loss

    Goncalves: $1.25 to win $3.13 Loss
    Galvao: $1.25 to win $2.63 Loss
    Letourneau (-3.5): $1.25 to win $2.38 Loss
    Parlo: $1.25 to win $2.19 Loss
    Corapi: $1.25 to win $1.25 Loss

    Risk of $55 $52.03

    Parlays

    Field over D. Johnson (St Jude) + Cerrone: $10 to win $7.52 $17.52
    Field over Rory/D. Johnson (US Open) + Bosse/O'Connell under 1.5: $6.25 to win $5.31 Loss

    Harrison + Miller + Makvskhi: $5 to win $3.63 $8.63
    Field over Day (US Open) + McCrory: $5 to win $3.15 Loss

    Field over Spieth/Day (US Open) + OAM: $5 to win $2.82 $7.82
    Howard + Hawes + Cutelaba/Cirkunov ITD: $3.75 to win $2.21 $5.96
    High + Ivanov: $2.50 to win $2.55 $5.05

    Risk of $37.50 $44.98

    Future That Lost
    Field over Dustin Johnson: $2.50 Loss

    TOTAL RISK OF $95 $97.01

    TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $195.86 Running Profit = $30.86 (Approximate ROI for year 2.228%)
    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2745.15 Total Profit = $2726.15 (Approximate ROI: 12.134%)
     
    Last edited: Jun 21, 2016
  5. piglord Black Belt

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    man are you parlaying golf with mma? that's hilarious. i might do the same with soccer.

    letourneau + theodorou. £750 returns £1589.
     
  6. michi972 Purple Belt

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    Cerrone+Letornau+THompson
     
  7. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Wonderboy +115 somewhat big, might hedge a little
    Wonderboy itd +200
    Cote +140 and +150
    Cote dec +298 and +320 big (had to add at +320, line is crazy imo)
    Bosse/O'connell u1.5 at -190
    OAM dec +248
    Val -170
    Val dec -115
    Saggo dec +180
    Cirkunov itd -115
    Barncat dec +275
    Markos -185
    Markos dec -113
    Covington dec -112

    Still deciding on Soto/Beal, Baug/Herrera, Alvey Elias

    Edit:


    Added to Val dec at +123.

    Hit Soto sub at +550. Still no clue on Baug/Herrera or Alvey/Elias
     
    Last edited: Jun 15, 2016
  8. edole Brown Belt

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    Patrick Cote ML 500 to win 725

    Patrick Cote + WB Parlay 200 to win 700


    goodness gracious
     
  9. michi972 Purple Belt

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    Bagautinov+Covington+Cirkunov
     
  10. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Cote +150 8 units
    Cote KO +505 1 unit
    Cote RD1 +800 1 unit

    O'Connel RD3 +1350 .2 units

    Gouti KO +785 .2 units
    OAM/Gouti O2.5 +125 1 unit

    Letourneau -155 2 units

    Silva +160 1 unit

    Cirkunov -210 4 units
    Cirkunov SUB +250 .5 units
    Cirkunov RD3 +950 .2 units

    Jotko DEC +257 .5 units

    Beal -130 .5 units

    Alvey +240 1 unit

    Lybarger +150 1 unit
    Lybarger DEC +249 .5 units

    Meunier +220 .5 units

    Herrera +220 .5 units
    Herrera KO +1235 .2 units

    A lot of half unit bets, mainly just to have action on all the fights or because the odds are too good to pass up. Anything above 1 unit I'm fairly confident in.
    And my lotto tickets:

    O'Connel RD3 + Beal RD1 + Meunier KO + Herrera KO $0.5 for $8437
    Cote RD1 + Gouti KO + Alvey KO + Meunier KO $0.5 for $1614
    Letourneau SUB, Saggo SUB, Cirkunov SUB, Lybarger DEC $0.5 for $248
     
  11. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 89 Risk: 2,111.26
    thompson +150: 148.76 for 223.15 / O2.5: 50 parlays / macdonald
    cote +146: 200 for 292.50 / O2.5: 130 for 100 - 50 parlays / cowboy
    o'connell +123: 75 for 92.50 / o'connell RD2: 10 for 72.50 / O'connell RD3: 5 for 72.50 / DEC: 10 for 44 / bosse
    gouti-OAM: idk
    calderwood +155: 50 for 77.50 / O2.5: 125 parlays / letourneau
    saggo -140: 140 for 100 / O2.5: 50 parlays / silva
    cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56 / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays / cutelaba
    jotko +210: 50 for 105 / ITD: 52.50 for 50 / mccrory
    soto +100: 250 for 250 / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / beal
    theodorou: 75 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / alvey
    markos -165: 412.50 for 250 / markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150 / jones-lybarger
    covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 / meunier
    bagautinov-herrera O2.5: 50 parlays
    props
    parlays
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
    25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    87.50 RR for 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
    ---

    so far.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 89 Risk: 1,999.76
    thompson +150: 148.76 for 223.15 / O2.5: 50 parlays / ITD: 68.50 for 50 / macdonald
    cote +146: 200 for 292.50 / cote DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 130 for 100 - 50 parlays / cowboy
    o'connell +123: 75 for 92.50 / o'connell RD2: 10 for 72.50 / O'connell RD3: 5 for 72.50 / DEC: 10 for 44 / bosse
    gouti-OAM: idk
    calderwood +125: 20 for 25 / O2.5: 125 parlays / letourneau DEC: 20 parlays
    saggo -140: 210 for 150 / saggo DEC: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / silva
    cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56 / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays / cutelaba
    mccory -143: 12.50 for 8.75 / ITD: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays / jotko
    soto +100: 250 for 250 - 20 parlays / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / beal
    theodorou: 75 parlays / theodorou DEC: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / alvey
    markos -165: 165 for 100 / markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150 / jones-lybarger
    covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 / meunier
    bagautinov DEC: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / herrera
    props
    parlays
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
    25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    87.50 RR for 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
    35 RR for 986.93: coteDEC/ letourneauDEC/ saggoDEC/ mccjotITD/ soto/ theoDEC/ bagaDEC
    ---

    hedged most of markos with the weighin crapfest, hedged off the jotko play, and added a small RR i actually like! haha. i'll update once more tomorrow, not to spam thread or anything. considering gouti, mccrory...
     
  13. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    1.6u Wonderboy +150
    2.4u Wonderboy +130
    2.5u Cote +150
    2u Cote/Cerrone O2.5 -133
    1.5u Valerie -175
    1u Soto +104
    0.5u O'Connell +130
    0.5u Jotko +200

    0.5u OAM dec +220
    0.5u Lybarger dec +240
    0.1u Soto r3 +1600

    2.5u Valerie/JoJo O2.5 + Markos/Lybarger O2.5 -145
    1.5u Val + Bagautinov +120
    1u Elias + Turkey NOT to score 2nd half -116
    2u OAM + Elias -143
     
    Last edited: Jun 18, 2016
  14. efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    Done with my pre fight plays. Don't feel like listing each individual one so ill just put total units on each fighter.

    3.6u Rory
    1.8u Cerrone
    1u O'connell
    1.6u OAM
    1u JoJo
    1.6u Saggo
    1u Misha
    1u Jotko....also small on jotko dec
    1.1u Soto
    1.6u Elias
    3.3u Markos....small hedge on JJL dec
    .6u covington
    2u Ali

    BOL tonight everyone. Feels like theres a big divide on a few of the big fights tonight
     
  15. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    Bets for tonight so far:

    3u on Randa Markos @ -175
    2u on Tamdan McCrory @ -200
    3u on Patrick Côté @ +150
    1u on Steven Thompson @ -113

    1u on Tamdan McCrory ITD @ +120
    .5u on Patrick Côté in R1 @ +900

    1.5u on Covington + Letourneau @ +109

    I really regret going so big on Randa before weigh ins but I'm letting it ride. I will probably add more just before the event. GL all!
     
  16. iGnP Silver Belt

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    I legit hate this card for betting. Favorites are too juiced and i dont necessarily like the underdog's chances in a lot of fights. only playing a few fights today

    Stephen Thompson (-105) for 3.15u
    -Thompson by Split Decision (+1175) for 0.1u
    -Rory by Split Decision (+706) for 0.1u

    Cote +3.5 (-140) for 1.4u
    -Donald Cerrone by DEC (+296) for 0.5u

    Valerie Letourneau (-175) for 3.5u

    Jason Saggo (-135) for 2.7u
    -Saggo by Sub (+300) for 0.3u

    McCrory ITD (+115) for 2u
    -Jotko by DEC (+250) for 1u

    Edit: Adding Bosse by TKO (+105) for 2.5u
    Ali B by Dec (-113) for 2.26u
     
    Last edited: Jun 18, 2016
  17. waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    $3000 Letourneau -155
     
  18. null Gold Belt

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    UFN 89 Risk $3638.77

    Rory MacDonald/Stephen Thompson Over 2½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00

    Patrick Cote (+150) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $150.00
    Patrick Cote (+145) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $145.00
    Patrick Cote wins in round 1 (+675) $50.00 for $337.50
    Patrick Cote wins by TKO/KO (+415) $25.00 for $103.75
    Patrick Cote wins by 3 round decision (+260) $50.00 for $130.00

    Steve Bosse (-160) vs Sean O'Connell $160.00 for $100.00
    Steve Bosse wins in round 1 (+155) $30.00 for $46.50
    Sean O’Connell wins in round 2 (+700) $20.00 for $140.00
    Sean O’Connell wins in round 3 (+1350) $20.00 for $270.00

    Olivier Aubin-Mercier -3½ points (-235) vs Thibault Gouti $94.00 for $40.00
    Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins by 3 round decision (+242) $25.00 for $60.50

    Valerie Letourneau (-150) vs Joanne Calderwood $150.00 for $100.00
    Valerie Letourneau (-155) vs Joanne Calderwood $155.00 for $100.00
    Valerie Letourneau -3½ points (+190) $50.00 for $95.00
    Valerie Letourneau wins in round 3 (+1650) $20.00 for $330.00
    Valerie Letourneau wins by 3 round decision (+123) $81.30 for $100.00

    Jason Saggo (-160) vs Leandro Silva $160.00 for $100.00
    Jason Saggo wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50

    Ion Cutelaba (+180) vs Misha Cirkunov $55.56 for $100.00
    Ion Cutelaba wins by TKO/KO (+425) vs Misha Cirkunov $50.00 for $212.50

    Tamdan McCrory (-165) vs Krzysztof Jotko $165.00 for $100.00
    Tamdan McCrory wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00
    Tamdan McCrory wins by TKO/KO (+414) $25.00 for $103.50
    Tamdan McCrory/Krzysztof Jotko Under 2½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00

    Chris Beal (+100) vs Joe Soto $200.00 for $200.00
    Chris Beal wins by 3 round decision (+189) $52.91 for $100.00

    Sam Alvey/Elias Theodorou Under 2½ (+175) $100.00 for $175.00
    Sam Alvey wins in round 1 (+650) $15.00 for $97.50

    Jonathan Meunier (+250) vs Colby Covington $50.00 for $125.00
    Jonathan Meunier (+220) vs Colby Covington $50.00 for $110.00
    Jonathan Meunier/Colby Covington Under 2½ (+150) $100.00 for $150.00

    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (+140) vs Randa Markos $100.00 for $140.00
    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (+125) vs Randa Markos $200.00 for $250.00
    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger wins in round 3 (+2300) $10.00 for $230.00
    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger wins by 3 round decision (+205) $50.00 for $102.50

    Geane Herrera (+220) vs Ali Bagautinov $50.00 for $110.00
    Geane Herrera wins by 3 round decision (+400) $25.00 for $100.00

    Fights to go distance over 6½ (-150) $60.00 for $40.00
    Fights to go distance over 7½ (+198) $25.00 for $49.50
    Fights to go distance over 8½ (+520) $15.00 for $78.00
    Fights to go distance over 9½ (+1503) $10.00 for $150.30
    Fights to go distance over 10½ (+6525) $5.00 for $326.25

    Not exactly three fights end in KO/TKO (-307) $307.00 for $100.00
    Not exactly three fights end in submission (-303) $303.00 for $100.00

    Rory MacDonald/Stephen Thompson FOTN award winner (+300) $15.00 for $45.00
     
  19. effo White Belt

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  20. t6p Brown Belt

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    Not feeling overly confident about anything on this card but here goes:

    2u Thompson (+110)

    1.5u Cote (+140)
    1u Cote NSC (+152)
    0.5u Cote DEC (+320)
    0.25u Cote RD1 (+900)

    2u Létourneau (-160)

    1u Saggo (-140)
    0.25u Saggo SUB (+450)

    0.5u Jotko (+200)
    0.5u Jotko DEC (+240)

    1u Soto (+110)
    0.25u Soto SUB (+736)

    0.25u Alvey KO (+500)
    0.25u Alvey RD3 (+1700)

    1u Markos NSC (-140)

    1u Wonderboy/Cote/Létourneau (+605)
    1u O'Connell-Bosse u1.5/Cirkunov/Létourneau NSC (+199)
    1.75u Round Robin Merceir DEC/Thompson-Macdonald ITD/Lybarger DEC/O'Connell (+1030)
     

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