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Anyone making plays on afternoon nfl?
Cheers dude. Back to back losing events suck but i went 12 or 13 without losing (any events i lost on in that spell i managed to break even there or there abouts through lb or hedging). So a couple of losses were due.
Yeah dont regret Larkin bet but that split and Noke split killed me.
Confident on next card tho. Grats you killed it great start to year.
NFL afternoon
*love* SF +3 and ML
Chargers +10
Bucs +10
Cardinals -6
Rams stayed on the west coast after the seattle game and became tourists, visiting many sights in CA. i doubt theyre ready for this game. no gurley either. SF plays tough at home
A lot of variables on the line here tho. Dana White have promised people title shots before and not delivered.He doesn't have to. As long as he just gets his shot, you can bet Werdum or Cain @ -250 or whatever their line will be and you're in the money.
tailed SF +3. Stabbed Chargers ML for shits and giggles action
EDIT parlayed the Bucs and Cards spreads full blown tailing you on everything
A lot of variables on the line here tho. Dana White have promised people title shots before and not delivered.
Overeem is still in the game, there are potential rematches. There are injuries (I don't think that prop covers interim title.)
What you got going for you is that he doesnt need to get the next title shot, as long as he gets one in 2016.
I think I like Reem even more if so. If we don't get a rematch/injury scenario with Cain/Werdum I think it is pretty likely tbh.Well if you think Reem gets the shot he is 8/1 +8000 to hold the belt at any time during 2016.
Miocic +1000 10/1 is the clear value play, though.
That can be said for any fighter who relies on control to win fights.
Yes I agree, I'll take a look at it for sure.. Been betting for years for fun mainly parlays but had a good December so thought might do it a little more serious this year, I don't bet nowhere near as much as you guys but I've started a bankrol for this year and see where I can get.. Although last night hammered me lolDon't sweat it man
It's obviously not a total lock that Stipe gets his shot within this calender year. Cain could get that strap and then get injured and be out until 2017 or some other scenarios, but the line is more than good enough to make up for these in my opinion.
That jones line seems like a good bet!Other MMA specials on Betfair I also like
Jon Jones to fight in 2016 @ -455
CM Punk to fight in 2016 @ +162
Jon Jones is obviously coming back, only serious/repeated injuries could stop him from fighting in 2016. The line is not that far off his line against DC and he doesn't even have to win for it to cash, just fight.
Dana has said that CM Punk will fight in 2016 and he still looks to be training a lot (so probably over that shoulder injury). While he could get injured or even regret his decision to fight + money seems good to me. If he doesn't fight this year I doubt he ever will. Also, super speculative, but they actually don't mention the UFC - just "CM punk to fight in 2016" under MMA specials. So even if he for some reason goes to a local show to crush a can and get it out of his system, you could argue that it still should cash.
There's like a $40 limit on these so noone is getting rich from these but I think they're still worth it if you don't mind tying up a few bucks.
It may not equal as big of a difference in the line but a fighter who relies on control and doesnt finish is always going to go down in odds 3rds vs 5rds, especially against a fighter who has finishing ability.Hardly. Some guys that rely on it don't noticeably tire the way Maia does after 2 rounds or so. And Maia relies on it (control) more heavily than almost any fighter in MMA history.
Add to that the fact that Condit DOES possess great cardio and often wears opponents down by being relentless even after 2, 3, 4 rounds and you get why this is such an extreme example of why 3 rds vs 5 rds matters so much if this fight happens. Way more than just "anyone who relies on control to win fights".
It may not equal as big of a difference in the line but a fighter who relies on control and doesnt finish is always going to go down in odds as a fight goes longer, especially against a fighter who has finishing ability.