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Your Official UFN 89 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jun 13, 2016.

  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 89 Risk: 2,502.66
    thompson +150: 148.76 for 223.15 / O2.5: 50 parlays / RD1: 10 parlays / ITD: 96.90 for 70 / macdonald
    cote +146: 200 for 292.50 / cote DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 20 parlays / cote RD1: 16 parlays / O2.5: 130 for 100 - 50 parlays / cowboy
    o'connell +123: 75 for 92.50 / o'connell RD2: 10 for 72.50 - 10 parlays / O'connell RD3: 5 for 72.50 / DEC: 10 for 44 / bosse
    gouti-OAM: idk
    calderwood +125: 20 for 25 / O2.5: 125 parlays / letourneau DEC: 20 parlays / letourneau RD3: 6 parlays
    saggo -140: 245 for 175 / saggo DEC: 30 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / silva
    cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56 / cirkunov: 10 parlays / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays / cutelaba
    mccory -188: 282.50 for 150 / mccrory RD2: 16 parlays / ITD: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays / jotko
    soto +100: 250 for 250 - 20 parlays / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / soto RD3: 6 parlays / beal
    theodorou: 75 parlays / theodorou DEC: 20 parlays / theodorou -3.5: 30 for 49.50 / O2.5: 50 parlays / alvey
    markos -165: 165 for 100 / markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150 / jones-lybarger
    covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays / meunier
    bagautinov DEC: 44.50 for 40 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / herrera
    props
    DEC O7.5: 26 for 51.48
    DEC O8.5: 10 for 52
    DEC O9.5: 3 for 45.09
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 65.25
    FOTN: cote-cerrone: 13 for 52
    FOTN: bagautinov-herrera: 7 for 56
    parlays
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
    25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    87.50 RR for 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
    35 RR for 986.93: coteDEC/ letourneauDEC/ saggoDEC/ mccjotITD/ soto/ theoDEC/ bagaDEC
    20 RR for 4,224.08: RMSTRD1/ coteRD1/ OCRD2/ saggoDEC/ cirkRD2/ mccRD2
    15 RR for 2,107.88: coteRD1/ valRD3/ mccroryRD2/ sotoRD3/ covingtonRD3
    ---

    let the losing streak continue...
     
  2. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    After some (to me) surprising line movements I've added 1u on a McCrory + Letourneau parlay @ +158.

    Depending on how the Covington and McCrory fights end up I might load up more on Letourneau - JoJo is so damn hittable and overwhelmable I really like Letourneau @ -160 after how she looked against JJ.
     
  3. Dooze Purple Belt

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    Rush job, too busy with the Euro's to properly research this card so kept it quite limited:

    - Cote @ 2.38 = £25 (free bet) returns £34.50
    - Theodorou + Cirkunov @ 2.10 = £12.99 returns £27.28
    - OAM sub + Letourneau decision @ 5.23 = £5 (free bet) returns £21.15

    Best of luck all.
     
  4. piglord Black Belt

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    valerie looks to have every technical advantage, plus power and athleticism on her side. but god knows, this is fucking wmma.
     
  5. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    I apologize for spamming the thread but here are my finalized pre-event:
    3u on Randa Markos @ -175
    2u on Tamdan McCrory @ -200
    3u on Patrick Côté @ +150
    1u on Steven Thompson @ -113

    1u on Tamdan McCrory ITD @ +120
    .33u on U 0.5 McCrory//Jotko @ +650
    .5u on Valerie Letourneau ITD @ +350
    .5u on Patrick Côté in R1 @ +900

    1.5u on Covington + Letourneau @ +109
    1u on McCrory + Letourneau @ + 158
     
  6. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Cerrone
    Valerie/OAM parlay
    Beal
    Elias by Dec
    Covington/ Ali B parlay
    Rory
     
  7. BluntTrauma21 Broner Brodie / Pulev Posse

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    Markos 1u
    Cowboy 2u
    Saggo 1.5u
    Herrera .5u
    Soto 1u
    Soto sub .25u
    Theodoreau/Covington 1u


    GL boys
     
  8. Conor McGregoat Yellow Belt

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    Parlay

    Soto via sub +371
    Cirkunov in round 2 +425
    Letourneau inside distance +354
    Cote in round 1 +900

    $50 to win $56081.40


    Also huge on Cote straight and round 1, Letourneau straight, Saggo and Alvey
     
  9. SalvadorAllende Steel Belt

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    Markos+Valerie: $ 30 to win $ 42,08.
    Cote: $ 30 to win $ 42
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    UFN 89 Net: +153.96
    thompson +164: 212.81 for 348.37 / O2.5: 50 parlays / RD1: 10 parlays / ITD: 96.90 for 70
    cote +146: 257.19 for 678.45 / cote DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 20 parlays / cote RD1: 16 parlays / cote NSC: 80 for 100
    / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays
    o'connell +104: 505 for 524.89 / o'connell RD2: 15 for 107.50 - 10 parlays / O'connell RD3: 15 for 207.50 / DEC: 10 for 44
    gouti +400: 25 for 100
    Letourneau +161: 148.90 for 240 / letourneau DEC: 20 parlays / letourneau ITD: 29.75 for 327.27 / letourneau RD3: 6 parlays / letourneau NSC: 257.50 for 150
    / O2.5: 125 parlays
    saggo -133: 300 for 225 / saggo DEC: 30 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays
    cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56
    / cutelaba +310: 50 for 155 / cirkunov RD2: 10 parlays / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays
    mccory -188: 282.50 for 150 / mccrory RD2: 16 parlays
    / ITD: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays
    soto +100: 250 for 250 - 20 parlays / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / soto RD3: 6 parlays
    theodorou: 75 parlays / theodorou DEC: 20 parlays / theodorou -3.5: 30 for 49.50 / O2.5: 50 parlays
    markos -165: 165 for 100
    / markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150
    covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays
    bagautinov DEC: 44.50 for 40 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays

    props
    DEC O7.5: 26 for 51.48
    DEC O8.5: 10 for 52
    DEC O9.5: 3 for 45.09
    DEC O10.5: 1 for 65.25
    FOTN: cote-cerrone: 13 for 52
    FOTN: bagautinov-herrera: 7 for 56

    parlays
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
    25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
    25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
    87.50 RR for (paid +102.45) 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
    35 RR for (paid +57.56) 986.93: coteDEC/ letourneauDEC/ saggoDEC/ mccjotITD/ soto/ theoDEC/ bagaDEC

    20 RR for 4,224.08: RMSTRD1/ coteRD1/ OCRD2/ saggoDEC/ cirkRD2/ mccRD2
    15 RR for (paid +246) 2,107.88: coteRD1/ valRD3/ mccroryRD2/ sotoRD3/ covingtonRD3
    ---

    technically my 5-ufc losing streak is over. but c'mon, 1.5u isn't what i was looking for. especially n ot when i was up 10u after the first 5 fights.

    mccrory ko loss was an absolute fluke

    cote was a terrible bet

    letourneau was shocking but badly played

    oconnell was shocking but overplayed.

    my pre event bets were +1147. so i donked off 10 fuckin units on oconnell, letourneau, etc. sigh.

    whatever, kinda over mma betting right now. feeling like a waste of time (and money).
     
  11. michi972 Purple Belt

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    After all plays, I played Cerrone at 1,62 or 1,67 for about 60 dollars
     
  12. Bless Orange Belt

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    Keep your head up man, you are one of the guys on this forum I think I learned the most from, and still tail for the most part. I know the feeling, before I started following MMA/betting MMA I played poker as a part-time job, and downswings/upswings happen even more regularly there than with betting, I'd say. I've had multiple $2k+ downswings (I'm a student and my current unitsize is about $20, so that's quite huge for me), and was done with the game like you multiple times. Downswings/break-even stretches make you contemplate what you're doing, whether you still beat the game, thinking you waste your time etc, but in the end when you look at your profit history/roi etc, you know you beat the game in the long-term, and upswings will come again eventually. Upswings are no fun without downswings, and a major winning night will taste even sweeter now. Just keep on grinding and focus on the long-term, like you said yourself many times before if I remember correctly.
     
  13. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    £795 WB @ +130

    £50 8 man parlay WB to close @ +2100

    £400 Rory @ +100

    Won £668 on lb.

    Overall profit £2342.
     
  14. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    +4.82 units. I was way too confident in Valerie and the Cote bet feels so dumb in hindsight.
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2016
  15. Emon johnson White Belt

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    I placed this bet in friday night without coming on sherdog first. After seeing everyones posts i get worried because NOBODY had WB and Cerrone. I didnt realize fight night was in Canada. Good thing...
     

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  16. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Like Bless said, keep your head up man. Sounds like the string of event losses and those losses on the latter portion of this card have really gotten to you, but the night could've been worse when you recognize you had some bad decisions yet still won money on the show. Take that little chunk, brush it off and lets get ready for July. More than enough events to turn it around in that month.
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  18. AgentSmecker Black Belt

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    Just a speck of sand in an endless desert of agony
    Absolutely fucking grim weekend for me. Between the euros, UFC and fucking casino I'm down a lot of cash. Feel so fucking low right now. Fucking fuckety fuck!!
     
  19. waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    Third losing event in a row for me. Longest losing streak yet. Bright side is I learned from all the loses.
     
  20. null Gold Belt

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    Made every mistake last night. Bad handicapping, too large bet sizing, stupid bets, chasing losses, bad live betting. A sea of red. Just embarrassing.

    UFN 89
    Results

    Rory MacDonald/Stephen Thompson Over 2½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Patrick Cote (+150) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $150.00= -$100.00
    Patrick Cote (+145) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $145.00= -$100.00
    Patrick Cote wins in round 1 (+675) $50.00 for $337.50= -$50.00
    Patrick Cote wins by TKO/KO (+415) $25.00 for $103.75= -$25.00
    Patrick Cote wins by 3 round decision (+260) $50.00 for $130.00= -$50.00

    Steve Bosse (-160) vs Sean O'Connell $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Steve Bosse wins in round 1 (+155) $30.00 for $46.50= -$30.00
    Sean O’Connell wins in round 2 (+700) $20.00 for $140.00= -$20.00
    Sean O’Connell wins in round 3 (+1350) $20.00 for $270.00= -$20.00
    Sean O'Connell (+260) vs Steve Bosse $100.00 for $260.00= -$100.00

    Olivier Aubin-Mercier -3½ points (-235) vs Thibault Gouti $94.00 for $40.00= $40.00
    Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins by 3 round decision (+242) $25.00 for $60.50= -$25.00
    Live In-Play Thibault Gouti (+205) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $200.00 for $410.00= -$200.00

    Valerie Letourneau (-150) vs Joanne Calderwood $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
    Valerie Letourneau (-155) vs Joanne Calderwood $155.00 for $100.00= -$155.00
    Valerie Letourneau (-140) vs Joanne Calderwood $420.00 for $300.00= -$420.00
    Valerie Letourneau -3½ points (+190) $50.00 for $95.00= -$50.00
    Valerie Letourneau wins in round 3 (+1650) $20.00 for $330.00= -$20.00
    Valerie Letourneau wins by 3 round decision (+123) $81.30 for $100.00= -$81.30

    Jason Saggo (-160) vs Leandro Silva $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jason Saggo wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00

    Ion Cutelaba (+180) vs Misha Cirkunov $55.56 for $100.00= -$55.56
    Ion Cutelaba wins by TKO/KO (+425) vs Misha Cirkunov $50.00 for $212.50= -$50.00

    Tamdan McCrory (-165) vs Krzysztof Jotko $165.00 for $100.00= -$165.00
    Tamdan McCrory wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
    Tamdan McCrory wins by TKO/KO (+414) $25.00 for $103.50= -$25.00
    Tamdan McCrory/Krzysztof Jotko Under 2½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00

    Chris Beal (+100) vs Joe Soto $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
    Chris Beal wins by 3 round decision (+189) $52.91 for $100.00= -$52.91

    Sam Alvey (+210) vs Elias Theodorou $50.00 for $105.00= -$50.00
    Sam Alvey/Elias Theodorou Under 2½ (+175) $100.00 for $175.00= -$100.00
    Sam Alvey wins in round 1 (+650) $15.00 for $97.50= -$15.00

    Jonathan Meunier (+250) vs Colby Covington $50.00 for $125.00= -$50.00
    Jonathan Meunier (+220) vs Colby Covington $50.00 for $110.00= -$50.00
    Jonathan Meunier wins in round 1 (+975) $25.00 for $243.75= -$25.00
    Jonathan Meunier/Colby Covington Under 2½ (+150) $100.00 for $150.00= $150.00

    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (+140) vs Randa Markos $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (+125) vs Randa Markos $200.00 for $250.00= -$200.00
    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger wins in round 3 (+2300) $10.00 for $230.00= -$10.00
    Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger wins by 3 round decision (+205) $50.00 for $102.50= -$50.00

    Geane Herrera (+220) vs Ali Bagautinov $50.00 for $110.00= -$50.00
    Geane Herrera wins by 3 round decision (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= -$25.00

    Fights to go distance over 6½ (-150) $60.00 for $40.00= -$60.00
    Fights to go distance over 7½ (+198) $25.00 for $49.50= -$25.00
    Fights to go distance over 8½ (+520) $15.00 for $78.00= -$15.00
    Fights to go distance over 9½ (+1503) $10.00 for $150.30= -$10.00
    Fights to go distance over 10½ (+6525) $5.00 for $326.25= -$5.00

    Not exactly three fights end in KO/TKO (-307) $307.00 for $100.00= -$307.00
    Not exactly three fights end in submission (-303) $303.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Rory MacDonald/Stephen Thompson FOTN award winner (+300) $15.00 for $45.00= -$15.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$2656.77
     

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